Mark Latham Commodity Equity Intelligence Service

Monday 8th May 2017
Background Stories on www.commodityintelligence.com

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    Macro

    China Apr Export in USD Terms +8% YoY; Imports +11.9%

    China Apr Export in USD Terms +8% YoY; Imports +11.9%
       
    The General Administration of Customs (GAC) announced that in USD terms, China exports rose 8% yearly in April, lower than the estimates of 11.3%. Imports gained 11.9% yearly, also below the consensus of rising 18%. During the month, total value of imports and exports added 9.7% yearly to US$321.96 billion. Trade surplus was RMB 38.05 billion, against forecast of US$35.2 billion .

    For the first four months of 2017, in USD terms, China's exports lifted 8.1% yearly while imports climbed 20.8% yearly. Trade surplus was US$103.337 billion.

    http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analysis/china-hot-topic-content.aspx?id=200000469305&type=3&catg=2
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    US floods, river closures delay corn, metals barges; little oil impact


    Flooding in the US Midwest involving key waterways is having mixed impacts on commodities markets thus far, with some already facing delivery delays due to river closures and more potentially to come as the high water moves steadily downriver, while in others operations remain normal.

    High water on the Mississippi River has prompted two closures on the upper channel from Cairo, Illinois, and further north. And flooding already occurring in St. Louis was expected to continue to expand along the Mississippi River throughout the month.

    Other rivers are also affected, including the Illinois River, such that the Chicago Board of Trade has declared force majeure for corn and soybean shipping hubs due to flooding on that waterway, according to a Thursday notice.

    Some metals shipments via barge are seeing or are expected to see impacts from the flooding, while the movement of crude oil, petroleum products and petrochemicals appeared largely unaffected thus far, according to sources across commodity markets.

    Yet flooding and river-terminal closures have not necessarily impacted prices of affected commodities yet, according to sources, who also noted that flooding is a regular event, happening every few years.

    For instance, corn market sources said that while the terminal closures will have some impact on physical deliveries, they are unlikely to affect prices as the market has largely already priced them in.

    Flooding did delay scrap transactions in the St. Louis market that were still not completely finalized by late Friday. St. Louis is upriver on the Mississippi from major scrap-consuming electric-arc furnaces in the Southeast.

    "We will definitely see some shipment delays due to flooding and navigation restrictions," a scrap supplier said. "Shippers using spot rates will get squeezed on freight rates for a period of time."

    And a ferroalloys supplier who uses warehouses in Chicago said he was facing delays of barges to that city and cannot get arrival dates.

    "We've been supplying a customer in the Midwest from Pittsburgh, but I can't do that for much longer," the supplier said. The Midwest customer would normally be supplied from Chicago.

    An overseas ferroalloys producer who supplies the US said he had not had a problem yet, but was "watching it closely."

    He expected the high waters and river closures would eventually have an impact, and said he had sold a truckload of ferrosilicon to a trader on Friday at 82 cents/lb, cash, in-warehouse Chicago, prompt release, up from prices of 78-80 cents earlier this week.

    Traffic is restricted due to high water levels on the upper Mississippi River, with closures from mile markers 33 to 109.9, beginning near Cairo, Illinois, and working north to just south of Chester, Illinois, and at mile marker 535 in Clinton, Iowa, due to a bridge closure, according to Petty Officer Third Class Lora Ratliff of the Eighth US Coast Guard District.

    "Beyond those closures there are no restrictions I am aware of," she said.

    CRUDE, PRODUCTS MARKETS UNHAMPERED The movement of crude oil and petroleum products has seen little impact by the flooding, according to tanker market participants.

    "There are some delays [on the barge market] associated with the flooding, but it has not had any affect on rates so far," a Jones Act shipowner said.

    The flooding has occurred in an area where only barges have been affected, because tankers do not travel that far upriver, he said. The shipowner saw all traffic moving normally on the US Gulf Coast.

    Under the Jones Act, vessels transporting goods between US ports must be US-flagged and -built, and US majority-owned.

    There were no known issues affecting dirty tanker activity on the Mississippi River, according to a non-Jones Act shipowner.

    "First I've heard of such a thing," he said about high water levels on the river. A ship from his fleet had recently called at New Orleans without any problems.

    Participants in petrochemicals markets were likewise sanguine, as closures have yet to affect prices or logistics, and sources in key markets such as aromatics downplayed any concerns over potential impacts.

    Spot benzene prices on a Lower Mississippi River delivery basis maintained their usual 2-cent/gal premium to US Gulf Coast indications to close the week. Toluene and mixed xylene markets were up nominally from Thursday's assessments, but sources attributed the increase to a rebound in the energy complex.

    Chlor-alkali market participants said there were no issues related to flooding along the Mississippi River. The liquid caustic soda market has been talked tight in recent months, with any impact on barge activity more likely tied to supply shortages brought on by extended turnarounds and increased export activity rather than logistical constraints, sources have said.

    US methanol pricing saw gains of 1.5 cents/lb ($33/mt) on the day that resulted from production issues along the US Gulf Coast region, source said. Any impact on barge business was expected to be minimal, as anyone that far up the river would likely be serviced by northern suppliers.

    Pittsburgh-based phthalic anhydride maker Koppers, which has production in Stickney, Illinois, was not experiencing any logistical issues or delays for domestic deliveries, a company source said. The Mississippi River is an important waterway for US commerce, including the movement of crude oil, petroleum products, coal, agricultural products and metals.

    Petroleum movements by barge and tanker between the Midwest and the US Gulf Coast averaged 115,000 b/d in 2016, and 56,000 b/d in the opposite direction, according to Energy Information Administration data.

    The Mississippi River also is a key transport mode for coal being delivered to export terminals in New Orleans, according to the EIA.

    One producer of Illinois Basin thermal coal, Knight Hawk Coal, idled its Lone Eagle loading dock on the Mississippi River near Chester, Illinois, on Monday evening due to halts to barge traffic, S&P Global Platts reported previously. At that time, it expected it could lose six to seven days of shipping on the river.

    Navigation channel depth on the Mississippi River is maintained at 45 feet from Baton Rouge south and at 9 feet from Baton Rouge up, according to the US Army Corps of Engineers.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/metals/houston/us-floods-river-closures-delay-corn-metals-barges-10624136
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    Oil and Gas

    Saudi Arabia Says Oil Cuts Could Extend Beyond End of 2017


    Saudi Arabia’s oil minister said he’s confident that an agreement by producers to curb crude output and shrink a market glut will be extended into the second half of the year and possibly beyond.

    While U.S. shale output growth and the shutdown of refineries for maintenance have slowed the impact of cuts by OPEC and its partners, producers are determined to reach their goal of reducing bloated stockpiles, Khalid Al-Falih said at the Asia Oil and Gas Conference in Kuala Lumpur on Monday. He said he’s confident the global oil market will soon rebalance and return to a “healthy state.”

    Surging U.S. production has raised concern the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and partners are failing to reduce an oversupply and prop up prices. Oil has surrendered all its gains since their deal late last year to cut output and with OPEC meeting in Vienna later this month, several nations have said they’d support an extension of the 6-month agreement that began in January. This is the first time the Saudi minister has suggested it could be extended beyond 2017.

    “Based on the consultations I have had with participating members I am rather confident the agreement will be extended into the second half of the year and possibly beyond,” Al-Falih said. “The producer coalition is determined to do whatever it takes to achieve our target of bringing stock levels back to the five-year average.”

    West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.2 percent to $46.76 a barrel by 12:20 p.m. Singapore time on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent, the benchmark for more than half the world’s oil, was up 1.3 percent to $49.73 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Both are still more than 50 percent below their peaks in 2014, when the U.S. shale boom exacerbated a market glut and triggered the biggest price crash in a generation.

    Al-Falih said last month that OPEC and its partners have failed, after three months of limiting output, to achieve their target of reducing oil inventories below the five-year historical average. Group member United Arab Emirates said earlier in May that the producer group should extend the collective production cuts into the second half of the year when an expected upturn in demand will help to re-balance the crude market.

    Vienna Meeting

    Russia, which is not member of OPEC but is part of the deal, also thinks it will be necessary to extend the reduction deal, according to Energy Minister Alexander Novak. The producers agreed last year to curb output by as much as 1.8 million barrels a day starting January. OPEC will meet in Vienna on May 25 to decide whether to prolong the deal beyond June.

    While the producers curbed supply, production in the U.S., which is not part of the agreement, has risen to the highest level since August 2015 as drillers pump more from shale fields. But American crude inventories are showing some signs of shrinking, falling for the past four weeks from record levels at the end of March.

    Despite lingering headwinds, the oil market is improving from early last year when markets were at a low, Al-Falih said. Stockpiles at sea have declined and U.S. inventories will continue their downward trend, he said. Global demand, meanwhile, will probably be stable from the “healthy rate” seen last year, driven by China and India, the Saudi minister said, adding that Asia was the most important market.

    There’s about 20 million barrels a day of combined demand growth and natural oil-field output declines that need to be offset, Al-Falih said. “No matter how fast U.S. shale grows, it wont make a dent in that number,” he said.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-08/saudi-oil-minister-says-output-cuts-may-extend-beyond-2h-of-2017

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    As prices fall, OPEC looks to Q3 for optimism


    The price swoon of the last few weeks has no doubt disappointed -- if not frustrated -- OPEC's 13 members, who have seen their efforts to cut production to support prices seemingly thwarted by stubbornly high inventories.

    But all along, OPEC officials have maintained that their goal with the production cut deal can not and should not be measured by how the market reacts day to day, or even week to week.

    Their eyes are focused on the third quarter, when OPEC's own analysis, as laid out in its most recent monthly oil market report, estimates global demand for OPEC crude will rise to 33.13 million b/d, some 1.3 million b/d above current levels.

    OPEC will issue its newest monthly oil market report next Thursday.

    "The good news is that the market is moving towards rebalancing," Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said at the International Oil Summit in Paris last week. "There has also been a rapid drawdown of floating storage in the first quarter of this year. This is being driven by improving fundamentals and the OPEC deal."

    Iranian deputy oil minister Roknaddin Javadi added: "I am very optimistic that good days for the oil and gas industry are ahead."

    The deal, signed late last year, calls on OPEC to cut 1.2 million b/d from its October levels, while 11 non-OPEC countries led by Russia agreed to cut 558,000 b/d in concert.

    To be sure, OPEC had intended its production cuts to have brought down global oil stocks to their five-year average by mid-year. That has not been the case, particularly in the US, where bloated gasoline stocks, in particular, has given the market jitters.

    US gasoline stocks were 19.5 million barrels above the five-year average at 241.2 million barrels the week that ended April 28, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

    Analysts with PIRA, a unit of S&P Global Platts, say the market's fretting over US inventory statistics may be overblown.

    "The lack of visible stock declines have undermined oil market confidence and dragged prices lower," PIRA said in a recent note. "Market jitters are unwarranted; oil on the water is declining, OPEC output is declining and surplus stocks are declining. Onshore stock declines are inevitable, though the exact timing is tricky."

    EXTENSION TALKS

    The production cut deal, as signed, was to last from January to June, although ministers have said they reserve the option to extend the deal if market conditions have not been to their satisfaction.

    OPEC appears to be moving towards an extension, with Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih recently saying there was a growing consensus that one was needed.

    But still unresolved are the particulars of any extension -- its length, the level of cuts, and whether Libya and Nigeria, which were given exemptions from the cuts, and Iran, which was allowed a slight rise in production, will continue to receive special dispensation.

    Falih has floated the idea of a three-month extension, instead of a six-month one, while Kuwaiti oil minister Essam al-Marzouq has said that if demand is healthy in the second half of the year, the production cuts may not need to be as deep.

    Iraqi officials, however, have indicated they are not on the same page, having insisted the deal concerns exports, not production, contrary to the text of the agreement posted on OPEC's website.

    "We are committed to the agreement with OPEC. Still, our internal demand is increasing, so our production can be increased without affecting our commitment," Naufel Alhasan, deputy chief of staff to Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, told Platts in Houston this week.

    OPEC, along with the 11 non-OPEC deal participants, will meet in Vienna on May 25 to review the deal and negotiate any extension.

    Given the resilience of US producers, who have ramped up output by some 600,000 b/d since the deal was signed, according to the EIA, OPEC may need to show the market a stronger hand with a more stringent extension, said Mohammed al-Sabban, a former advisor to the Saudi oil ministry.

    This may include sharper cuts or a requirement that Libya, Nigeria and Iran join in, he said.

    "The agreement extension should not be an automatic rollover, we may need to have deeper cuts," he told Platts. "The competition with American oil is going to be more severe in the coming months."

    Nigeria and Libya, which have seen their oil sectors hit hard by militancy over the past year, will seek a renewal of their exemptions, even with their prospects improving recently.

    Their combined production this year, while volatile, has averaged just 6,300 b/d more than October, the benchmark month that the production cut deal is measured from, according to the latest Platts OPEC survey.

    Iran, meanwhile, has yet to be asked to join in the output cuts as part of an extension, "to my knowledge," Javadi told Platts.

    COMPLIANCE UNREWARDED

    On compliance, OPEC has performed very well.

    The Platts OPEC survey for April, released Thursday, found that the 10 members required to lower output under the deal achieved 105% of their cuts.

    As a whole, OPEC's total April output of 31.85 million b/d remains 80,000 b/d above the organization's stated ceiling of about 31.77 million b/d, not including Indonesia, which suspended its membership in November and is not counted in the Platts survey.

    That has exceeded the expectations of many OPEC watchers, given the organization's tattered history of adhering to previous production agreements. Nevertheless, the market has stopped rewarding OPEC for its high level of compliance, amid the US shale rebound. Analysts say an extension of the cuts is already priced into current market expectations, even with prices having given up all of their gains since the OPEC/non-OPEC deal was signed.

    ICE Brent futures were $48.57/b at 1015 GMT Friday, recovering from a sharp fall in earlier trading.

    Even as they remain resolute on their intermediate-term goal of drawing down inventories, OPEC is likely to be mindful of 2016's price volatility when the bloc's members were engaged in a brutal market share battle.

    "They'll have to extend [the deal], or the show's over," one Platts survey participant said. "The market will fall very quickly if they don't."

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/london/analysis-as-prices-fall-opec-looks-to-q3-for-27826622
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    Brimming U.S. oil storage tanks to feel OPEC cuts last


    The energy industry scrutinizes U.S. oil stockpile data every week for evidence that OPEC supply cuts are ending a global crude glut, but growing domestic output means the world's largest oil consumer may be the last place to feel the cuts.

    Stubbornly high U.S. inventory levels have shaken market confidence that a deal by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and other top producers to cut 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) from supply will end the two-year glut.

    This week, benchmark Brent crude prices slipped below $50 a barrel. Brent has given up all the gains made since the supply cuts were agreed late last year. [O/R]

    U.S. inventories are a trusted barometer for the health of global oil markets because of the transparency of the data and their location in the country that consumes around a fifth of the world's oil.

    But U.S. crude inventories have only grown since the supply cuts took effect. The initial spike in oil prices after the deal reinforced already resurgent production from the U.S. shale industry.

    The rush back into the fields boosted U.S. shale output to an estimated 5.2 million bpd in May from 4.5 million at the end of 2016. The increase of 700,000 bpd in U.S. supply has replaced much of the output cuts delivered under the OPEC-led agreement.

    Offshore production in the Gulf of Mexico has also hit a record, bringing total U.S. output to 9.3 million barrels a day, its highest since August 2015.

    That has helped keep U.S. stockpiles full.

    "As long as U.S. producers are able to pump oil at a profit then the rebalancing in the U.S. is going to take time," said Mark Watkins, regional investment manager at U.S. Bank.

    "It's going to be an extended period of time still. I would look to at least the end of the year."

    In addition, producer countries that pumped a lot of their own oil into storage at home have recently been exporting from those tanks to consumer countries such as the United States.

    OPEC members typically do not disclose their stock levels. So even though the export of stored oil is part of the effort to draw down global inventories, it also has pushed previously invisible inventories into global storage data.

    Those OPEC shipments may now be easing. Thomson Reuters shipping data shows crude exports from the group dropped from March to April by about 50 million barrels to 741.2 million barrels.

    U.S. STOCKPILES RISE

    U.S. crude inventories hit records earlier this year, and remain up 10 percent since the OPEC-led supply cuts took effect on Jan. 1.

    U.S. crude stocks stand at 527.8 million barrels, nearly 30 percent higher than the average of the past five years, according to government data.

    Exports from the United States have been steadily rising and have also regularly reached records this year. If markets tighten elsewhere, U.S. exports will increase and this should drain domestic inventories more quickly.

    "What you're going to have to see is global supply across the world drop and U.S. crude ship out before you start to see a meaningful drop in U.S. inventories," said Watkins.

    "And that's something that's started a little bit, but it's pretty marginal."

    Despite the high domestic output, there are some signs that efforts to reduce the global glut may be having an impact in the United States.

    A recent four-week run of U.S. inventory draws has been larger than the 2011-2016 average for this time of year, said Credit Suisse in a note on Friday.

    IMPACT ELSEWHERE

    More tangible impacts on inventories can be seen elsewhere, some analysts said; inventories simply need more time to return to average levels.

    There have been some signs of drawdowns in global inventories, particularly in floating storage, when oil is stored in a tanker anchored offshore. According to Clipperdata this type of storage has been falling near the refining hub of Singapore.

    Singapore "acts as such a parking lot for tankers and should we see Singapore floating storage be drawn down materially that would indicate that the market is tightening," said Matt Smith, director of commodity research at Clipperdata.

    Clipperdata estimates that 50 million barrels are floating off Singapore, down sharply from February's peak of 64 million barrels, which was the highest point in at least a year.

    "The lack of visible stock declines ... undermined oil market confidence and dragged markets lower," said oil consultants PIRA Energy in a note this week.

    "Market jitters are unwarranted; oil on the water is declining, OPEC output is declining and stocks are declining. Onshore stock declines are inevitable, but the exact timing is tricky."
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    China Jan-April crude oil imports up 12.5 pct from year ago -customs


    May 8 China's crude oil imports during the January to April period this year gained 12.5 percent over a year earlier to 139 million tonnes, Chinese customs said on Monday.

    Natural gas imports during the same period were up 5.4 percent from a year ago to 20.11 million tonnes, the customs said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/china-economy-trade-crude-idUSB9N1HZ01T

    China’s April Crude Oil Imports -11.71% M/m to 34.39m Tons

    @zerohedge
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    Australia's Origin Energy doubles stake in Beetaloo shale gas field


    Australia's top energy retailer, Origin Energy, said on Friday it doubled its stake in the Beetaloo Basin shale gas field in Australia's Northern Territory.

    The company said it increased its share in the undeveloped prospect to 70 percent, after purchasing a 35 percent share from Sasol Petroleum Australia Ltd. It did not disclose a purchase price and said the transaction is subject to "certain conditions," without elaborating.

    "It is not expected to impact on Origin's short-term focus on debt reduction as there are no immediate capital requirements in the Beetaloo," Origin said in a statement.

    In February, Origin said it estimates contingent resources in the field to be 6.6 trillion cubic feet. But its extraction depends on the Northern Territory government lifting a ban on hydraulic fracking. The government is reviewing the ban but has set no deadline for making a decision.

    Origin last week reported soaring gas revenues, thanks to a sharp rise in sales, as a supply crunch in Australia pushes prices higher.

    Falcon Oil and Gas Australia owns the remaining 30 percent of the joint-venture.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/origin-energy-gas-idUSL4N1I70ET
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    Shell's realised natural gas price in Europe rises in Q1 to $5.08/Mcf

    Shell's realised natural gas price in Europe rises in Q1 to $5.08/Mcf

    Shell saw its average realised gas price in Europe in the first quarter of 2017 edge up to $5.08/Mcf ($4.94/MMBtu) compared with the previous quarter, the company said in its Q1 earnings statement Thursday.

    The gas price increase was triggered by increased demand on cold weather across Europe in January and the early part of February, which saw wholesale gas prices surge.

    Its European realised price was $4.94/Mcf in Q4 2016.

    However, Shell's realized European price in Q1 was still below the spot price average in Q1.

    According to Platts assessments, the Dutch TTF spot price averaged $5.77/MMBtu in Q1, up from $5.41/MMBtu in Q4 2016, while the UK NBP spot price averaged $6.00/MMBtu in Q1 compared with $5.62/MMBtu in Q4 2016.

    Shell's European gas price boost helped push its global average realized gas price to $4.29/Mcf in the last quarter, up from $4.03/Mcf in Q4 last year.

    Europe accounts for a significant chunk of Shell's gas production -- it averaged 3.43 Bcf/d in Q1 out of a total of 10.94 Bcf/d.

    GRONINGEN 'CONVERSATION'

    But Shell warned that its gas output in the second quarter would be impacted by some 50,000 b/d of oil equivalent due to the production cap at the giant Groningen field due to the earthquake risk.

    CFO Jessica Uhl, speaking to reporters on a webcast later Thursday, said Shell -- which is part of the NAM operating venture with ExxonMobil -- would continue to engage with the Dutch authorities on the subject.

    "NAM is an important investment for Shell, and this is a very important issue for the country," Uhl said.

    "We are working closely to ensure the asset is operated appropriately and sustainably. We are continuing to engage in that conversation. That's the focus -- meeting the needs of the various stakeholders," she said.

    The Dutch government is making preparations to introduce a 10% cut in the production quota for gas from Groningen field from the start of the next gas year on October 1 following an increase in earthquakes in the area around Loppersum.

    If adopted, the move would see the production quota cut from the current level of 24 Bcm/year to 21.6 Bcm/year.

    In addition, a Dutch appeals court on April 20 ruled that NAM should face an investigation into whether it has been criminally negligent in causing earthquakes in the region.

    LNG SALES

    Shell, which became a much bigger player in gas with the acquisition last year of the UK's BG Group, is now also a leading LNG company.

    LNG liquefaction volumes were 8.18 million mt in Q1, up 16% year on year, but down from 8.57 million mt in the previous quarter.

    LNG sales in Q1 were 15.8 million mt, up by 29% year on year and by 3% quarter on quarter.

    "Compared with the first quarter 2016, LNG liquefaction volumes mainly reflected the start-up of Gorgon in Australia and the contribution of BG assets for an additional month," Shell said.

    "LNG sales volumes mainly reflected increased trading of third-party volumes and higher liquefaction volumes compared with the same quarter a year ago."

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/natural-gas/london/shells-realized-natural-gas-price-in-europe-rises-26728042

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    Rosneft net income lower than expected, hit by stronger rouble


    Russia's largest oil producer Rosneft posted a worse than expected rise in first-quarter net income on Friday, hit by a stronger rouble despite higher output and crude prices.

    While the price of Russian Urals oil rose 28 percent year on year in rouble terms, Rosneft said that the currency's strength had a negative impact on its performance in the first three months of 2017.

    Though a stronger rouble helps to lower payments of debt denominated in foreign currencies, it also reduces revenue from exports.

    "The environment remains difficult. Continuing world commodity markets volatility, rouble appreciation -- all of this impacted the company's financial results," Rosneft's Chief Executive Igor Sechin said on Friday.

    Net income rose 8.3 percent year on year to 13 billion rubles ($221.4 million), against a consensus forecast of 22 billion rubles among analysts polled by Reuters. [nL8N1I65K4]

    Rosneft shares were down 0.6 percent at 308.10 rubles in early trade as Russian assets were pressured by a drop in oil prices amid a global supply glut.

    Rosneft also said that first-quarter free cash flow declined by 22.6 percent from a year ago to 89 billion rubles.

    The company said on Wednesday that its oil and gas condensate production rose by 13 percent in the first quarter to 4.62 million barrels per day.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-rosneft-oil-results-idUSKBN1810TM

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    U.S. Rig Count Climbs Sixteenth-Straight Week


    Drilling activity in the U.S. has increased yet again, with Baker Hughes weekly rig count reporting seven additional rigs this week. The total number of rigs active in the U.S. is now 877, more than double the 415 rigs that were operating this time last year.

    Oil-targeting rigs increased by six this week, totaling 703 rigs. Gas-targeting rigs added two to end the week with 173 active rigs. One “miscellaneous” rig came offline, leaving only one miscellaneous rig active in the U.S.

    Four directional and horizontal rigs came online this week, while one vertical rig shut down. Drilling offshore increased, with one “inland waters” and two offshore rigs coming online this week.

    Texas again saw the largest increase in rigs, with six added this week bringing its total to 443. Louisiana added four rigs, while Wyoming and Alaska each added two and Colorado and New Mexico each added one. Seven rigs shut down in Oklahoma, and North Dakota and West Virginia both had one rig go offline.

    Permian, minor basins add rigs

    Rigs moved away from major basins, with only the Permian and the Haynesville adding rigs. Seven additional rigs in the Permian and one more in the Haynesville were offset by four shutdowns in the Cana Woodford, three Marcellus rigs coming offline, and one less in the Ardmore Woodford, Arkoma Woodford, Mississippian and Williston. Ten rigs moved to basins not individually tracked by Baker Hughes.

    Canadian rigs continued to decrease, albeit at a slower pace than previous weeks. Three rigs shut down in Canada this week, leaving 82 active. Rigs in Canada have fallen by 77% from a high of 352 in February. This is the standard spring decrease, as seen every year. Historically, the spring drop usually begins to reverse in early May, so Canadian rigs may begin to recover soon.

    https://www.oilandgas360.com/u-s-rig-count-climbs-sixteenth-straight-week/
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    Weekly U.S. offshore rig count climbs to 19 units


    The number of offshore drilling rigs operating in the U.S. waters has climbed this week by two units when compared to the previous week, Baker Hughes reported in its U.S. weekly rig count report.

    BHI Rig Count: U.S. +7 to 877 rigs

    http://www.offshoreenergytoday.com/weekly-u-s-offshore-rig-count-climbs-to-19-units/
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    Permian Thought Leaders Talk Turkey


    “It will get to a point where it’s actually artificial intelligence that’s drilling our wells for us, with us observing” – Tim Dove, CEO, Pioneer Natural Resources

    There are a lot of smart E&P companies rambling around West Texas, the place that has dominated the energy spotlight for the past year or two. Ask anybody who’s been looking at shale: it’s all about the Permian basin.

    The basin is booming. It’s crushing most of the others in production numbers, dollars being paid per acre to enter, ability to offer significant stacked pay and strong economics with oil in the $40s-$50. But fast growth comes with plenty of headaches. How are these operators viewing and solving problems they have in common as they step on the Permian accelerator?

    Analysts burned up the phone lines on this week’s Q1 earnings calls, asking a lot of questions that brought out sometimes startling viewpoints from some of the top E&P CEOs whose companies are smashing records in the too-hot-to-touch Permian.

    How will you source water in the Permian?

    Pioneer Natural Resources (ticker: PXD) President and CEO Tim Dove

    Q – Jeffrey L. Campbell: On water investment, while the cost savings certainly shouldn’t be ignored, isn’t it fair to see your water effort as necessary to secure supply for future growth? In other words, that it’s an important exercise in risk management?

    A – Timothy L. Dove: Well let me put it this way: Water is perhaps the most misunderstood and undervalued aspect of the impediments that the industry could face. As Joey said, when we are today sourcing 350,000 barrels a day, if nothing changes to how we do things, 10 years from now that’s 1.4 million barrels a day. Today we represent 8% of the Permian rig count. So when you start doing the math, you realize, oh my gosh, we’re in a difficult situation to be able to source that kind of water. Which means we’re going to have to go, as I mentioned, more towards the recycling of produced water that also comes back to us after the frac. And so that has to be in our thoughts long term. But I think being ahead of this is tantamount to substantial risk avoidance going forward. We are just not going to be put in a position where we have that kind of impediment that’s unsolvable. We’re solving it ourselves.

    WPX Energy (ticker: WPX) Sr. VP and Chief Operating Officer Clay Gaspar, Sr. VP Business Development Bryan Guderian

    Kashy Harrison: So, can you update us on just what the A&D market looks like right now in the Delaware for – specifically for acreage swaps to help you build a more contiguous acreage position in the region?

    A – Bryan K. Guderian: Sure. I think I’d just start out by saying the availability of acreage for transaction continues to surprise us. The buy-side resilience, I think, continues to surprise us as well. So, near-term, our focus is really what we would call kind of blocking and tackling. We have our footprint in place. We’re really nicely blocked up in Stateline and some of the nearby areas there. We have some other acreage that is a little bit more one-off, but we see really nice opportunities dealing with probably four or five different trading partners in and around Stateline, and in particular, the northern part of the Texas side of our position. And we’ve had some great success already dealing with those folks to block up and drill longer laterals.

    Kind of along those lines, we are also finding that there is still some additional acreage, generally smaller tracts, some expirations, still opportunity to bolt-on and add to those positions in small ways. The same is probably true up in New Mexico, although I would say that, given the Federal lands and some of the larger tracts that we deal with in New Mexico that has not been as much of a focus for us recently.

    Looking more broadly across the basin, there are a number of fairly sizeable deals that are in the market currently or that we expect to come to market. I’m going to say that they tend to be a little more fringy. There are a couple of deals over in the eastern side of the basin that we would anticipate being marketed this year. I won’t go into names because I don’t know the exact status of those, but likewise still I think some opportunities over on the west side of the basin and obviously we took advantage of one with our Taylor Ranch acquisition.

    And then, I would expect to continue seeing some private equity monetization. I think we all realize, we’re probably in the seventh or eighth inning of that process, but, again, the availability of acreage as much as we think we know about the basin, things continue to come to market, but more in small packages at this point.

    And I think back to sort of the theme of our story, we’re going to stick to our knitting. We really like the footprint that we have. And so, our primary objective is bolting on and adding efficiency to the position that we already have.

    Concho Resources (ticker: CXO) Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President Tim Leach

    Concho Resources Permian basin acreage

    Q – Brian Singer: There have been a couple of acquisitions of assets that would seemingly show up on your maps in Lea and Eddy County. And as a company that’s been very, very active in consolidation, I wonder if you could just talk about your interest in consolidation and why maybe sometimes it does or doesn’t make sense for operators that have acreage in the region to be consolidated in that acreage versus new entrants?

    A – Timothy A. Leach: All right. Well, as we’ve highlighted, having big, blocky acreage positions with high ownership is very important to development. So I think you’ll see a lot of trading going on between the big operators to block up their acreage.

    When things come up for sale, we have a very high bar on since we have so much opportunity. Things that are contiguous to properties we already own, things that allow us to extend our lateral length are much more valuable to us than kind of scattershot acreage. And also, I’d say with the inventory we have today, it depends on what price you have to pay to get acreage and whether or not we’d be interested in it. So, we’re in a good position to evaluate does making acquisitions add value to our company. And we are very, very focused on these big, blocky, machine-like development projects we’re going to have in the future and making sure that we have all the blocky acreage we need for those things. So, I think we’re in good shape.

    As we’ve said in the past, we look at everything in the Permian Basin because it’s our backyard. And so, it’s not unusual for us to be in data rooms and things like that, but we’ve been very picky on what makes sense for us to buy.

    https://www.oilandgas360.com/permian-thought-leaders-talk-turkey/

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    Profitable WPX Sees 3 Keys for Ramping Up in the Delaware

    Profitable WPX Sees 3 Keys for Ramping Up in the Delaware

    In today’s conference call, WPX discussed three main requirements for ramping up production.

    Geology

    First and foremost is the local geology. However, WPX believes that it has mostly solved this question. While spacing and a few other nuances will require further investigation, the geology itself is well-established.

    “There is no question,” WPX COO Clay Gaspar commented, “especially where we’re at in the Delaware Basin is world-class rock and there is tons of opportunity.”

    Hedging providing confidence

    The second primary determining factor for development is commodity price. WPX responded to this factor with aggressive hedging to lock in economic prices. The company has about 72% of its expected 2017 oil production hedged at an average of $50.84/bbl and 76% of its gas production hedged at $3.02/MMBTU. With oil currently trading below $46/bbl, this hedge position is paying off for WPX.

    Clay Gaspar remarked that this position gives the company confidence. Mentioning the recent dip in oil prices, Gaspar noted, “I imagine there are a lot of our peers that are fully exposed that are really pulling their hair out, and I can tell you it’s very reassuring to have that confidence to be able to go to the team and say, yep, we’re still doing, [and] go to our key vendors and say, guys, we’re still plowing ahead, stay with us.”

    Permian needs takeaway capacity

    The massive increase in Permian activity has also created a situation that is usually restricted to the Marcellus. Permian midstream capacity must be able to grow and keep up with development, or Permian producers would be stuck with large differentials like those seen by Marcellus producers.

    Gaspar reported that the company has been working on several deals to deal with transportation before it becomes a problem. Most significant among these is a potential midstream joint venture. WPX is considering a JV to handle takeaway from its core Delaware Basin assets, which would ensure transport remained available. While the company declined to provide further details, an agreement is expected midyear.

    Multiple Permian acquisitions in Q1

    WPX has been very active in the Permian this year, with several major acquisitions. In January the company acquired Panther Energy and Carrier Energy, adding about 120,000 net acres for $775 million. More recently, the company purchased 17,900 acres in Culberson County for $38 million. This acquisition is exploratory in nature, and is farther west than the core of the Delaware Basin. With an acreage cost of about $2,000/acre, however, this is much less expensive than many Permian transactions in recent months.

    The company now owns about 135,000 net acres in the Delaware basin, and is producing a total of 90 MBOEPD from its Permian, Bakken and San Juan properties. WPX will spend about $620 million over the rest of the year to grow production by about 20%.

    WPX Energy reported first quarter earnings yesterday, showing net income of $88 million, or $0.22 per diluted share. This significantly exceeds the $175 million loss the company took in Q4 2016, or the $17 million loss in Q1 2016.

    https://www.oilandgas360.com/profitable-wpx-sees-3-keys-ramping-delaware/
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    Marathon Oil's loss smaller than expected on higher crude prices


    U.S. shale exploration company Marathon Oil Corp reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss on Thursday, helped by higher crude prices.

    In the wake of rising crude prices, oil and gas producers have increased their capital spending to acquire shale-rich properties, especially in the Permian basin, and have put more rigs back to work.

    The company in March bought about 70,000 acres for $1.1 billion, and in a separate deal acquired 21,000 acres for $700 million, both in the top U.S. shale field, the Texas Permian basin.

    Average realized prices for crude oil and condensate in North America was $48.46 per barrel in the quarter ended March 31, up from $28.21 a year ago, the company said.

    Total production at Marathon Oil averaged 338,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) in the quarter, marginally below the 339,000 boe/d in the year-ago period.

    However, the company's net loss widened to $4.96 billion, or $5.84 per share, from $407 million, or 56 cents per share, a year earlier, due to an impairment charge related to the sale of its Canadian oil sands business.

    Marathon Oil sold its Canadian oil sands business to Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L) in March in a deal valued at $7.25 billion.

    Excluding one-time items, the company lost 7 cents per share, beating analysts' average estimate of a loss of 10 cents per share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

    Houston-based Marathon Oil's revenue rose 88 percent to $1.07 billion.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-marathn-oil-results-idUSKBN1802QD
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    Great Scott! Eclipse Drills New Longest Lateral in World – in Utica

    Great Scott! Eclipse Drills New Longest Lateral in World – in Utica

    Eclipse Resources, a Marcellus/Utica pure play driller headquartered in State College, PA that drills mostly in Ohio, has done it again. Yesterday as part of Eclipse’s first quarter 2017 update, the company announced it has broken its own record for drilling the longest land-based lateral well in the world by drilling a Utica well with a lateral that’s 19,300 feet long (3.7 miles). Incredible!

    You may recall Eclipse was the previous holder of that record with their Purple Hayes well (18,500 feet long), drilled one year ago. Eclipse seems to have taken a chapter from Rice Energy by naming their wells with creative names. Purple Hayes, named after the landowner (Hayes). The new record-holder? Great Scott–presumably named after the landowner (Scott).

    Eclipse reports drilling its newest record setting “Super-Lateral” well, the Great Scott 3H, with a total measured depth of 27,400 feet and completable lateral extension of 19,300 feet in less than 17 days from the drill bit hitting the ground to total depth (called spud to TD) in the company’s Utica Shale condensate area.

    If you’re an MDN subscriber, you were already expecting this big news. Back in April MDN editor Jim Willis attended the Oil & Gas Investment Symposium in New York City and reported on Eclipse’s session. At the time Jim reported: “They [Eclipse] plan to drill 11 “super lateral” wells that exceed 15,000 feet long. Two wells they hope to drill will break the existing Purple Hayes record–by going to 19,000 feet!”.

    Just a month later and the company is already delivering on its promise. Even bigger news: Eclipse is currently drilling a second well of the same length next to Great Scott!

    http://marcellusdrilling.com/2017/05/great-scott-eclipse-drills-new-longest-lateral-in-world-in-utica/
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    TransCanada's quarterly profit more than doubles


    TransCanada Corp's quarterly profit more than doubled, as Canada's No. 2 pipeline operator incurred lower charges.

    The company's net profit attributable to shareholders rose to C$643 million ($467 million), or 74 Canadian cents per share, in the first quarter ended March 31 from C$252 million, or 36 Canadian cents per share, a year earlier.

    The latest quarter included about C$48 million in charges, mainly related to the acquisition of Columbia Pipeline Group. The year-ago quarter included charges of about C$211 million, mainly related to the termination of Alberta power purchase agreements.

    Revenue rose 35.5 percent to C$3.39 billion.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/transcanada-results-idUSL4N1I73D9
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    Alternative Energy

    Wind turbine maker Vestas beats profit expectations, maintains guidance


    The world's biggest wind turbine maker Vestas posted better than expected first-quarter operating profit on Friday, citing higher sales and tight cost control while sticking to its full-year revenue and profit margin guidance.

    Deliveries were up nearly 30 percent year on year in the first quarter, with Chief Executive Anders Runevad pointing to a U.S. tax credit scheme that boosted orders last December.

    In what is normally a weak quarter for the Danish company, operating profit rose to 211 million euros ($232 million), beating the consensus of 183 million forecast in a Reuters poll of analysts.

    "This is really because the margins on delivered projects has been better than expected and they have managed to hold back on costs," said Sydbank anlayst Jacob Pedersen.

    The EBIT margin almost doubled to 11.2 percent from 5.8 percent in the first quarter of 2016.

    "We have a very low fixed capacity cost base that has a big impact on the EBIT margin," said Vestas finance chief Marika Fredriksson.

    The company jumped to the top of the U.S. wind market last year in terms of installed capacity, supplying 43 percent of the 8.2 gigawatts of capacity connected to the U.S. power grid.

    However, Vestas expects fewer orders from its biggest market this year as a five-year extension of the PTC tax credit scheme in late-2015 could ease pressure on potential U.S. customers to land projects quickly.

    "Last year a lot of PTC components came very late in the year. For natural reasons we see that the market takes a bit of a breather this year," Fredriksson said, adding that the company maintained its full-year guidance.

    Vestas is forecasting 2017 sales of 9.25 billion euros to 10.25 billion euros and an EBIT margin of 12-14 percent.

    "Given the solid start to the year and the higher than expected EBIT margin delivered in Q1, we see the low end of the guidance as conservative, leaving room for a positive revision later in the year," said Jyske Bank analyst Janne Kjaer.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/vestas-wind-results-idUSL8N1I71JS
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    China installed 7.21GW of solar in Q1 2017, curtailment issues remain


    The country’s cumulative deployment stood at 84.63GW by the end of Q1. Credit: United PV

    China added 7.21GW of solar PV in the first quarter of the year, roughly 70MW more than in Q1 2016, according to figures from China’s National Energy Administration (NEA).

    Of this capacity, 4.78GW were utility-scale solar and 2.43GW were distributed PV installs.

    However, NEA noted continued grid constraints and curtailment of solar energy generation in several states particularly:

    Xinjiang 39%
    Gansu 19%
    Ningxia 10%

    The country’s cumulative deployment stood at 84.63GW by the end of Q1, of which 72GW is utility-scale. Last year, China added 34.24GW.

    Beijing-based Asia Europe Clean Energy Advisory (AECEA) released a chart showing that demand is likely to stay strong until a feed-in tariff (FiT) deadline is reached. After this levels of deployment levels remain relatively uncertain.

    Last year, FiT cuts were proposed for 2017 and then this year China even started trialling a green energy certificate trading scheme as it looked to reduce its exposure to FiT payments.

    China’s latest five-year plan endorses a proposed target of 110GW by 2020, which last year was reduced from 150GW, partly as a result of the prevailing curtailment issues at some sites in western provinces.

    See the recent Technical Paper from AECEA's Frank Haugwitz on ‘China’s 13th Five-Year Plan for solar – a look at 2017 and beyond’. Haugwitz unpicks the five-year plan and assesses the country’s chances of surpassing 100GW of capacity this year.

    China Q1 solar output surges 80pct on year

    https://www.pv-tech.org/news/china-installed-7.21gw-of-solar-in-q1-2017-curtailment-issues-remain
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    De Beers pilots plan to store carbon dioxide in diamond-bearing rock


    Anglo American's diamond unit De Beers is piloting a project to capture carbon in the rock from which diamonds are extracted to offset harmful emissions, the company said. As planet-warming carbon emissions rise globally, many countries have adopted or proposed a form of tax on emissions and companies in the mining and manufacturing sector are concerned that this will hit their future profits.

    South Africa proposed a tax of 120 rand ($9) per tonne on carbon emissions in 2012 but postponed it on worries that it would hurt profits already eroded due to a global commodities slump and higher electricity tariffs. De Beers said it aimed to remove as much carbon as it emits within five to ten years, and will select one of its mines for the project due to start in 2019.

    "This project offers huge potential to completely offset the carbon emissions of De Beers’ diamond mining operations," project leader and geologist Evelyn Mervine said. De Beers wants to store carbon dioxide in the kimberlite rock once all the diamonds have been removed. The kimberlite turns into a solid compound when mixed with carbon dioxide.

    Mervine said the carbon dioxide can be locked away in the kimberlite "for thousands to millions of years."

    Currently, carbon dioxide can be stored deep underground. But environmental activists say there are uncertainties over the long-term implications of underground or submarine storage and there is still the risk CO2 might leak into the atmosphere. De Beers estimates it would cost $10 to $20 per tonne of carbon dioxide, which could reduce with new technology compared with carbonation plants, which cost around $50 to $100 per tonne of carbon dioxide.

    The project aims to accelerate the process and offset man-made emissions through different technologies including breaking up the rocks to increase the surface area and using special microbes, Mervine said.

    "This is likely to be one of the easiest and least costly methods of carbon dioxide disposal," Stuart Haszeldine, professor of carbon capture and storage at Edinburgh University said.

    However, Haszeldine said difficulties could include safeguarding against toxic effluent and ensuring that all of the kimberlite stored in vast tailings dams are able to react with the carbon dioxide.

    De Beers launched initial studies on the project in 2016 at its Voorspoed mine in South Africa's Free State province.

    If successful, De Beers plans to roll out the technology to its other operations.

    "This project could play a major role in changing the way not only the diamond industry, but also the broader mining industry addresses the challenge of reducing its carbon footprint," De Beers Chief Executive Bruce Cleaver said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-anglo-american-debeers-carboncapture-idUSKBN18024T
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    Precious Metals

    Precipitous platinum price plunge putting entire industry at risk


    This week’s platinum price plunge to as low as $893/oz has put the entire platinumindustry at risk, making it essential that steady hands be placed on the tiller to ensure that a national patrimony is protected.

    While the entire industry has been accepting a lower-for-longer price environment, few will be able to sustain the latest price collapse.

    The expectation along many industry corridors has been that the price trend would more likely head upwards, and begin getting closer to the gold price’s $1 200/oz range.

    After all, platinum is rarer than gold, which fills umpteen central bank vaults and is mined in countries from Argentinato Zimbabwe.

    As long ago as February 2012, former Anglo American Platinum (Amplats) CEO Neville Nicolau was unequivocal about a platinum price $1 900/oz being essential to maintain long-term production.

    But instead, the cost-hit industry is $1 000/oz shy of that price level and deepl, labour-intensive mines are operating at dollar prices that not even a weak rand can sustain.

    Even before the latest decimation of the price, regular reference had been made to half of the industry being under water, and analysts warned in Business Times on Sunday that even industry consolidation through mergers and acquisitions was unlikely to save the day.

    While Amplats’ exceptional opencast Mogalakwena mine, in Limpopo, stands out as an operation likely to keep its head above water even at these low prices, “something will have to change dramatically”, the head of another opencast platinumoperation told Mining Weekly Online last month, well ahead of the latest devastating price crash.

    The Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) told the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention, in Toronto, earlier this year that the platinumprice would rally if platinum producers cut supply by 300 000 oz to 400 000 oz.

    BofAML charged, at the well-attended PDAC, that the blame for the lack of supply discipline lay especially at South Africa’s door.

    “As an industry, we need to go for it. We must be bold about cutting supply. The price is telling us that we’re in oversupply and we’ve got to react,” Lonmin CEO Ben Magaracommented to Mining Weekly Online on the supply issue last month.

    But not enough has been done and the days of platinum and gold being joined at the hip are long gone.

    Embattled platinum, which is never consumed, needs ongoing marketing, with producers needing to invest in the promotion effort – and also to ensure that the metal does not continue to be demonised by the anti-diesel hype, Royal Bafokeng Platinum (RBPlat) CEO Steve Phiri told investors, unionists, analysts and journalists earlier this year.

    “You’ve got to market and market and market,” the RBPlat CEO added in a video interview with Mining Weekly Online straight afterwards.

    Phiri spoke of the International Platinum Association canvassing Eurozone authorities about the efficacy of platinum-catalysed diesel engines fitted with gadgets to halt nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions to counteract the fallout from Volkswagen's diesel emissions scandal in the US.

    Anglo American did a great job promoting the platinum-using hydrogen fuel cell at Davos and mayors of the world’s biggest cities, led by the three times New York mayor Michael Bloomberg, have been pushing hard for the clean air around major cities that platinum can bring.

    The World Platinum Investment Council has been providing greater platinum investment opportunity, and there have been many calculations that point to a deficit of primary supply – and all the marketing efforts must continue and be intensified.

    But, in the meantime, the platinum price is stubbornly refusing to turn upwards, and was still down in the $910/oz doldrums at the time of going to press.

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/precipitous-platinum-price-plunge-puts-production-reduction-in-spotlight-2017-05-05
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    Base Metals

    Surging copper stockpiles point to concerns over global demand


    Another surge in copper stockpiles tracked by the world’s top base-metals bourse is reigniting concerns about demand for the material that’s often viewed by investors as a bellwether for the global economy.

    A 40% jump in inventories monitored by the London MetalExchange in just three days comes amid concerns about China’s slowing industrial activity. Prices of copper, referred to as the metal with a Ph.D in economics, are trading near a four-month low.

    Financial markets in China, the top copper user, are feeling the pressure of tighter liquidity and rising money-market rates that have pushed down prices of iron ore to zinc. Investors are also waiting for US President Donald Trumpto push through electoral pledges, including boosting stimulus spending that helped push copper prices higher since late last year.

    “The optimism over Trump’s spending and China has been overblown,” Dan Smith, head of commodities research at Oxford Economics in London, said by phone.

    While copper futures were little changed on the LME Friday, they’re heading for the biggest weekly drop this year.

    Copper held in LME warehouses climbed more than 11% for a third day and is at the highest since October. A measure of stockpiles tracked by the LME, Comex and Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 13% this week.

    Still, analysts said the LME inflows could also be due to traders moving metal from China to other destinations to profit from a price gap between LME and Shanghai prices. The London bourse doesn’t have any storage facilities in China.

    “Some are saying it could be a reflection of weak demand in China, but equally it could simply be that stocks are being relocated from the Shanghai Futures Exchange to LondonMetal Exchange warehouses due to the arbitrage,” Robin Bhar, an analyst at Societe Generale SA in London, said by phone. “That would be my favored theory.”

    Recent history shows the LME’s incoming metal may be in strong demand. Three similarly large inflows since August were then withdrawn in the following months.

    “The pattern has been one of volatility, with stocks increasing sharply and then falling away,” Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt, said by phone. “It’s a massive inflow, but whether we will see outflows in the next few weeks remains to be seen.”

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/surging-copper-stockpiles-point-to-concerns-over-global-demand-2017-05-05

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    Peru mine workers vote to approve June nationwide strike

    Peru mine workers vote to approve June nationwide strike

    Peruvian miners voted on Friday to approve a national strike in June to protest "anti-labor" government proposals, Ricardo Juarez, secretary general of the National Federation of Miners, Metallurgists and Steelworkers, told Reuters.

    Members of the federation, an umbrella group for hundreds of unions representing workers at some of the country's largest mines, had met in the country's capital, Lima, to vote on the measure. Peru is the world's second-largest producer of copper, zinc and silver, and the sixth-largest producer of gold.

    The strike is a protest "against the new labor rules that reduce workers' rights that the government is trying to impose," Juarez said.

    The group - whose members work at mines owned by companies including Barrick Gold Corp, BHP Billiton PLC and Newmont Mining Corp - will meet again in the first week of June to set a definitive date for the strike, Juarez said.

    The national strike would be the first under President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, a former investment banker and free-markets proponent who has sought to attract investment since taking office last year. Representatives of Peru's Labor Ministry were not immediately available for comment.

    A nationwide strike two years ago had little impact on production as companies had contingency plans in place.

    Peru has boasted some of the highest growth rates in the region in recent years, but its economy remains dependent on mining, and conflicts between mining companies and organized labor, as well as indigenous communities, are common.

    Zenon Mujica, secretary general of the union representing workers at Freeport-McMoRan Inc's Cerro Verde copper mine - Peru's largest - said members had decided to adhere to the planned strike.

    Earlier on Friday, Mujica had said Cerro Verde workers were evaluating whether to strike after the union said the company had threatened punishment for a previous work stoppage. The workers' three-week strike in March hit output at the mine.

    Last week, workers at Southern Copper Corp's Toquepala and Cuajone mines and the Ilo refinery returned to work after a two-week strike, which the company said reduced production by just 1,418 tonnes. The two mines together produced 310,000 tonnes of copper last year, according to government data.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-mining-strike-idUSKBN1812EU
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    Deal avoids strike at Collahuasi


    Miners in the 1,485-member union will receive no pay increase but each worker will get a one-time bonus

    The Collahuasi mine in Chile is the second largest copper mine in the world.

    A deal between workers and the companies that own the Collahuasi copper mine in northern Chile could mean labour peace at the often-picketed mine for the next three years.

    Under a labour agreement reached Friday, workers in the 1,485-member union will receive no pay increase but each worker will get a one-time bonus of 11 million pesos (US$16,400), along with an interest free loan, Reuters reported.

    The agreement starts in October, when the current contract expires, and will last until 2020. The mine, co-owned by Glencore and Anglo American, is the second largest copper mine in the world and one of Chile's largest, producing 506,500 tonnes of the red metal in 2016.

    The four-year deal reached in 2013 gave workers a 3.5% salary hike, a $31,900 bonus and a loan worth $6,000. Collahuasi miners staged a 24-hour walkout in 2015.

    Friday's agreement comes about six weeks after talks between striking workers at the Escondida copper mine in Chile and majority owner and operator BHP Billiton
    , ended March 23 with the parties failing to reach a deal and the main union choosing to return to work.

    The labour action at the world’s largest copper mine, which finished after 43 days, became the longest private-sector mining strike in Chile’s history.

    http://www.mining.com/deal-avoids-strike-collahuasi/
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    Taseko swings back into the black as higher copper, molybdenum prices lift Q1 earnings


    Base metals producer Taseko Mines has reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the first quarter ended March 31, as higher copper prices and a sharp recovery in the price for molybdenum dovetailed into higher sales volumes.

    The Vancouver-based company reported net income of C$16.5-million, or C$0.07 a share, for the quarter, compared with a net loss of C$1.5-million, or C$0.01 a share, for the same period in 2016. Taseko attributed the change in net earnings mainly to higher copper prices, higher copper sales volume, lower production costs, as well as revenue from the sale of molybdenum concentrate.

    Earnings from mining operations before depletion and amortisation were C$53.4-million for the three months, compared with a loss of C$300 000 for the same prior period in 2016. The increase in earnings from mining operations was a result of higher copper and molybdenum revenues and lower production costs.

    Removing special items, Taseko reported adjusted net earnings of C$0.07 a share, beating the average analyst forecast calling for earnings of C$0.05 a share.

    Revenues for the period increased by C$46.2-million, or 80%, year-on-year, compared with the same period in 2016, mainly owing to a 33% increase in copper sales volumes and higher realised copper prices. The increase in the US dollar realised price of copper was partially offset by the impact of the stronger Canadian dollar.

    Quarterly copper output at Gibraltar was 41.3-million pounds and molybdenum production was 900 000 lbs.

    Taseko said that the molybdenum circuit that was idled in the third quarter of 2015 and restarted in September last year contributed molybdenum revenue of C$7.4-million in the first quarter. The molybdenum plant continues to operate at design capacity, and molybdenum prices have recently increased to nearly $9/lb, from about $7.50/lb in the fourth quarter of 2016.

    Meanwhile, total operating costs were down another 10% in the first quarter to $1.33/lb, boosted by better-than-expected grade and strong molybdenum output and sales, combined with consistent site spending, which were the major contributors to the low cost per pound.

    A reduction in site operating costs was due to increased costs being allocated to capitalised stripping owing to the wastestripping activity in the Granite and Pollyanna pits at the flagship Gibraltar mine, in British Columbia.

    At March 31, 2017, Taseko had cash and equivalents of C$149.3-million - a C$60.3-million increase over December 31, because of the cash proceeds received from the recent silver stream transaction with Osisko Gold Royalties and positive cash flows from mining operations. The company advised that it is maintaining a strategy of retaining a significant cash balance to reflect the volatile and capital intensive nature of the copper mining business.

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/taseko-swings-back-into-the-black-as-higher-copper-molybdenum-prices-lift-q1-earnings-2017-05-04
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    Steel, Iron Ore and Coal

    Indonesia sets HBA thermal coal price for May up 64% on year at $83.81/mt


    Indonesia's Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has set its May thermal coal reference price, also known as Harga Batubara Acuan or HBA, at $83.81/mt, up 1.6% from April and a surge of 63.7% year on year. The ministry had set the price for April at $82.51/mt, and the May 2016 price at $51.20/mt.

    The HBA is a monthly average price based 25% on the Platts Kalimantan 5,900 kcal/kg GAR assessment, 25% on the Argus-Indonesia Coal Index 1 (6,500 kcal/kg GAR), 25% on the Newcastle Export Index -- formerly the Barlow-Jonker index (6,322 kcal/kg GAR) of Energy Publishing -- and 25% on the globalCOAL Newcastle (6,000 kcal/kg NAR) index.

    In April, the daily Platts FOB Kalimantan 5,900 kcal/kg GAR coal assessment averaged $74.92/mt, down from $75.41/mt in March, while the daily 90-day Platts Newcastle FOB price for coal with a calorific value of 6,300 kcal/kg GAR averaged $84.64/mt, up from $80.55/mt in March.

    The HBA price for thermal coal is the basis for determining the prices of 75 Indonesian coal products and calculating the royalty producers have to pay for each metric ton of coal they sell.

    It is based on 6,322 kcal/kg GAR coal, with 8% total moisture content, 15% ash as received and 0.8% sulfur as received.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/coal/singapore/indonesia-sets-hba-thermal-coal-price-for-may-27826091
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    Buyers ready to pounce on Rio Tinto coking coal mines -sources


    The sale of two Rio Tinto coking coal mines in Australia is attracting scores of interested buyers as private equity and public companies compete for a foothold in one of the year's hottest commodities, four sources familiar with the matter said on Friday.

    Rio Tinto is expected to soon begin an official sales process for the Hail Creek and Kestrel mines in coal-rich Queensland state, which is bringing "an unprecedented number of people to the table," said one source, whose company is interested in the assets.

    Analysts expect each mine to sell for more than $2 billion and complete Rio Tinto's exit from Australian coal mining after it agreed in January to sell its Coal & Allied thermal coal division to China's Yancoal for $2.45 billion.

    "There's a lot of interest in a limited number of opportunities in Australian coking coal and that's driving the frenzy for Hail Creek and Kestrel," the source said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

    Rio Tinto has not formally announced the sale, but has said it is exiting coal as its focuses on growth in iron ore, copper and its aluminium division. The company declined to comment on whether it was taking offers on the two Australian mines.

    Australian coking coal is sold mostly to steel mills in Asia. Prices jumped to half-decade highs late last year on pinched supplies in China and surged again last month after an Australian cyclone disrupted shipments, underscoring the strong demand for high quality coal.

    A private equity executive, who has previously bought Australian coal assets, said he expected to face "stiff competition" from other private equity groups for the Rio Tinto mines.

    Credit Suisse is advising Rio Tinto, a third source said. Credit Suisse declined to comment.

    Buyers are also looking at mines put up for sale by other companies, including conglomerate Wesfarmers, and Peabody Energy. Anglo American also said a year-and-a-half ago it would exit coal mining as part of a restructuring to pay off debt, but has yet to announce a formal sale since coal prices staged a recovery.

    Barry Tudor, a fomer mining chief executive and head of private equity group Pembroke Resources, said the recovery in prices had removed the urgency of a sale for some companies, with mine owners happy to run their operations for cash.

    Pembroke last year ago paid A$104 million for three mine tenements from Peabody and was looking for more mines to feed long-term demand from Asia.

    "We now have a mandate to specifically find more coking coal assets in Australia," said Tudor, although he declined to comment on whether Pembroke would look at the two Rio mines.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/australia-coal-ma-idUSL4N1I71WO

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    U.S. agency finds harm from imported carbon and steel plate

    U.S. agency finds harm from imported carbon and steel plate

    U.S. trade officials on Friday said their anti-dumping and subsidy probe found carbon and alloy steel cut-to-length plate from eight foreign producers harms American manufacturers, locking in duties on the imports for five years.

    The U.S. International Trade Commission's finding applies to cut-to-length plate from Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, it said in a statement on its website.

    In March, the U.S. Commerce Department said anti-dumping duties ranging from 3.62 percent to 148 percent would be imposed on products from the eight producers, while imports from South Korea would also face a countervailing duty of 4.31 percent.

    Cut-to-length steel is used in a wide range of applications, including buildings and bridgework; agricultural, construction and mining equipment; machine parts and tooling; ships, rail cars, tankers and barges; and large-diameter pipe.

    The findings followed an investigation prompted by a petition from Nucor Corp and U.S. subsidiaries of ArcelorMittal SA and SSAB AB.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-steel-plate-idUSKBN1811R3
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