Mark Latham Commodity Equity Intelligence Service

Tuesday 25th April 2017
Background Stories on www.commodityintelligence.com

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    Macro

    Caterpillar Posts First Positive Retail Sales After 51 Months Of Declines


    After 51 consecutive months, the dead CAT spell is finally over.

    On Monday, traditionally just ahead of earnings, Caterpillar reported that in March its world retail sales rose 1% Y/Y, the first increase since November 2012. The reason: Asia/Pacific, also known as China, which saw a 46% surge in total machine sales, up from 39% last month, and the best Asian performance going all the way back to April 2011. Aside from China, however, the drought remained as every other region posted a decline in annual sales, led by Latin America (down 25%), North America (down 13%) and EAME (down 3%).

    Looking at a breakdown of what kinds of machines drove the global rebound, it was all construction related machinery, which rose 7%, once again entirely due to China, where sales soared by 56% as all other geographic regions posted negative sales. Elsewhere, the contraction among resource industries continued, with world sales down 19%, and even China declining by 1%. The only region higher, perhaps predictably, was EAME where sales of resource machines rose 23% in March.

    Finally, looking at the type of Energy and Transportation machines sold, Power Gen, Industrial and Transportation all declined( -7%, -6% and -3%, respectively), while Oil and Gas rose by 15% in March.

    As a reminder, the last cycle peaked in early 2011, just as the latest Chinese credit impulse peaked and rolled over, something it has also done in recent weeks. As such, CAT retail sales may be the best concurrent, or slighly lagging, indicator of the Chinese reflation trade, which as UBS explained recently is the fundamental driver behind the global reflation impulse.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-24/streak-over-caterpillar-posts-first-positive-retail-sales-after-51-months-declines
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    Iran signs more than $50 bln in deals

    Iran signs more than $50 bln in deals

    Iranian Economy Minister Ali Tayyip Niya said that the country has signed agreements with the countries of large financial institutions to obtain foreign funding by more than fifty billion dollars, pointing out that the signing of these contracts became final in general.

    Minister Tayyip Nya stressed that Iran today has a very positive relations with international financial and specialized institutions, saying that the nuclear negotiations and to meet Tehran 's obligations fully with regard to the nuclear deal Pena to the world that Iran does not want to use atomic energy only for peaceful purposes .

    Minister of Economy said that the international institutions recognized that Iran has fulfilled all its obligations, and therefore it is natural that we expect the international community to fulfill its obligations fully about Iran . He said: Despite the slow pace in which the process of fulfilling these commitments in place , and even though we were waiting for the Western countries to meet their commitments as soon as possible, but the process is going to meet these commitments towards the positive .

    Minister of Economy announced that the volume of direct foreign investments that entered the country in the past year reached $ 12 billion, pointing out that this is a number of good Not because we expect to reach the value of direct foreign investment to $ 7 billion only, but it eventually reached 12 billion dollars .

    He concluded by saying good Nya: that Iran is a suitable ground for investment, and expressed the hope that the volume of foreign investment rises in the country during the current Iranian year (started on 21 March / March

    The past, saying that countries with a return like Iran are very few at a time when revenues reached 30 and 40 percent in some areas.

    http://tehrantelegram.com/story-z18735045
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    Germany details tender rules for combined-heat-power plants


    Germany's energy ministry has set out details for the planned auctions for combined-heat-power plants (CHPs) with up to 50 MW capacity, with 100 MW on offer in the first auction set for December.

    According to a first draft of the regulation based on last year's reform of the CHP bill (KWKG 2016), the energy ministry plans two auctions each year for 100 MW each time.

    Last year's KWKG 2016 bill is set to boost electricity output from CHPs to 110 TWh by 2020 and 120 TWh by 2025 as well as improving support mechanisms for new gas-fired CHP plants.

    New-build gas-fired CHP projects that replace an older coal-fired CHP unit will receive an additional bonus while existing coal and lignite-fired CHPs will no longer receive support through this mechanism.

    The most striking part of the reform bill was a move to a new tender process for government support for new CHP units between 1 MW and 50 MW of capacity.

    Following approval by the EC, the bill was passed at the end of last year with the ministry's draft regulation now in the consultation phase until June.

    Germany's potential CHP capacity is near 50 GW ranging from large-scale new-built coal-fired units like the 900 MWe GKM 9 plant at Mannheim to mid-sized municipally-owned urban CHP units down to small-scale or even micro- units, data from Platts Powervision shows.

    Last year, power output from CHP plants was 77.5 TWh with gas-fired CHP plants accounting for almost 50 TWh, data from the German statistical office shows.

    As CHP generation does not participate in the power market the way conventional wholesale power only generation does, but is more driven by the heating requirements, the output from CHP units is more difficult to predict and track, according to industry sources.

    http://www.platts.com/latest-news/electric-power/london/germany-details-tender-rules-for-combined-heat-26716523
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    Peru evaluates expelling two foreigners for 'inciting' anti-mine protests


    Peruvian police are evaluating the possible expulsion of two foreigners for "inciting" rural communities to protest against the Hudbay Minerals mining company, which owns a copper mine in the nation, the country's interior ministry said on Sunday.

    The police, the ministry said, had requested documents from U.S. citizen John Dougherty, 61, and Canadian citizen Jennifer Moore, 42, who entered Peru earlier in April while claiming to be tourists.

    "The authorities have abundant information that documents that their condition (as tourists) has not been complied with, as they have dedicated themselves to inciting townspeople ... against Canadian mining activity in Peru, in particular against the Constancia mine owned by the Hudbay company," the ministry said in a statement.

    "The conduct of the foreigners is causing a change in public order ... meaning the application of expulsion measures would be appropriate," it added.

    Hudbay temporarily suspended operations at its Constancia mine in November, in the midst of protests by rural Peruvians, who blocked highways demanding development projects such as schools they said the company had committed to building.

    Neither of the two foreigners in question could be reached for comment, and nobody was available to comment at the Canadian embassy in Peruvian capital Lima.

    Peru is the world's third largest copper producer, and mining is crucial for the national economy.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-hmi-peru-foreigners-idUSKBN17P0YL
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    Sandvik profit tops forecast as mining rebound gathers pace


    Engineering group Sandvik on Monday reported a first-quarter operating profit above market forecasts, supported by a recovery in its mining gear business which helped to drive a double-digit rise in like-for-like orders.

    The Swedish company, whose main rival is Atlas Copco , is benefiting from a pickup in mining investment in response to higher commodity prices and a generally stronger global industrial demand backdrop.

    Operating profit at the Stockholm-based group rose to 3.51 billion Swedish crowns ($397.9 million) from 2.41 billion a year ago, beating a 3.17 billion mean forecast in a Reuters poll of analysts.

    "We have a very strong quarter behind us," Sandvik Chief Executive Bjorn Rosengren told conference call with journalists.

    Sandvik shares were up 5.7 percent by 1257 GMT, compared with a 1.7 percent gain before the results were released.

    The company's order intake increased to 24.9 billion crowns, with like-for-like-growth of 16 percent year-on year, soundly ahead of a 22.8 billion crown forecast.

    This outperformance was mainly due to 30 percent growth in Sandvik's mining business, where the need for mining firms to replace equipment after several years of squeezed capital spending has begun to boost demand.

    CEO Rosengren said Sandvik was currently seeing the strongest demand from customers mining gold, silver and zinc.

    Manufacturing gauges in markets like China, Europe and the United States have hit multi-year highs in recent months, adding to expectations of increased demand for Sandvik's products also outside the mining industry.

    The group's Machining Solutions division (SMS), the world's largest maker of metal-cutting tools, also beat both earnings and order forecasts for the quarter, and its North American business returned to growth after many quarters of declines.

    SMS accounts for around 60 percent of Sandvik's total operating profit, while the mining division accounts for about a third.

    Rosengren also said Sandvik had lined up two possible buyers for separate parts of its loss-making Mining Systems business and that Sandvik hoped to close those deals during the second quarter.

    Sandvik announced in January that a deal to sell the business had fallen apart.

    Sandvik's shares are up 61 percent over the past year, outperforming a 19 percent gain in the STOXX Europe 600 Industrial Goods & Services Index, and a 46 percent gain for cross-town rival Atlas Copco.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/sandvik-results-idUSL8N1HW3HH
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    Oil and Gas

    Aramco dissent on IPO.

    Members of the internal Aramco IPO team took their figures to the company’s chairman, Khalid al-Falih, who is also Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, say people familiar with the matter.

    One of those people said some of the Aramco team members are concerned because their calculations have consistently yielded lower numbers than the one the prince disclosed.

    Saudi government officials say Aramco’s high reserves and low costs should make the company attractive to investors. “Our profitability is higher than others and the interest we have received so far is huge,” said one official who defended the $2 trillion number.

    Some of the banks pitching for a role in the advising and underwriting of the deal have been given minimal information on the company’s financials, one person familiar with the pitching process said.

    Members of the IPO team took their figures to Aramco’s chairman, Khalid al-Falih. Members of the IPO team took their figures to Aramco’s chairman, Khalid al-Falih.PHOTO: HEINZ-PETER BADER/REUTERS

    Bankers have offered company executives advice on how they might position the offering to investors to garner the highest valuation and how Aramco would compare with other oil and gas companies, this person said.

    Yet even absent the specific financial information, this person said that it appeared highly unlikely that Aramco could achieve a valuation anywhere near $2 trillion unless it paid no taxes or royalties.

    Since deputy crown prince Mohammed bin Salman announced the stock-offering plan and his $2 trillion estimate early last year, insiders and outsiders have questioned how he arrived at that number.

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    Russia indicates it can lift oil output if deal on curbs lapses


    Russian oil output could climb to its highest rate in 30 years if OPEC and non-OPEC producers do not extend a supply reduction deal beyond June 30, according to comments by Russian officials and details of investment plans released by oil firms.

    The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, along with Russia and other non-OPEC producers, pledged to cut 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in output in the first half of 2017.

    With global inventories still bulging, Gulf and other producers have shown increasing willingness to extend the pact to the end of 2017. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait signaled last week they were ready to prolong cuts. 

    Russia, whose contribution to the cuts was 300,000 bpd, has yet to state publicly whether it wants cuts to run beyond June, although Moscow was represented on a panel monitoring the pact that on Friday recommended an extension.

    But Russian officials have also indicated that local oil companies were ready to push up output once the pact runs out.

    "According to investment programs of (Russian) companies, it is possible Russian oil production will increase once the deal expires," Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich said, adding firms had been held back while the deal was in place.

    "If there are no restrictions, they will decide not to hold back," he said, speaking at the weekend on the sidelines of an economic conference in the East Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk.

    He did not give figures, but Energy Minister Alexander Novak told Reuters in March that output could reach 548 million-551 million tonnes a year in 2017, equivalent to 11.01 million-11.07 million bpd, the highest average since 1987.

    In 2016, Russia produced about 547.5 million tonnes, or an average of 10.96 million bpd.

    Under the deal with OPEC, Russia was to cut production to 10.947 million bpd from 11.247 million bpd, the level achieved in October 2016 that was the highest in the post-Soviet era.

    NEW OILFIELDS

    Although Russia has not said publicly it wanted cuts extended, Novak has said he would meet Russian oil companies this month to discuss the issue. He also said an extension would be discussed with OPEC on May 24.

    Without an extension, Raiffeisenbank analyst Andrey Polishchyuk forecast Russian output rising about 2 percent in the second half of 2017 to a peak of about 11 million bpd.

    "That's because we have new oilfields," he said.

    Projects and statements by Russian firms also indicate they are ready to increase output once restraints are lifted.

    Russia's biggest oil producer Rosneft has said it plans to boost output this year thanks to newly acquired oilfields, including Kondaneft group of fields in Western Siberia, the heartland of Russian production.

    The company had targeted 2 percent annual output growth in 2015-2017. Without any acquisitions, that would push 2017 production to more than 214 million tonnes, or 4.3 million bpd.

    Lukoil, the country's second-largest producer, has said it sees its oil output rising slightly if the global deal is not extended and could restore production to its pre-deal level in three to four months. [nL5N1GC47G]

    Mid-sized producer Tatneft said it expected to increase 2017 output by 0.5 million tonnes a year, or about 10,000 bpd, if the global production pact lapsed.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-oil-idUSKBN17Q1K2
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    India aims to cut petroleum imports as it boosts alternative fuel use


    India is aiming to cut its oil products imports to zero as it turns to alternative fuels such as methanol in its transport sector, a government official said at an investor briefing on Monday.

    "We are trying our level best that the day will come when we don't need to import any fuel from any country and that we will be self-sufficient," said Transport Minister Nitin Gadkari at a conference organised by Nomura in Singapore.

    But he could not provide a specific timeline for the target due to challenges with the distribution and availability of alternative fuels such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) in India, he said.

    "Auto-rickshaws are using LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) now...LNG is important but the availability of LNG and distribution is a big challenge... we have to develop that," he said.

    India is also planning to start 15 factories to produce second generation ethanol from biomass, bamboo and cotton straw as it aims to develop its mandate to blend ethanol into 5 percent of its gasoline, he added.

    "Bamboo is available from tribal areas... our vision is to be cost effective, import substitute and pollution free," he said.

    India imported about 33 million tonnes of oil products over April 2016 to February 2017, up nearly 24 percent from the same period a year ago, government data showed. The majority of the imports comprise petroleum coke and LPG.

    Energy consumption in India, the world's third-biggest oil consumer, is expected to grow as it targets between 8 to 9 percent economic growth this fiscal year from around 7 percent in 2016/17.

    To cut the country's carbon footprint, New Delhi wants to raise the use of natural gas in its energy mix to 15 percent in three to four years from 6.5 percent now.

    India is developing LNG bunker ports and plans to develop its electric vehicle fleet, Gadkari said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/india-oil-imports-idUSL4N1HW38M
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    Chevron to sell Bangladesh gas fields to Chinese consortium


    Chevron Corp is selling its three Bangladesh gas fields, worth an estimated $2 billion, to a Chinese consortium as the U.S. oil and gas group looks to shed non-core assets this year.

    The deal, if completed, would mark China's first major energy investment in the South Asian country, where Beijing is pumping in billions of dollars in a race with New Delhi and Tokyo for influence.

    The gas fields, which account for more than half of the total gas output in Bangladesh, are being sold to Himalaya Energy, Chevron said. Himalaya is owned by a consortium comprising state-owned China ZhenHua Oil and investment firm CNIC Corp.

    CNIC, set up in Hong Kong in 2012, is a government investment platform that focuses on supporting Chinese companies' overseas investment.

    Reuters reported in February that ZhenHua Oil had signed a preliminary deal with Chevron to buy the Bangladesh natural gas fields.

    "The agreement is for the sale of Chevron's Bangladesh companies, which hold our interests in Bangladesh," a company spokesman told Reuters by email on Monday. "The value of the transaction is not being disclosed and we are not at liberty to share the details of the agreement."

    A ZhenHua spokesperson confirmed the agreement, adding that the closing of the deal would depend on approval from China’s Ministry of Commerce.

    Chevron sells its entire output from the Bangladesh fields -- 16 million tonnes a year of oil equivalent -- to state oil company Petrobangla under a production-sharing contract.

    The Bangladesh government has the right of first refusal in any asset sale.

    Bangladesh's junior minister for power and energy, Nasrul Hamid, said that energy consultant Wood Mackenzie is still evaluating whether it would be profitable for the country to make a bid.

    "We can't take any decision hastily until we get the consultancy report," Hamid told Reuters. "We believe that Chevron would honor our request."

    The Chevron spokesman said that the Bangladesh government is "critical to the ongoing success of the business, including the transition to the new owner", and that it would maintain continuous communication with Dhaka as the process progresses.

    The gas fields -- Bibiyana, Jalalabad and Moulavi Bazar -- had average net daily output of 720 million cubic feet of gas and 3,000 barrels of condensate, or liquid hydrocarbon produced with gas.

    Chevron said in October 2015 that it planned to sell assets worth about $10 billion by 2017, including the Bangladesh gas fields and geothermal projects in Indonesia and the Philippines, amid a prolonged slump in energy prices.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-bangladesh-chevron-idUSKBN17Q0WS
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    Bulgaria may seek more time to reply to Gazprom concessions



    Bulgaria may need more time to respond to concessions proposed by Russian gas giant Gazprom in an EU antitrust case, its energy minister said on Monday, adding that while Sofia saw the concessions as positive it would like to see them expanded.

    A provisional agreement announced last month would see Gazprom avoid a fine of up to 10 percent of its global turnover over EU charges it abused its dominant market position and overcharged clients in eight eastern European nations.

    The deal is subject to feedback from EU states and market players that should be sent by May 4 and could still be amended or even abandoned.

    Bulgaria, which is almost completely reliant on Russian natural gas supplies, needs more clarity on the concessions and will send questions to Brussels later on Monday, interim energy minister Nikolai Pavlov told reporters.

    "We see the proposals as positive but we want them to be expanded," Pavlov said after a meeting with politicians from the election winning GERB party which is expected to form a coalition government in early May.

    "There are quite a few ambiguities on the proposed commitments ... If we do not get answers on time we will ask for the deadline to be extended, because the information is not sufficient," he said without elaborating.

    Gazprom's offer would see it scrap contract terms that bar clients from exporting its gas to other countries and tie deals to investments in pipelines. The company would also link its prices to benchmarks such as European gas market hub prices, rather than oil, and allow clients to renegotiate prices every two years.

    Pavlov said he expected the Bulgarian position to be agreed after a debate in parliament by the end of the week.

    He said current contracts with Gazprom allowed Bulgaria to export Russian gas and that Gazprom's proposal not to seek damages from Bulgarian partners over the cancelled South Stream gas pipeline project had been arranged back in 2012.

    A source, familiar with the matter said Bulgaria would need more details on the exact future benchmark for gas prices and would also seek guarantees it would be a natural gas transit country. Currently, Russia transports about 14-15 billion cubic metres of gas per year to Greece and Turkey through Bulgaria.

    "It is important to uphold the position of Bulgaria as a transit gas centre and defend the interests of the country through the possibility for following talks with Gazprom to renegotiate much better conditions and much better prices for gas supplies," said GERB party official and former energy minister Temenuzhka Petkova.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/gazprom-eu-bulgaria-idUSL8N1HT2HZ

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    UAE minister assures Abe of support to Japan for Abu Dhabi oil concessions


    The UAE's Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan assured Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Monday of providing Japan as much support as possible for retaining its oil concessions offshore Abu Dhabi, Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said a statement.

    The UAE foreign minister's comment came in response to Abe's remarks, expressing his hope for extending oil concessions held by Japanese companies offshore Abu Dhabi, which expire in March 2018, MOFA said.

    More than half of Japan's concessions offshore Abu Dhabi are set to expire in March 2018 if they are not renewed in some form.

    The offshore concessions held by Japanese companies in Abu Dhabi -- more than 60% of which are set to expire in March 2018 -- account for 40% of the country's global equity-based oil liftings.

    In terms of import volumes, the expiring stakes account for roughly 5%, or less than 200,000 b/d, of Japan's crude imports of around 3.37 million b/d.

    During the meeting in Tokyo earlier in the day, Sheikh Abdullah told Abe that the UAE wants to broaden its bilateral relationship with Japan, from the current dominance in energy, to political, security, education, science and technology, and investment, MOFA said.

    Japan is the largest buyer of the UAE crude oil, accounting for roughly a third of their export demand.

    Sheikh Abdullah also urged Abe to visit the UAE again, according to MOFA.

    In 2015, Japan's state-backed Inpex, in which Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry holds an 18.94% stake, was awarded a 5% stake in the giant Adco onshore oil concession.

    It followed exchanges of high-profile visits, including by Abu Dhabi's Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan in February 2014, following Abe's visit to the emirate in May 2013.

    Commenting on preparations by the leading UAE emirate Abu Dhabi to restructure its major offshore oil concessions, the UAE's oil minister Suhail al-Mazrouei said on April 18 the emirate was seeking a balance between its relationships with international partners and its need to include new partners from the Asian countries that import mostly Abu Dhabi crude.

    "Extending those ties with China, Korea, India, Japan is imperative," Mazrouei said.

    He said Abu Dhabi favors an open, competitive approach to future foreign investments in the country's major upstream energy projects.

    "It is a competitive process," he said. "I think what you will see is a fair process, an inclusive process. I cannot tell you who is going to be in it because it depends on who gives us the most value."

    http://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/tokyo/uae-minister-assures-abe-of-support-to-japan-26717616

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    Gazprom's western partners agree Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline financing


    Western partners of Russian gas giant Gazprom agreed on Monday on financing the 9.5-billion euro Nord Stream 2 pipeline, removing a key hurdle for the Russian plan to pump more gas to Europe.

    At a signing ceremony in Paris, Uniper, Wintershall, Shell, OMV and Engie agreed to each loan 10 percent of the cost of the venture, or 950 million euros each. Gazprom will shoulder 50 percent of the 55 billion cubic meter pipeline to start operations in 2019.

    Gazprom's CEO Alexei Miller touted the agreement as a "a symbol" of Western backing for the project, which critics fear will increase reliance on Russian gas and circumvent Ukraine as a primary transit route for supplies to Europe.

    The chairman of French gas and power group Engie said the new financial structure would allow Western partners to circumvent Polish government objections to an earlier plan for each company to get a 10 percent stakes in the venture.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/russia-nordstream-financing-idUSR4N1HL02I
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    Genscape Cushing Fri, Apr 21: Storage: 69.926MM


    Genscape Cushing Fri, Apr 21: Storage: 69.926MM Down -1.054mm from April 14; Down -346k bbls from Apr 20

    @zerohedge  
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    US onshore rig day rates jump as glut fades


    Perhaps the most surprising sign of a recovery in the US onshore drilling industry has been the abrupt about-face for day rates, an analysis by RigData, a unit of S&P Global Platts, showed.

    The first quarter has seen a 3.5% spike in the average day rate to $14,600, according to RigData. While that is still down from a record $19,015 in Q4 2014, it is the biggest quarter-to-quarter jump since the previous post-bust recovery in 2010.

    A major contributing factor to the day rate recovery has been the erosion of the rig glut, which can be monitored by tracking the available rig ratio. The ratio is calculated by dividing the number of available rigs by the number of marketed rigs.

    Once this ratio has sustained above a certain threshold, then day rates soften; when it trends below that threshold, day rates begin to rise.

    On a nationwide basis, that threshold historically has proven to be about 20%. The recent down cycle saw this ratio hit a record high before tumbling to the lowest point (19.6%) since the boom months of early 2014, thus presaging the strong day rate turnaround in Q1.

    COMPARING DAY RATE TURNAROUNDS

    As sharp as the day rate collapse was in 2015-16, it wasn't as steep as the plunge in the previous downturn in 2009, when day rates fell to roughly $11,500. The day rate average recovered by late 2014 before falling again during the recent bust.

    Most of that earlier rebound occurred during the first two quarters of 2010, when each quarter posted a double-digit gain.

    While rig demand ramped up nicely in that prior recovery period, the main reason the average day rate soared was the transformation of the rig fleet. Rigs with drawworks capacity of more than 1,000 horsepower had begun to dominate the drilling scene, especially Tier 1 Class D (1,500-1,999 hp) AC newbuilds. These newbuilds have been dominating horizontal drilling in the Permian Basin and elsewhere.

    The proliferation of these higher-cost rigs pulled the overall average day rate -- aggregated across all regions and all rig classes -- up to the record of $19,015 just before the downturn began.

    The inflation meant that AC rigs had the steepest decline of any rig power type but also the strongest recovery.

    The current day rate recovery will likely level off somewhat in the months to come, given the continuing fragility of the oil and gas commodity price recovery.

    But the average day rate for a US land rig will be higher than it had been historically. That's because the Class D rigs, which account for 69% of all active rigs and are averaging marketed utilization of more than 90% in Q1, are overwhelmingly the newbuild AC models.

    PERMIAN LEADS RIG COUNT RISE

    The US active land rig count climbed 28 rigs to 824 rigs the week ended April 14, according to RigData.

    Growth in the count was driven entirely by additions in oilier plays. Drilling that targeted oil-producing formations climbed 29 rigs, bringing the active oil rig count up to 603.

    The natural gas rig count fell by one to 221.

    The number of rigs participating in horizontal drilling efforts continues to climb, and at 693 as of April 14 was up 12 rigs week on week.

    The additional horizontal rigs were all due to pickups in the Permian Basin over the past week, which now stands at 280 rigs, or 40% of all US horizontal drilling.

    The Permian has been driving the rig recovery as breakeven costs remain low relative to spot crude prices. The Midland Permian breakeven is currently $31.71/b, according to the Platts Analytics Well Economics Analyzer, well below the current Midland WTI spot price, which is averaging $50.67/b in April.

    The last time the US horizontal rig count was above 700 rigs was about two years ago on April 3, 2015. At that time there were 180 horizontal rigs actively drilling the Permian, roughly 25% of the total, when the Midland breakeven was roughly $48/b.

    http://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/fortworth-texas/analysis-us-onshore-rig-day-rates-jump-as-glut-26718506

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    Explorer plans first test of fracking potential in North Slope shale


    An oil explorer hoping to bring the Lower 48's fracking revolution to Alaska will take a big step this week when it launches an effort to determine the production potential of crude oil locked in North Slope shale.

    The process is expected to start Wednesday, when Accumulate Energy Alaska begins drilling an exploration well along the Dalton Highway about 40 miles south of Prudhoe Bay.

    In June, it plans to hydraulically fracture that vertical well, using water, chemicals and sand to crack and hold open rock so oil flows from the shale. A production test to determine how the well oil flows is also expected this summer.

    Paul Decker, a state petroleum geologist, said this will be the first test of its kind on the North Slope. Accumulate Energy will target residual oil and gas that never migrated out of rocks that are considered one of the sources for the crude oil at the giant Prudhoe Bay oil field.

    Similar efforts, using long-distance horizontal wells and hydraulic fracturing, have sharply boosted oil and gas production from shale in Texas and other states. Alaska officials, facing a future of falling oil production and revenues, have waited years for a similar turnaround on the North Slope.

    Sen. Bill Wielechowski, D-Anchorage, said he's been hoping for unconventional shale production to take off in Alaska since exploration company Great Bear Petroleum told lawmakers about six years ago that shale oil could boost daily oil production by hundreds of thousands of barrels.

    Great Bear, which holds large chunks of land, is now targeting more economic, conventional oil prospects at its leases. The company hopes those prospects can help foot the bill for the costlier shale-oil extraction that requires multiple wells.

    "I've heard the potential is tremendous, but is it affordable?" Wielechowski said.

    Accumulate Energy, based in Houston, Texas, hopes to find out, an official said. The company plans to drill the test well about 2 miles deep from the existing Franklin Bluffs gravel pad just off the highway.

    Accumulate drilled an original exploration well off the pad more than a year ago, collecting core samples for testing. On April 6, Accumulate received a drilling permit for the upcoming test well from the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission.

    After drilling that first well at Icewine, south of Deadhorse, the company, a subsidiary of an Australian independent, moved aggressively to broaden its stake in Alaska.

    Accumulate and partner Burgundy Xploration, also of Houston, snatched up about 400,000 acres at a state lease sale in December. That increased the companies' holdings to about 700,000 acres.

    Burgundy Xploration's chief executive is Paul Basinski, who helped discover the large Eagle Ford shale play in Texas. He told Alaska's Energy Desk in March that the prospect's name, Icewine, comes from his fondness for German ice wine, a sweet drink made from grapes that froze on the vine.

    Erik Opstad, Accumulate Energy's general manager in Alaska, said on Friday that good flow rates from a single exploration well won't prove North Slope shale is commercially viable. A good test will lead to more analysis, including whether the flow rates are enough to overcome the high cost of development.

    "You can't make huge and grandiose statements based on one well, no matter the results. But if it's positive, that's perhaps more encouraging than not for Alaska," he said.

    Pat Galvin, chief commercial officer at Great Bear and a former Alaska revenue commissioner, said he's looking forward to seeing what Accumulate learns.

    "If they are successful, it will mean good things for our area as well," Galvin said. "We wish them the best and hope for success."

    Mark Myers, former head of the U.S. Geological Survey and the Alaska Department of Natural Resources, said shale-oil production will require large amounts of water and sand for hydraulic fracturing. The costs of infrastructure, such as for new roads or new drilling pads, are some of the factors that will have to be weighed, along with the project's environmental impact.

    USGS assessments show lots of oil in North Slope shale, he said. Accumulate's test can help determine whether the oil can be technically and economically produced.

    https://www.adn.com/business-economy/energy/2017/04/23/explorer-plans-first-test-of-oil-potential-in-prudhoe-bay-shale/

    Attached Files
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    Halliburton gains from surge in North America drilling


    Halliburton Co said on Monday that oil producers are completing nearly as many wells as they are drilling, a major reversal from when companies left wells unfinished in anticipation of higher oil prices.

    Increased demand for Halliburton's pressure pumping and well-construction services helped the world's No.2 oilfield services provider report slightly better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue.

    "There's no doubt that the pace of completions activity is catching up with the rig count, and we expect to see that relationship continue into next quarter, most certainly," interim Chief Financial Officer Robb Voyles said on a post-earnings call.

    Halliburton's long-time chief financial officer, Mark McCollum, is taking up the role of chief executive at smaller rival Weatherford International Plc.

    U.S. shale producers have been putting more rigs to work, buoyed by oil prices that have stabilized above $50 after a more than two-year slump.

    And since the fourth quarter of 2016, oil producers have also returned to complete wells they had left unfinished during the downturn on hopes of bringing them online when prices rose.

    Halliburton said on Monday it expects revenue in its completion and production unit to increase in the upper teens in percentage terms in the second quarter, with margins expected to increase by 275-325 basis points.

    The company's revenue from North America rose 24.4 percent in the first quarter ended March 31.

    "North America activity increased rapidly during the first quarter, which was highlighted by our U.S. land revenue growth of nearly 30 percent, outperforming the sequential average U.S. land rig count growth of 27 percent," Halliburton's Chief Executive Dave Lesar said in a statement.

    However, Halliburton and larger rival Schlumberger (SLB.N) have been burdened by the costs associated with reactivating idled equipment to meet the increase in demand.

    Halliburton's reactivation costs are expected to persist into the second quarter, President Jeffrey Miller said on the call.

    The company on Monday posted an adjusted profit of 4 cents per share, edging past analysts' average estimate of 3 cents, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

    Analysts had sharply lowered their estimates after Halliburton warned last month of higher costs and weak demand in markets outside North America.

    Revenue rose 1.9 percent to $4.28 billion, inching past analysts' average estimate of $4.26 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-halliburton-results-idUSKBN17Q10K
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    East Coast refiners eye Texas oil as North Dakota alternative


    U.S. East Coast refiners are looking to buy increasing volumes of domestic crude oil from the Gulf Coast, two sources said, the latest twist in a trade flow upheaval in the wake of the opening of the Dakota Access pipeline.

    Major U.S. East Coast refiners profited from railing hundreds of thousands of barrels of discounted Bakken crude to their plants daily from 2013 until 2015. But as more and more pipelines were built in North Dakota, the discount began to disappear, and so did the rail cars.

    Now, at least two East Coast refiners, Phillips 66 (PSX.N) and Delta Air Lines Inc's (DAL.N) subsidiary Monroe Energy, are looking to move more crude by ship from Texas into the Philadelphia area. The Dakota Access pipeline starts up in May, giving the Gulf access to the Bakken shale play, and will likely sap any lingering economic incentive for Bakken-by-rail, which is more expensive.

    This option is more expensive than oil imported to the East Coast, typically from Nigeria. Analysts and traders expected that once the Dakota line came into service, East Coast and West Coast refiners would rely on foreign barrels.

    In 2016, 13 million barrels of crude went from the U.S. Gulf to the East Coast, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. By comparison, the East Coast took in 323 million barrels of imported crude last year.

    Shipping sources say that costs could range between $2.60 to $3.50 a barrel for the two-week round trip on a U.S. flagged vessel. That is lower than the peak, brokers said, because a number of spare vessels are available. Taking a cargo of Nigerian Bonny Light to Philadelphia costs about $1.40 a barrel, brokers said.

    Brokers interviewed said bringing U.S. oil via tanker to the East Coast gives refiners access to a variety of crude grades available in Texas, where most U.S. oil ends up now.

    "It's about optimizing assets. From Texas, you could bring up Eagle Ford, Permian or even Bakken crude," said one source.

    That journey could guarantee a steady supply of domestic crude, as both Phillips 66 and Monroe Energy already have U.S.-flagged Jones Act tankers contracted, brokers said, so bringing that crude would not be difficult. Phillips 66 and other refiners use their tankers to shuffle products to higher margin regions or to bring crude to their refineries.

    Even with added Gulf shipments to the East Coast, refiners there should still receive the bulk of their supply from foreign sources due to economics, said Sandy Fielden, director of oil and products research for Morningstar.

    West Africa produces crude that is "gasoline rich," he said, important for East Coast refiners. He said he doubts sending Jones Act tankers makes a lot of sense financially because the spread between global benchmark Brent LCOc1 and U.S. West Texas crude CLc1 futures is not enough to justify the shift.

    In an earnings call last year, Phillips 66 President Tim Taylor said the combination of the Dakota pipeline and water could potentially supply the 285,000 barrel per day Bayway refinery in Linden, New Jersey.

    Moving crude by water from the Gulf up the Eastern Seaboard is not unheard of. Since October, NARL Refining LP has booked at least seven cargoes from Texas ports to its 130,000 bpd Come-By-Chance refinery in Newfoundland, in eastern Canada. In the previous 10 months, NARL booked just four Texas cargoes, according to Reuters Eikon shipping data.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-refineries-dakota-idUSKBN17R0CE
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    Alternative Energy

    Hainan: clean energy installed capacity proportion over 50% in 2020


    As of 2020, the installed power capacity in Hainan province would stand at 11.5 GW, over half of which is expected to come from clean energy, the provincial government recently announced in a notice.

    Nuclear installed capacity would stand at 1.3 GW, generating 9.1 TWh of power in 2020; that of hydropower would amount to 1.5 GW, (including pumped storage), generating 2.3 TWh of electricity in the year.

    Non-fossil energy was planned to account for about 17% of total energy consumption in the province by 2020, the notice also pointed out.

    Power generation from non-fossil energy would be up to 14.4 TWh in 2020, or 33% of the power consumption in this province.

    By 2020, clean thermal and nuclear power would be the main power in Hainan. Power from gas and pumped storage generation would be used for peak-load regulation.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4555125/info/en
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    Agriculture

    Vomitoxin makes nasty appearance for U.S. farm sector


    A fungus that causes “vomitoxin” has been found in some U.S. corn harvested last year, forcing poultry and pork farmers to test their grain, and giving headaches to grain growers already wrestling with massive supplies and low prices.

    The plant toxin sickens livestock and can also make humans and pets fall ill.

    The appearance of vomitoxin and other toxins produced by fungi is affecting ethanol markets and prompting grain processors to seek alternative sources of feed supplies.

    Researchers at the U.S. Department of Agriculture first isolated the toxin in 1973 after an unusually wet winter in the Midwest. The compound was given what researchers described as the “trivial name” vomitoxin because pigs were refusing to eat the infected corn or vomiting after consuming it. The U.S. Corn Belt had earlier outbreaks of infection from the toxin in 1966 and 1928.

    A vessel carrying a shipment of corn from Paraguay is due next month at a North Carolina port used by Smithfield Foods, Inc the world's largest pork producer.

    The spread of vomitoxin is concentrated in Indiana, Wisconsin, Ohio, and parts of Iowa and Michigan, and its full impact is not yet known, according to state officials and data gathered by food testing firm Neogen Corp. (NEOG.O)

    In Indiana, 40 of 92 counties had at least one load of corn harvested last fall that has tested positive for vomitoxin, according to the Office of Indiana State Chemist's county survey. In 2015 and 2014, no more than four counties saw grain affected by the fungus.

    And in a "considerable" share of corn crops tested in Michigan, Wisconsin and Indiana since last fall's harvest, the vomitoxin levels have tested high enough to be considered too toxic for humans, pets, hogs, chickens and dairy cattle, according to public and private data compiled by Neogen. The company did not state what percent of each state's corn crop was tested.

    Smithfield would not confirm it had ordered the corn from Paraguay, but two independent grain trading sources said Smithfield was the likely buyer. A company source said corn Smithfield has brought in from Indiana and Ohio, to feed pigs in North Carolina, has been "horrible quality” due to the presence of mycotoxins.

    TOXIN LEVELS

    The U.S. Food and Drug Administration allows vomitoxin levels of up to 1 part per million (ppm) in human and pet foods and recommends levels under 5 ppm in grain for hogs, 10 ppm for chickens and dairy cattle. Beef cattle can withstand toxin levels up to 30 ppm.

    Alltech Inc, a Kentucky-based feed supplement company, said 73 percent of feed samples it has tested this year have vomitoxin. The company analyzed samples sent by farmers whose animals have fallen ill.

    "We know there is lots of bad corn out there, because corn byproducts keep getting worse," said Max Hawkins, a nutritionist with Alltech.

    Neogen, which sells grain testing supplies, reported a 29 percent jump in global sales for toxin tests - with strong demand for vomitoxin tests - in their fiscal third quarter, ending Feb. 28.

    "We're polling our customers and continually talking to them about the levels they're seeing. Those levels are not going down," said Pat Frasco, director of sales for Neogen's milling, grain and pet food business.

    The problem, stemming from heavy rain before and during the 2016 harvest, prompted farmers to store wet grain, said farmers, ethanol makers and grain inspectors.

    The issue was compounded by farmers and grain elevators storing corn on the ground and other improvised spaces, sometimes covering the grain piles with plastic tarps. Grain buyers say they will have a clearer picture of the problem later this spring, as more farm-stored grain is moved to market.

    Iowa State University grain quality expert Charles Hurburgh said the sheer size of the harvest in 2016 – the largest in U.S. history – complicates the job of managing toxins in grain, especially in the core Midwest.

    "Mycotoxins are very hard to handle in high volume," he said. "You can't test every truckload, or if you do, you are only going to unload 20 trucks in a day.” By comparison, corn processors in Iowa unload 400 or more trucks a day.

    BIOFUEL IMPACTS

    Ethanol makers already are feeling the impact. Turning corn into ethanol creates a byproduct called distillers dried grains (DDGs), which is sold as animal feed. With fuel prices low, the DDGs can boost profitability.

    But the refining process triples the concentration of mycotoxins, making the feed byproduct less attractive. DDG prices in Indiana fell to $92.50 per ton in February, the lowest since 2009, and now are selling for $97.50 per ton, according to USDA.

    Many ethanol plants are testing nearly every load of corn they receive for the presence of vomitoxin, said Indiana grain inspector Doug Titus, whose company has labs at The Andersons Inc (ANDE.O), a grain handler, and energy company Valero Energy (VLO) sites.

    The Andersons in a February call with analysts said vomitoxin has hurt results at three of its refineries in the eastern U.S. "That will be with us for some time," Andersons' chief executive Pat Bowe said.

    Missouri grain farmer Doug Roth, who put grain into storage after last year’s wet harvest, has seen a few loads of corn rejected by clients who make pet food after the grain tested positive for low levels of fumonisin, a type of mycotoxin.

    Roth said he paid to reroute the grain to livestock producers in Arkansas, who planned to blend it with unaffected grain in order to mitigate the effect of the toxins.

    "As long as this doesn’t become a widespread problem, we're all fine," said Roth, who said toxins have shown up in less than 1 percent of the grain loads he has sold.

    U.S. farmers with clean corn are reaping a price bump. A Cardinal Ethanol plant in Union City, Indiana, is offering grain sellers a 10-cent per bushel premium for corn with less than one-part-per-million (ppm) or less of vomitoxin in it, according to the company's website.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-corn-toxins-exclusive-idUSKBN17N2M5
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    California rains muddy farm fields, higher vegetable prices soak shoppers


    Record rains are a double-edged sword for California's Salinas Valley: While the recent deluge virtually ended the state's historic drought, it also created muddy, unworkable fields - sending prices for everything from kale to cauliflower soaring.

    The famed agricultural region just south of Silicon Valley is usually a springtime sea of green vegetables. But this year, there are patches of brown unplanted dirt in "America's salad bowl," which supplies more than 60 percent of the country's leaf lettuce and almost half of its broccoli.

    "Most fields under normal conditions would be planted at this point," Jerrett Stoffel, vice president of operations at Taylor Farms, said in an interview at the privately held company's sprawling outpost in Salinas, California.

    Taylor Farms is a major provider of produce to customers such as grocer Kroger Co and burrito seller Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

    "No matter whether you live here or you live in Boston, you're going to see the impact" on supply and prices, Stoffel said.

    Salinas has been struck by a series supply-squeezing events, said Roland Fumasi, a Rabobank analyst who covers the fresh fruit, vegetable and flower sectors.

    Unusually hot weather in desert growing areas such as Yuma, Arizona, and California's Imperial Valley during December and January resulted in early harvests. California's 90-mile long Salinas Valley, which runs from Salinas to King City, couldn't fill the supply gap because heavy rains in January and February delayed or prevented some planting.

    And, more recent rains have lowered yields and delayed harvests for some crops that are in the ground.

    Since Oct. 1, Salinas has received 16.4 inches of rain, significantly more than normal rainfall of almost 12 inches annually, said Eric Boldt, a National Weather Service meteorologist.

    California's rainy season usually wraps up at the end of April, and the 14-day weather outlook suggests that is holding, Boldt said.

    "By the middle of next month, we might be pretty close to normal supply-side conditions," said Fumasi. "If we were to get heavy rains, then all bets are off."

    The supply crimp sent up wholesale prices, which are usually passed on to shoppers.

    Prices for boxes of California spinach and kale were up 20 percent and 87 percent, respectively, for the first two weeks of April versus the same period in 2016, according to data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

    The moves have been more dramatic for broccoli and cauliflower. Broccoli more than tripled to $30.21 per box from $9.08; cauliflower is at $37.52 versus $13.74, USDA data as of April 15 shows.

    Doug Classen, vice president of sales at the Nunes Co, which grows and ships Foxy brand produce, said there are few options for filling the supply gap since there is not much product coming from Mexico and other parts of the United States.

    When asked about the area's supply prospects, Classen uttered words unthinkable just a year ago: "Let's put it this way, I don't want to see any more rain."

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-california-produce-supply-idUSKBN17N2LX
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    Precious Metals

    Newmont beats market, ups long-term output forecast


    Newmont Mining Corp reported higher-than-expected adjusted earnings on Monday helped by higher production and gold prices as the gold miner also raised its longer-term forecast for output and lowered costs due to expansions at a Ghanaian mine.

    The world's second-biggest gold producer by market value said adjusted earnings in the first quarter increased 4 percent to $133 million, or 25 cents per diluted share, from the same quarter in 2016.

    That was ahead of analysts' average forecasts of 22 cents a share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

    The Greenwood Village, Colorado-based miner, which has mines in the Americas, Africa and Australia left unchanged its gold production forecast for 2017.

    But it raised its production forecast for 2018 and beyond to between 4.7 million and 5.2 million ounces on the back of recently-approved expansions at its Ahafo mine in Ghana. Newmont had previously forecast production remaining stable at 4.5 million to 5.0 million ounces in this period.

    Newmont said all-in sustaining cost forecasts were unchanged for 2017 and 2018 but longer-term costs would fall to between $870 and $970 per ounce on increased production from Ahafo. Previously Newmont had forecast costs of between $880 and $980 per ounce in this period.

    Newmont announced plans on April 20 to extend production at its Ahafo mine by building a new underground mine and expanding plant capacity by 50 percent.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-newmont-mining-results-idUSKBN17Q26O
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    Galantas Gold plummets as it halts Irish mine expansion on terrorism fears


    Shares in Galantas Gold collapsed in London Monday after the Canadian miner announced it had halted expansion work at its Omagh gold mine as the Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) said it was unable to guarantee it the necessary “anti-terrorism cover” for its blasting operations.

    The Toronto-based company, which had has begun underground development at Omagh last month, was going to create 130 new jobs due to the expansion, but it now says it was reviewing potential redundancies with recently hired mine staff, and any new recruitment or ongoing investment had been “deferred”.

    The Police Service of Northern Ireland told the miner it cannot grant it daily anti-terrorism cover for its blasting operations at the Omagh gold mine.

    The stock plummeted on the news and it was down almost 33% to 4.65p at 1:41 pm GMT.

    PSNI told the company that due to resource constraints and competing priorities, it was currently only prepared to provide anti-terrorism cover for a maximum of a two-hour period, two days a week. Such supervision, a regular duty of PSNI, is considered crucial to avoid that the transportation and use of certain rock breaking materials and explosives ends in hand of terrorists, the company said.

    Galantas noted the PSNI was also requesting a “cost recovery agreement” for the limited potential reduced protection and added the offered time was insufficient to sustain the development or operation of the mine.

    The company said that it was prepared to enter into a costs recovery agreement, provided supervision was granted for a two-hour period, five days per week., Galantas Gold’s president and chief executive, Roland Phelps, said the PSNI’s stance was a blow to the proposed mine development and to the livelihoods of its employees.

    The PSNI decision may jeopardize the future of other projects currently being developed in the area, including Canada’s Dalradian Resources (TSX:DNA) (LON:DALR), which has been working on its proposed gold project in Tyrone, North Ireland, since early 2010.

    The Toronto-based junior owns the mineral rights to more than 80,000 hectares in Northern Ireland, which includes its flagship Curraghinalt gold project outside Gortin, identified as one of the top ten undeveloped gold deposits by grade in the world.

    Northern Ireland holds the world’s seventh richest undeveloped seam of gold, but political violence kept most investors away for about three decades.

    http://www.mining.com/galantas-gold-plummets-halts-irish-mine-expansion-terrorism-fears/
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    De Beers achieves 8% y/y increase in Q1 diamond output


    Diamond giant De Beers’ rough diamond production increased by 8% to 7.4-million carats in the first quarter of the year, reflecting the contribution of the Gahcho Kué mine, in Canada.

    The joint venture mine reached commercial production on March 2 and contributed 600 000 ct to De Beers’ production for the quarter.

    De Beers Consolidated Mines (DBCM), in South Africa, increased production by 19% to 1.1-million carats, largely as a result of higher grades at the Venetia site.

    Namdeb Holdings, in Namibia, recorded a 6% increase in diamond production, to 500 000 ct.

    However, the miner noted that, in Botswana, Debswana’s production decreased marginally to 5.2-million carats, while production at Jwaneng decreased by 8% owing to expected lower grades. This was partly offset by Orapa, where production increased by 5% owing to higher grades.

    Total rough diamond sales volumes for the quarter reached 14.1-million carats, reflecting stronger demand, particularly for lower-value goods in stock at December 31.

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/de-beers-achieves-8-yy-increase-in-q1-diamond-output-2017-04-24
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    Base Metals

    Alcoa Corporation Reports First Quarter 2017 Results


    Company grew profits sequentially on stronger alumina and aluminium pricing

    “Alcoa is off to a strong start with our first full quarter as an independent company”

    1Q 2017 Results1

    Net income of $225 million, or $1.21 per share
    Excluding special items, adjusted net income of $117 million, or $0.63 per share
    Adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA), excluding special items of $533 million, up 59 percent sequentially driven by higher alumina and aluminium pricing
    Revenue of $2.7 billion, up 5 percent sequentially, reflecting increased alumina and aluminium pricing
    $804 million cash balance and $1.45 billion of debt, for net debt of $0.65 billion, as of March 31, 2017
    Company continues to expect full-year 2017 adjusted EBITDA, excluding special items, between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion2

    Alcoa Corporation, a global leader in bauxite, alumina, and aluminium products, today reported that first quarter 2017 profits grew sequentially on stronger alumina and aluminium pricing and that it maintained a solid cash position.

    In addition, the Company reiterated its expectations of full-year 2017 adjusted EBITDA, excluding special items, between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion, based on April 2017 market assumptions, and net performance of $50 million for the year.

    “Alcoa is off to a strong start with our first full quarter as an independent company,” said Roy Harvey, Chief Executive Officer of Alcoa. “In our Bauxite segment, our third-party business remained strong and we continued to grow profits, while our Alumina and Aluminium segments captured the benefits of improved market pricing to increase earnings substantially.”

    Harvey continued: “Over the last few months, we also remained focused on our strategic priorities. To reduce complexity, we consolidated our business units and administrative locations; we began to put our return seeking capital to work across our businesses to drive returns, and we continued to strengthen the balance sheet by maintaining a healthy level of cash on hand. As we look forward to the rest of 2017, we are well positioned to deliver value to our stockholders.”

    In first quarter 2017, Alcoa reported net income of $225 million, or $1.21 per share. Results include $108 million of special items largely due to gains from the sale of the Yadkin Hydroelectric Project. First quarter 2017 results compare to a net loss of $125 million, or $(0.68) per share, in fourth quarter 2016, which included costs to streamline the portfolio.

    Excluding the impact of special items, first quarter 2017 adjusted net income was $117 million, or $0.63 per share. In fourth quarter 2016, Alcoa’s adjusted net income was $26 million, or $0.14 per share, excluding special items.

    Alcoa reported first quarter 2017 adjusted EBITDA excluding special items of $533 million, up 59 percent from $335 million in fourth quarter 2016. In first quarter 2017, Alcoa reported revenue of $2.7 billion, up 5 percent sequentially. Both revenue and adjusted EBITDA excluding special items increased on higher alumina and aluminium pricing.

    In the first quarter, the Company’s cash from operations was $74 million and free cash flow was $3 million. Alcoa ended the first quarter of 2017 with cash on hand of $804 million after transferring the net proceeds received from the Yadkin sale to former parent Arconic Inc. according to terms of the separation agreement. The Company reported 19 days working capital.

    In an ongoing effort to reduce complexity, in the first quarter Alcoa streamlined its business segments into three, focused on bauxite, alumina and aluminium. Earlier this month, the Company also announced a consolidation of its administrative locations.

    http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170424006400/en/Alcoa-Corporation-Reports-Quarter-2017-Results/?feedref=JjAwJuNHiystnCoBq_hl-YKT6SDyMw5Lye4ovXwHmkqD8R-QU5o2AvY8bhI9uvWSD8DYIYv4TIC1g1u0AKcacnnViVjtb72bOP4-4nHK5idAXrgr_e1ZUbxvK6BY66Xm&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter    
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    Steel, Iron Ore and Coal

    BHP said it could lift force majeure


    Rag Udd the chief executive of BHP Billiton Mitsubishi Alliance, said shipments would quickly increase when the Goonyella, the largest rail network in the region reopens this week. Trains have been unable to use the line because of a mudslide.

     He said it would allow the BHP and its Japanese partner to lift a force majeure provision. This is a legal term for when a company is unable to meet contracts because of circumstances out of their control.

    Udd's comments came after BMA said it would invest $200 million on a new conveyor system to link two of its mines in Queensland.

    By taking advantage of excess handling capacity at one mine, the new link will boost its coking coal output by 4 million tonnes, said BMA.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4555188/info/en
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    Vessel queue at Newcastle PWCS coal terminals hits five-week high


    The vessel queue at the Port Waratah Coal Services terminals at Newcastle port in Australia increased to 16 ships on April 23, hit a five-week high from 13 the week prior, citing the Hunter Valley Coal Chain Coordinator's weekly report.

    The queue is expected to fall back in line with the year-to-date average of nine ships in the coming weeks, with the Hunter Valley Coal Chain Coordinator predicting that there would be nine ships end-April and 10 end-May.

    Inbound receivals to PWCS totaled 3.51 million tonnes for the week ended April 23, up from 3.38 million tonnes the previous week, data from HVCCC shows. Port Waratah coal stocks finished the week at 1.05 million tonnes, down by 131,000 tonnes from the previous week, it said.

    There were no vessels loading coal at the Dalrymple Bay Coal Terminal and 28 at anchor on April 24, down from one loading and 30 at anchor a week earlier, DBCT Management data showed.

    The Goonyella rail system, which connects to DBCT, remains closed due to damage caused by Cyclone Debbie late March. Latest advice from operator Aurizon showed it scheduled to reopen on April 26.

    The Port Kembla Coal Terminal had six ships assembled and two queuing, up from zero queuing and assembled a week earlier as well as above the year-to-date average of one assembled and one queuing, data from the terminal's operators showed.

    Coal stocks at PKCT fell from around 231,029 tonnes week on week to 117,513 tonnes, it said. The terminal exported around 258,481 tonnes last week, which is basically similar to the 261,618 tonnes shipped the previous week, data showed.
     
    The RG Tanna coal terminal at the Port of Gladstone had four ships at berth and 27 at anchor, compared to four at berth and 32 at anchor a week earlier, data from the Gladstone Ports Corporation showed.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4555209/info/en
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    Tianjin to clear out coal-fired boilers in central districts


    Northern China's Tianjin planned to ban all coal-fired boilers in the central districts to speed up the progress of air quality improvement, said Xinhua News Agency on April 23.

    The city will ban all coal-fired boilers with annual capacity below 35 tonnes in Binhai New District and four districts around the city. All 10 -tonne and below coal-fired boilers, stoves and coal furnaces in other districts would also be eliminated.

    To achieve a reduction of 10-million-tonne coal consumption from 2012, Tianjin was on track to change energy structure, connect grids or use alternative clean energy, planned in an air pollution prevention program of Tianjin in 2017.

    By end-October this year, Tianjin will shut down four power generation units with capacity totaling 800 MW in Tianjin Junliangcheng Power generation Co., Ltd and another three with total capacity of 62 MW in Jinghai thermal power plant.

    Moreover, by the end of October, the city will also strive to realize zero coal use, particularly for scattered end users like households, in the center districts, Binhai New District and other district government-based streets. Clean coal will take the place of the traditional one in the demolition and renovation regions.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4555186/info/en

    Attached Files
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    China Mar CBM output slips 0.3% on year


    China produced 650 million cubic meters (mcm) of coalbed methane (CBM) in March, a small drop of 0.3% year on year, showed the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

    The CBM output totaled 1.91 billion cubic meters (bcm) over January-March, up 3.2% from the year prior, the data also showed.

    Since 2012, CBM production in China has showed a growing trend. For the whole year of 2012, China's CBM production reached 3.39 bcm. In 2016, China's total output of CBM increased to 7.48 bcm, surging 120.6% from the year-ago level.

    CBM resources within depth of 2,000m underground in Shanxi, a resource-rich northern province in China, amounted to 8,309.8 bcm, accounting for about 1/4 of the country's total. As of end-2015, accumulated proven CBM geological reserves in Shanxi reached 560 bcm, or 88% of the country's total.

    The ground-based extraction of CBM has the highest utilization rate. In this way, the purity of CBM can reach more than 90%, bringing high economic and use value.

    In the light of the current production trend, China's CBM resources extraction and utilization will maintain a rapid growth. CBM is expected to become China's "new energy noble".

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4555171/info/en
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    China tightens steel firms scrutiny


    China removed 29 steel plants from a "normal list" and urged 40 others to reform to help cut overcapacity and enhance the industry's competitiveness, said the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on April 24.

    Most of the 29 companies were considered inefficient, engaged in illegal production or were heavily debt-laden, while some "stopped operations to echo the national call to cut supply," the ministry said. Another 40 steel companies were urged to cut pollution and upgrade equipment.

    The ministry listed 304 steel companies as normal between 2013 and 2015 based on standards in environmental protection, quality, energy consumption and safety, the ministry said. But it will "keep monitoring the industry and re-select normal companies to ensure competitiveness of the industry," it said.

    The 29 companies will have "to be seriously supervised by local authorities" although they can continue to their operations, the ministry said.

    The ministry can close the companies if they fail to meet quality and are not efficient after they have been supervised.

    The other 40 firms were given "yellow card" warnings after they failed to meet environmental protection or safety rules. They would be stripped of the normal classification if they don't improve within one year.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4555212/info/en
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    Japan steel industry head says concerned at Trump "protectionism"


    Japanese steelmakers are concerned at "protectionism" by U.S. President Donald Trump, Japan Iron and Steel Federation chairman Kosei Shindo said on Monday, following Trump's first shot across China's bows over steel exports.

    Japan is the world's second-largest steel producer, although Shindo said it was too early to assume a U.S. probe into exporters of cheap steel would draw in Japanese steel makers.

    "We are greatly concerned over Trump's protectionism, although we hear he has softened his tone on some issues with a grasp of reality," Shindo, who is also president of Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corp, told a news conference.

    "We will need to closely watch his actual policies and negotiations," he added.

    Trump on Thursday launched a trade probe against China and other exporters of cheap steel into the U.S. market, raising the possibility of new tariffs.

    Diverging from the Obama administration's approach to the issue, which relied largely on filing complaints to the World Trade Organisation, Trump ordered a probe under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, which lets the president impose restrictions on imports for reasons of national security.

    Shindo also said he expects coking coal prices to gradually fall as rail lines resume operations in cyclone-hit Australia, Japan's biggest supplier, although it could take a while for the supply chain to return to normal.

    The price of coking coal - a key steel-making ingredient - has jumped since Cyclone Debbie last month cut rail lines in the world's biggest coking coal export region.

    Japanese steelmakers have bought coking coal from the United States, Canada and China to replace lost supply from Australia, but are paying nearly double the $150 a tonne price being discussed with sellers for second-quarter supply before the supply disruption.

    Shindo also said recent weakness in China's steel market will be short-lived as domestic demand is "pretty solid", even as the market digests higher inventories of steel panels.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/japan-steel-idUSL4N1HW2AD
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