Mark Latham Commodity Equity Intelligence Service

Friday 9th June 2017
Background Stories on www.commodityintelligence.com

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    Macro

    Italy's 5-Star says no deal possible on electoral reform, wants snap vote



    Italy's anti-establishment 5-Star Movement called on Thursday for immediate national elections after a deal on electoral reform among the major parties unraveled.

    "There is no chance of starting all over again. The legislature should end here and we should hold immediate elections," said Luigi Di Maio, who is widely expected to be the 5-Star's candidate for prime minister.

    He spoke shortly after the lower house voted to send the electoral reform bill back to a cross-party commission for further discussion.

    Upping the pressure for an early election, the parliamentary party leader of the ruling Democratic Party, Ettore Rosato, told reporters he did not know how the coalition government could hold together following the rupture over the voting law.

    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/reuters/article-4585158/Italys-5-Star-says-no-deal-possible-electoral-reform-wants-snap-vote.html#ixzz4jQQ6h0uW
    Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
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    Trump says infrastructure plan will speed approvals, cut regulations



    US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that he was focused on reducing "burdensome" federal regulations and streamlining the approval and permitting process for oil and natural gas pipelines and other infrastructure projects.

    "They're getting approved so fast," Trump said during a televised speech in Cincinnati, Ohio.

    Trump credited his administration with approving the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipelines.

    "Nobody thought any politician would have the guts to approve that final leg," said Trump, claiming that he has received no "heat" for approving the Dakota Access pipeline.

    Joined by US coal, steel and petroleum industry executives, Trump gave his speech along the banks of the Ohio River with barges carrying "West Virginia coal" in the background.

    The speech was intended to detail his administration $1 trillion infrastructure plan, but Trump offered few details.

    "America wants to build," he said.

    According to a White House fact sheet, the plan will reduce permitting time for projects from 10 years to two years. Trump's proposed budget includes $200 billion to rebuild infrastructure and projects will be funded through a combination of loans and grants, the White House said.

    "Government will get out of the way to allow State and local governments to succeed at meeting their unique challenges," the White House said.

    Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke, who appeared at the event, said the plan was part of Trump's focus on "energy dominance" rather than energy independence.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/natural-gas/washington/trump-says-infrastructure-plan-will-speed-approvals-21967425
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    Brazil electoral court case against Temer loses force



    After its chief judge urged his peers to consider Brazil's political stability, the country's top electoral court on Thursday excluded testimony of engineering company executives in an illegal campaign funding case against President Michel Temer

    The decision by the Supreme Electoral Court suggested it may throw out the case that has threatened to unseat the scandal-hit president. That would clearly be a temporary win for Temer, but analysts say it would still leave him weakened and by no means bring an end to the political crisis roiling Brazil.

    A guilty ruling would annul the 2014 election victory of former President Dilma Rousseff and her then running mate Temer and unseat Temer, though he could appeal and likely remain in office until a final decision, which would take months. That would deepen uncertainty over his austerity agenda aimed at plugging a gaping budget deficit and pulling Brazil out of its worst ever recession.

    So far, only one judge has ruled in the trial. Herman Benjamin voted to annul the 2014 Rousseff-Temer ticket for accepting bribes and illegal donations.

    But four of the seven justices are expected to vote the other way on Friday morning, including the head of the court, Gilmar Mendes, who said any ruling had to consider the stability of the country and Temer should not be compelled to step down for a minor reason.

    Exclusion of the plea-bargain testimony from Odebrecht SA [ODBES.UL] executives strengthened Temer's line of argument that his campaign received no illegal funds.

    The executives told prosecutors they funneled millions of dollars into the 2014 Rousseff-Temer campaign in return for government contracts and other kickbacks.

    The Temer and Rousseff defense teams requested the Odebrecht testimony be scrapped, holding that it went beyond the scope of the original complaint filed to the court by the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) after it lost the 2014 election.

    "Temer has the votes to stay in office," said Welber Barral, a Brasilia insider and political consultant who is following the case closely, as is much of the country and its investors.

    Barral said the court, known as the TSE, would most probably vote 4-3 to throw out the case. Any of the judges, however, could ask for more time to study the case, which could delay a final ruling for weeks.

    Brazil's currency BRBY strengthened as investors sensed the court would likely favor Temer, raising the survival chances of his measures to close the budget deficit. Interest rate futures, a gauge of concern over Brazil's future, fell off morning highs on the decision to exclude Odebrecht testimony.

    IF TEMER SURVIVES TSE, UNLIKELY TO FALL

    Temer opponents had been counting on a TSE ruling to force him from office. The country is stuck in a political crisis triggered by Brazil's biggest ever graft scandal and last year's impeachment of Rousseff, whose supporters called it a soft coup arranged by Temer and allies to thwart the scandal probe.

    Temer himself is under investigation for allegedly receiving millions in bribes and obstruction of justice, and Brazil's top federal prosecutor is widely expected to formally charge him soon.

    Temer, whose government's approval ratings are in the single digits, canceled meetings to follow the court session on television in his presidential office, an aide said. "The president is confident his defense with prevail," spokesman Marcio de Freitas told Reuters.

    If Temer is forced from office, lower house Speaker Rodrigo Maia would take over, and Congress would have 30 days to pick a caretaker to lead the country until elections in late 2018.

    Temer has refused to resign despite separate bribery allegations made in plea-bargain testimony by executives of the world's largest meatpacker JBS SA (JBSS3.SA).

    Even if Temer survives the electoral court case and is charged by prosecutors for corruption, he is unlikely to fall.

    For the top court to put him on trial, the charges would have to be authorized by two thirds of the lower chamber of Congress, where his allies are still a majority.

    The PSDB party, Temer's main coalition ally, delayed until Monday a meeting on whether to pull its three ministers from his cabinet, which would erode his support in Congress, but not to the point that charges against him would pass the chamber.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-politics-idUSKBN18Z28M
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    West underestimates China's new Silk Road, German envoy says


    Western countries are underestimating China's new Silk Road project, which is an important scheme, despite concerns it is too China-centric and so far lacking in opportunities for foreign firms, Germany's ambassador to China said on Thursday.

    China has touted what it formally calls the Belt and Road initiative as a new way to boost global development since President Xi Jinping unveiled the plan in 2013, aiming to expand links between Asia, Africa, Europe and beyond.

    At a summit last month, Xi pledged $124 billion for the plan, but it has faced suspicion in Western capitals that it is intended more to assert Chinese influence than Beijing's professed selfless desire to spread prosperity.

    Ambassador Michael Clauss told the Foreign Correspondents' Club that Germany saw a lot of merit in the scheme, but he felt many were largely ignoring it, especially in Europe and the United States, which surprised him.

    "It's being underestimated a little bit. People should wake up," Clauss said, adding that one concern was that China was still promoting it as a very China-centric scheme.

    "What we would like to see is it be done at a more equal footing. So far it's not yet been possible to have equal footing discussion between the European Union and China on that aspect," he said.

    "It's very much centered on Beijing, on China."

    European firms want to take part, but are being made to feel unwelcome or face undesirable conditions, added Clauss, who has been ambassador in Beijing since 2013.

    "We know that in some cases companies have been asked to transfer their technology in return for being able to participate in some of the projects, which didn't meet with a lot of enthusiasm."

    The new Silk Road is being promoted as part of China's efforts to bolster its global leadership ambitions as U.S. President Donald Trump promotes "America First" and questions existing global free trade deals, including pulling out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP.

    Clauss said the new U.S. administration was still formulating its China policy, and in Beijing, where the new U.S. ambassador is yet to arrive and the acting top diplomat has just resigned, there was little cooperation at present between Germany and the United States on China.

    Even with its problems, the new Silk Road should be supported, Clauss added, however.

    "Despite these shortcomings, we feel that especially since TPP and others have been given up, there's no better game in town."

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-germany-silkroad-idUSKBN18Z1R6
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    Peru relaxes air quality standards to help mining industry



    Peru adopted new and more flexible air quality standards on Wednesday after the old standards were criticised by mining companies and President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski.

    A decree published by the environment ministry raised the maximum amount of sulphur dioxide, a byproduct of smelting copper and other base metals, that can be emitted to 250 micrograms per cubic metre per 24 hours, from the 20 micrograms per cubic metre previously.

    Peru is the world's No 2 copper producer and miningaccounts for 60% of its exports. Mining companies had criticised Peru for having overly strict air quality standards, complaining the technology to meet them does not exist.

    A third auction of a smelter in La Oroya, one of the world's most contaminated cities, failed to find a new operator in March. The lack of interest was in part because potential bidders were waiting for new environmental standards to be released.

    Kuczynski said in July of last year that air quality standards were "unrealistic" and more stringent than in Finland. The situation had slowed investment in Peru, he said.

    He said air quality standards used in other mining countries were more reasonable.

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/peru-relaxes-air-quality-standards-to-help-mining-industry-2017-06-07
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    Oil and Gas

    UAE re-imposes port ban on Qatari-linked oil tankers



    Abu Dhabi Petroleum Ports Authority has re-imposed a ban on oil tankers linked to Qatar calling at ports in the United Arab Emirates, reversing an earlier decision to ease restrictions, and potentially creating a logjam of crude cargoes.

    The Port Authority circular was issued late on Wednesday and seen by Reuters on Thursday. It states: "Denial of entry into any of the Petroleum Ports, for all vessels arriving from, or destined to Qatar, regardless of its flag." That was followed by a notice from the UAE's state-owned Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) on Thursday with the same language also seen by Reuters.

    The ban on all vessels carrying the Qatari flag and vessels owned or operated by Qatar remains in place and those ships will not be allowed into its petroleum ports, the port authority circulars said.

    The Abu Dhabi port authorities had eased the restrictions just a day earlier.

    The ban would potentially disrupt the common industry practice of co-loading oil cargoes from different countries onto a tanker to lower the costs of shipping. Preventing the co-loading of Qatari and other Middle East grades could add to refiners' transport costs and create logistical jams.

    "ADNOC has officially confirmed that we cannot co-load to and from (Qatar). So we need to find new vessels, then find co-loadings around the region," said a source from an Asian refiner.

    Qatar is among the smallest of the Middle Eastern oil producers and refiners will load crude from there alongside bigger suppliers such as Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter, and the UAE.

    Re-tightening the restrictions on ships to and from Qatar will exacerbate the logistical issues that started on June 5 when Arab countries including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE and Yemen severed ties with Qatar for allegedly funding terrorism.

    "This is the only thing that really matters - Qatar doesn't have that many vessels and most of their exports are co-loaded with other crudes," the second shipbroker said.

    Despite the official ban, industry sources in both the Middle East and Asia indicated that the co-loading of Abu Dhabi crude along with Qatari oil may continue on a case-by-case basis.

    Customers under long-term contracts with ADNOC for crude may be given exemptions to the ban at ports including Das Island and Fujairah as long as the co-loaded cargo is not only from Qatar since ADNOC does want to upset those customers, said a Middle East-based industry source.

    Traders and refiners may explore alternatives like chartering smaller tankers or consider ship-to-ship (STS) transfers in the region to deal with the ban.

    "It's gotten to the point where we just want this to be over... we are scrambling again," said a second Singapore-based shipbroker, adding that STS transfers could occur at designated areas offshore Oman.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-oil-idUSKBN18Z0P9
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    Iran declares priority oil projects for the current year .. it plans to renew its fleet of oil



    Told Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zangana, executive director of the National Oil Company Ali Carder, executive priority projects for the oil sector in the current Iranian (ends March 20 / March 2018).

    This came in an official letter the minister Zangana face executive director of the National Oil Company, which was identified through which oil projects in the priority this year, came as follows :

    - Focus on joint production fields and the emphasis on optimal extraction and production of 4 million barrels of oil per day to March 20 / March 2018 with a view to achieving the vision of 2021 aimed to raise the production ceiling to 7.4 million barrels per day.

    - work towards raising the level of production of gas condensate to one million barrels per day within the vision of 2021, focusing on common fields and raise itsproduction to 683 thousand barrels per day to March 20 / March 2018 .

    - upgrade the status of an internationally National Iranian Oil Company in the upstream oil and gas operations in the world .

    - Work on the conclusion and enforcement of contracts for 10 oil and gas contracts At the framework of model Aljdid- and to emphasize the possibility of supply and technical upgrading of national technology in order to increase the recovery factor .

    - Implementation of the project to increase production capacity to 350 thousand barrels per day until March 20 / March 2018 fields west Karun common crude oil (North and South Azadegan and Aadaoran and Iaran North and South).

    - Completion of the enforcement capacity of the project and launch phases 13, 14, 22, 23 and 24 Pars field and the production of 620 million cubic meters of rich gas until March / March 2018 .

    - Implementation of support for public benefit projects initiative B5r 3 trillion riyals (USD = 32440 SR) in oil and gas and deprived areas in the country .

    In another context, the oil minister denied freezing the assets of the National Iranian Oil Company in the Emirate of Dubai and Oman . The minister pointed out Zangana, in an interview with Fars News Agency, the national oil company does not have any frozen assets even in the Emirate of Dubai and Oman .

    On the other hand , and on the subject of the freezing of foreign exchange for the petrochemical companies Iranian assets in China, between Zangana that the topic under follow - up and discussed during the visit of the Minister of Economy and Finance Ali Tayyip Nya to China, pointing out that the problem lies bank transfers and it 's not about Iran, but financial transparency and the working group international financial ( the FATF) .

    Furthermore, put the National Iranian Oil Tanker Company (NITC) the finishing touches on its plan to buy a number of giant oil tankers for the first time since the lifting of sanctions on Iran last year, as part of Tehran 's bid to modernize its existing fleet .

    He explained the Managing Director of the company owned by the government, Cyrus heirs of an entity, any new contracts that will sign the government will be on carriers to replace the existing carriers, and not in order to add another new . He added entity heirs: n the price of building new oil tankers are currently settling at its lowest level, so is the current Aellouktaat is the best time to renew the Iranian fleet .

    The Company (NITC) and one of the largest oil tanker companies in the world, with a fleet of 65 tankers approaching its capacity of 5.15 million dw

    http://tehrantelegram.com/story-z19045908
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    The Niger Delta Avengers Declare War Once More



    The militants who wagered a war against Nigerian oil output in 2016 are banding together once again to threaten the African nation’s energy sector.

    Corporal Oleum Belum, spokesman for the New Delta Avengers (NDA), sounded a battle-cry against the Delta Oil Producing Areas Development Commission (DESOPADEC) and other oil agencies on Monday.

    “We hereby declare ‘Operation Cripple Oil and Gas Production’ by any means available to us,” he said. “The Federal Government and oil companies – local and multinationals – operating in Delta State are hereby put on notice that effective from midnight, June 30, this year of upheavals 2017, there should be no more oil and gas operations in Delta State.”

    Attacks against the oil facilities held by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) and foreign oil majors have for the most part stopped since the beginning of the year. President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration has made diplomatic efforts to ease the grievances of the residents of the Niger Delta and their Niger Delta Avengers. One proposed solution is to legalize the makeshift refineries in the area, which process stolen oil for local consumption. Abuja would offer a limited volume of crude to the residents at a discounted price to refine at the small refineries in exchange for peace.

    But the diplomacy and proposed solutions are not enough for the New Delta Avengers.

    “Those who try our resolve shall be made a canon folder and used to show our determination. All members of the Joint Action Committee are hereby authorized to return to the trenches,” the group says.

    On May 23rd, militants attacked a pipeline operated by the Nigerian Gas Company Ltd., a subsidiary of the NNPC, Nigeria Gas Company spokesman Violin Antaih told AFP at the time.

    “It has been confirmed, even by the community people, that it was a third-party sabotage,” Antaih said. Analysts say the attack served as a warning, that the destruction could return, should talks fail.

    http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/The-Niger-Delta-Avengers-Declare-War-Once-More.html
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    China's crude imports hit second highest on record in May



    China's crude oil imports rebounded to the second highest on record in May, making China the world's top buyer for the month amid concerns over tightening crude supply to Asia and an extension of producer cuts to March next year.

    China imported 37.2 million tonnes or 8.76 million barrels per day of crude oil last month, up 15 percent from a year earlier and nearly 8 percent from April, data from the General Administration of Customs showed.

    Imports compared with average shipments to the United States in May of 8.12 million bpd, according to Reuters calculations based on EIA weekly data.

    The robust May shipments reflected steady demand from private refiners, Li Yan, a crude oil analyst with Zibo Longzhong Information Group said.

    "China's May crude imports were mainly driven by purchases from some Shandong-based independent refineries that had sent China's crude imports to record high in March. In the first five months, we are seeing a steady pace of buying from these 'teapot' refineries which reported good profit margins," Li said.

    For the year to end-May, crude imports rose more than 13 percent from a year earlier to 176.3 million tonnes or 8.52 million bpd, the customs data showed.

    However, private refiners are expected to tighten their intake for at least the next two months, analysts and traders said, ambushed by a rising local fuel glut.

    Imports by the world's second-biggest oil consumer had slipped from a peak of 9.2 million bpd in March to 8.4 million bpd in April.

    China's exports of refined products rose 6 percent in May to 4.03 million tonnes as state refiners sold more abroad in a bid to counter a domestic oversupply

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-trade-crude-idUSKBN18Z1CP
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    Gunvor Singapore executive charged by Chinese prosecutors in oil probe -document



    Chinese prosecutors have charged an employee of Swiss commodity trader Gunvor Group who has been held for a year for allegedly smuggling fuel and evading taxes on sales from the Philippines, according to a legal document viewed by Reuters.

    In May last year, Chinese authorities seized a tanker and detained several people as part of a probe into suspected tax evasion on imported oil. A Gunvor senior executive based out of Singapore was one of the people detained, a source briefed on the matter told Reuters.

    Yin Dikun, managing director of Gunvor Singapore, was charged with smuggling 1.3 million tonnes of fuel and evading nearly 378 million yuan ($55.7 million) of taxes, prosecutors in Guangzhou, the capital city of Guangdong province, said in the document dated June 2 and seen by Reuters.

    Gunvor confirmed in an email an employee had been charged by Chinese authorities in a customs dispute between China and the Philippines. It did not identify the person, but said it continues to do business in China.

    "Gunvor itself has not been charged," it said. "The company views this situation as a purely political matter."

    It said it was not liable to pay duties because it was not the importer of record into China.

    "Given that Gunvor is not the importer, legally the charges don't make sense," the company said.

    The prosecutors did not respond to a request for comment.

    Yin Dikun has been held by Guangzhou police since May 2016. An official warrant of arrest was issued in June of last year.

    Charging an employee of a foreign company is the latest sign that Beijing is broadening its efforts to crack down on tax evasion in the world's top oil importer. Recently the central government has also tightened scrutiny over tax matters of independent refiners, known as teapots.

    The charges against Yin centre on Gunvor's sales of light cycle oil (LCO) from the Philippines to Chinese buyers over a two-year period.

    Gunvor had supplied (LCO) on a delivered basis to Chinese importers and provided certificates indicating the LCO fuel was produced in the Philippines, according to the legal document.

    The prosecutors said in the document the LCO, a refinery by-product for diesel blending, had not originated from the Philippines. They did not say from where they thought the LCO had originated instead.

    Under a free-trade agreement between China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), goods that are manufactured in ASEAN countries are exempt from import tariffs. The Philippines is an ASEAN member.

    "Knowing that the LCO fuel it supplies are not manufactured in the Philippines, Gunvor Singapore nonetheless provided its Chinese customers ASEAN certificates for them to clear the customs," the document said.

    Investigations by Chinese police found Gunvor Singapore was suspected of supplying 36 shipments of LCO under these arrangements between 2014 and 2016, it said.

    Gunvor said in its email to Reuters that Philippines customs have confirmed the documentation was issued in full compliance with rules and regulations.

    Gunvor said it maintains rigorous corporate compliance protocols and has taken a "conservative approach to the Chinese market in general, given the known business risks it poses".

    http://www.reuters.com/article/china-gunvor-oil-probe-idUSL3N1J42X5

    Attached Files
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    Moody's changes outlook on Royal Dutch Shell's AA2 ratings to stable from negative



    * Moody's changes outlook on Royal Dutch shell's AA2 ratings to stable from negative; affirms ratings

    * Moody's-Stabilized outlook on shell's AA2 rating on expectations that financial profile will improve into 2019 on ongoing earnings and cash flow recovery

    * Moody's- change in outlook to stable anticipates shell's leverage position will steadily improve in 2017-19 Source text

    http://www.reuters.com/article/brief-moodys-changes-outlook-on-royal-du-idUSFWN1J509N
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    Shell diverts U.S. LNG cargo to Dubai after Qatar diplomatic row



    Royal Dutch Shell has sent a replacement cargo of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States to Dubai, shipping data shows, after a diplomatic row disrupted typical trade routes from Qatar.

    Shell has a deal to supply the Dubai Supply Authority (DUSUP) with LNG which it typically sources from Qatar because of its proximity.

    But bans on Qatari vessels entering ports in the United Arab Emirates, imposed after top Arab powers severed diplomatic and transport links with Qatar on Monday, meant it had to source the LNG from elsewhere.

    The Maran Gas Amphipolis tanker, carrying around 163,500 cubic metres of LNG produced in the United States, was initially headed toward Kuwait's port of Mina Al-Ahmadi but made a U-turn on Wednesday to head for Dubai's port of Jebel Ali.

    The tanker is currently unloading at DUSUP's floating import terminal at Jebel Ali, data showed.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/gulf-qatar-lng-usa-idUSL8N1J52ZT
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    Engie selling its stake in Petronet LNG


    France’s LNG player Engie, through its unit, GDF International, has reportedly set the wheels in motion to sell its 10 percent stake in India’s largest LNG importer, Petronet LNG.

    Citing a term sheet, Bloomberg reports the company is offering 75 million shares in total looking to rake in about $513 million through a block sale.

    LNG World News invited Engie to comment on the sale report.

    Earlier in March, Petronet LNG said Engie invited the state-owned companies that own a total of 50 percent in Petronet LNG, offering them first right of purchase of the 10 percent share.

    The four state-owned companies are Bharat Petroleum Corporation, GAIL, Indian Oil Corporation and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation.

    According to the term sheet, JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup have been hired to arrange the offering.

    http://www.lngworldnews.com/report-engie-selling-its-stake-in-petronet-lng/
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    Egypt Reduces Arrears Owed To Foreign Oil Companies To $2.3 Billion

    Egypt Reduces Arrears Owed To Foreign Oil Companies To $2.3 Billion

    Egypt has reduced arrears owed to foreign oil companies to $2.3 billion, the Egyptian oil ministry said in a statement on Thursday.

    The country repaid $2.2 billion in three weeks, the statement said.

    Once an energy exporter, Egypt has turned into a net importer in recent years, squeezed by declining production and increasing consumption.

    Cairo has pledged to eliminate the arrears by the end of June 2019 and not accumulate more, part of its drive to draw new foreign investment to an energy sector that is attracting interest following several major gas discoveries.

    http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/150504/Egypt_Reduces_Arrears_Owed_To_Foreign_Oil_Companies_To_23_Billion?utm_source=GLOBAL_ENG&utm_medium=SM_TW&utm_campaign=FANS
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    EIA cuts 2017 Henry Hub price estimate



    The U.S. Energy Information Administration has slightly reduced its forecast for Henry Hub natural gas spot prices this year.

    In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook released on Tuesday, the agency said Henry Hub gas prices would average $3.16 per million British thermal units in 2017 and $3.41/MMBtu in 2018.

    The 2017 estimate is down 1 cent while the forecast for 2018 is down 2 cents as compared to forecasts in EIA’s April short-term outlook.

    In May, the average Henry Hub natural gas spot price was $3.15/MMBtu), 5 cents higher than in April.

    U.S. dry natural gas production is forecast to average 73.3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2017, a 1 Bcf/d increase from the 2016 level, EIA said.

    This forecast increase would reverse a 2016 production decline, which was the first annual decline since 2005. Natural gas production in 2018 is forecast to be 3.3 Bcf/d above the 2017 level.

    EIA expects natural gas production in 2018 to be 3.3 Bcf/d above the 2017 level.

    http://www.lngworldnews.com/eia-cuts-2017-henry-hub-price-estimate-2/
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    Alternative Energy

    Chinese vice premier calls for joint efforts in clean energy push


    Chinese Vice Premier Zhang Gaoli on June 7 called for joint efforts to improve global energy governance to push green and low-carbon development.

    China is willing to work with the international community on the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement on climate change, Zhang said in a speech delivered at the opening of the Eighth Clean Energy Ministerial and the Second Mission Innovation Ministerial in Beijing.

    The vice premier called for deepening innovative cooperation in clean energy, improving the energy use system and promoting greener and more efficient energy consumption, to build a low-carbon and clean energy supply system.

    Zhang said that China would carry out joint action plans to mobilize businesses in the clean energy push and ensure the benefits were shared by the public.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4557042/info/en
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    German wind, solar power output peaks above 50 GW for first time



    Power output from wind and solar in Germany rose above 50 GW for the first time on Wednesday with many neighbouring states also registering strong wind and solar supply and the resulting oversupply pushing down spot power prices across the region, data from grid operators shows.

    Actual wind and solar power output in Germany averaged 50.287 GW during hour 12 with onshore wind pegged at 28.6 GW, offshore wind producing 4.2 GW and solar adding a further 17.4 GW, according to EEX Transparency which collects the data.

    According to TSO estimates, wind and solar production for hour 13 was forecast even higher at 51.2 GW, the data shows.

    This oversupply from wind and solar saw some hourly prices turn negative on the intraday market after afternoon hours in the day-ahead spot auction already settled below Eur10/MWh on the Epex Spot exchange.

    Massive swings in wind and at times solar, with total installed capacity already above 92 GW put Germany's power grid under pressure with grid expansion lagging behind the boom in wind especially in Northern Germany with many neighboring states also registering very high levels of wind and solar production amid unseasonally high wind levels Tuesday and Wednesday.

    In France, combined wind and solar production peaked at 12.5 GW around midday on Tuesday with the French wind and solar portfolio approaching 20 GW this summer, according to grid operator RTE.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/electric-power/london/german-wind-solar-power-output-peaks-above-50-26749263
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    Agriculture

    Is the corn market ready to rally on U.S. weather worries?



    Corn futures prices have remained stubbornly low for the past three months despite heavy rain and cold weather complicating planting and early crop development for many U.S. Midwestern farmers.

    But the tide may be shifting as the summer is beginning under a warmer and drier regime.

    Driven partially by mounting U.S. weather concerns, July corn on Wednesday broke above the $3.60-to-$3.80 per bushel range it had been trading in for three months and new-crop December corn topped $4.00 a bushel for the first time since March 6.

    So far this year, the corn market seems particularly unwilling to latch on to weather-related U.S. crop worries. Planting weather was cold and wet in many parts of the Corn Belt and the current crop conditions are not as good as they have been in previous years.

    But corn futures stuck within the range anyway as traders are often unstirred over planting hardships so long as the weekly progress numbers align with averages, which they did this spring.

    Long-range weather stories are going to be an even tougher sell, and the hesitation is understandable considering the botched forecasts from many weather vendors last summer calling for potential drought.

    Instead, plentiful rains arrived in the key months of July and August and U.S. corn ended up breaking the previous yield record by more than 3 bushels per acre in 2016.

    Yet some weather analysts have been pounding the drum for some time now about July and August 2017 possibly being hot and dry, just as corn will enter its grain filling stage.

    There are various meteorological and statistical reasons offered for the outlook, but the market seems to have tuned that all out for now.

    It might take a while longer for traders to buy into any hazardous grain-fill forecasts and for forecasters to regain the traders’ trust, but it seems as if the market is perking up at over weather at least in the near-term.

    The summer’s first expansive atmospheric ridge – sometimes known as a “ridge of death” when it persists – will grip the Corn Belt this weekend, ushering in unseasonably hot and dry weather to places that do not need it (reut.rs/2r6OC6Z).

    However, weather models as of mid-day Wednesday were calling for much more rain across the Midwest into mid-month than the previous day’s models. But if that forecast does not hold, corn futures could be heading even higher in the coming days.

    WET SPRING = YIELD LOSS?

    Ignoring the summer weather and putting the meteorology aside, the statistics point to a greater chance of below-trend yields when spring planting is much wetter than usual.

    In the top 20 wettest April-to-May periods over the last 50 years, some 13 of those years ended with corn yields more than 1 percent below the long-term trend. Yields were within 1 percent of average in three of the years, and the remaining four years recorded above-trend yields (reut.rs/2rBYAk8).

    April and May of 2017 ranked as the fifth wettest in the last 50 years across the U.S. Corn Belt. Only one of the top 10 wettest springs – the tenth in line – gave way to above-trend corn yields later in the summer.

    To be fair, yield performance in two of the 20 wet spring years – 2004 and 1982 – was some of the best to date, though rainfall was notably greater during the 2017 spring.

    And some of the worst-yielding years are also mixed in, including 1995, 1991, and 1983, all of which fell inside the top 10 wettest April-to-May periods.

    Whether the yields that faltered in those 20 years did so over a hot and dry late summer or something else is an entirely different discussion. But the statistics make it clear that corn has a steeper hill to climb when the springtime is as rainy as it was in 2017, meaning there may be less room than previous years for weather woes later in the summer.

    PROBLEM AREAS

    Areas of concern already exist in various corners of the Corn Belt, and conditions may worsen over the next week given the drier, warmer forecast.

    Crop ratings in the Eastern Corn Belt are considerably below both average levels and last year. As of June 4, the amount of corn rated in good or excellent condition in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio was 59 percent, 46 percent, and 49 percent, respectively.

    The overly wet spring in parts of these states has led to a fair amount of replanting, disease and weaker plants. Historically, low ratings at this point in the season do not guarantee below-trend yields to the Eastern belt, but they apply more pressure to have near-perfect weather going forward.

    Despite the rainy spring, many areas in the Eastern Corn Belt are now in need of rain again, but the forecast is fairly devoid for the next week. Together, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio produce one-quarter of the nation’s corn.

    In the Northern Plains, drought has been creeping into the picture. According to USDA’s weekly progress report, the amount of topsoil classified as short or very short of moisture grew by 50 percent in the Dakotas during the week ended June 4. Some 54 percent of topsoil in both states now carries this rating.

    North Dakota is best known as the top spring wheat-producing state, but corn production has become more prevalent both there and in South Dakota in recent years. The two states together produce about 9 percent of the U.S. corn crop.

    If weather models continue to trend wetter into the middle of the month, the market’s concern will likely be sidelined for the time being until the next unfavorable pattern starts to surface in the forecasts.

    Latest GFS and EC weather model runs for U.S. Midwest on Thomson Reuters Agriculture Weather Dashboard:

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-corn-braun-idUSKBN18Z02E
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    Precious Metals

    Mexico owes Canada miners over $360 million, led by Goldcorp - documents



    Mexico's tax agency is holding over $360 million in tax rebates owed to six Canadian miners, including $230 million to Goldcorp Inc, according to sources and official documents seen by Reuters, escalating the situation into a showdown between the Mexican government and Canadian mining firms operating there.

    In a string of meetings, Canadian officials have pressed Mexico to fix the problem, which hamstrings mining companies' ability to invest in operations and is particularly difficult for smaller, cash-strapped miners and explorers, people familiar with the matter said.

    Vancouver-based Goldcorp declined to comment on its outstanding refund, which represents 142 percent of its 2016 net profit and 6 percent of its full-year revenue.

    Goldcorp, the world's No. 3 gold miner by market value, is owed the largest amount, according to documents seen by Reuters, followed by Torex Gold Resources, a small, Toronto-based miner which began commercial production at its Mexico mine last year and is waiting on a refund of some $66.5 million.

    "It's damaging the ability to reinvest the dollars in assets that actually pay real tax," said Torex chief executive Fred Stanford, who is working with Mexican authorities to resolve Torex's 2015 submissions, but declined to comment on the refund amount.

    While several companies said that refund delays began to grow longer two or three years ago, exact amounts of withheld refunds have not been previously reported.

    Osvaldo Santin, head of Mexico's Tax Administration Service, acknowledged the problem in an interview last month with Reuters, saying the agency had seen a spike in value-added tax, or VAT, refund requests.

    "Given this atypical phenomenon, we are carrying out more in-depth assessments," he said. Working with the miners, the agency is aiming for a quick resolution to prevent it becoming an operations problem, Santin added.

    INVESTMENT APPETITE SOURS

    Mining companies' appetite for investing in Mexico has soured in the face of the withheld rebates as well as ongoing security threats and high royalties, said Rob McEwen, CEO of McEwen Mining.

    "You take a number of these factors and when a miner doesn't have control over them, it increases the risk," he said. Toronto-based McEwen, which saw its Mexican mine robbed at gunpoint of 7,000 ounces of gold in 2015, said it had a $6.2 million refund outstanding as of March 31.

    Nearly 70 percent of foreign-owned mining companies operating in Mexico are based in Canada, according to Global Affairs Canada, the country's combined foreign and trade ministry. The value of Canadian mining assets in Mexico totaled C$19.4 billion ($14.4 billion) in 2015, second only to U.S. assets worth an estimated C$24.8 billion.

    The tax row comes as foreign direct investment (FDI) in Latin America's second-largest economy has cooled while U.S. President Donald Trump pressures American business to grow at home. FDI in Mexico slumped 26 percent in the first quarter from the same period a year ago to $7.9 billion.

    'CAN'T ADD A 16-PERCENT COST'

    Unlike sales tax, which only applies to a final purchase, Mexico's 16-percent VAT is levied every time value is added during the production of goods or when they are sold.

    Mining companies, which export much of their production and spend heavily on machinery and equipment, typically generate large VAT returns.

    Mexico's VAT refunds officially take 40 days to be processed, and by law, can take months if there is an audit. In practice, however, the process can take much longer, particularly if litigation is involved.

    Endeavour Silver Corp is owed $15.6 million - including $6 million to $7 million from purchases with seven suppliers under audit - money that Chief Financial Officer Dan Dickson said is being withheld to coax Endeavour to pressure the suppliers into paying more income tax.

    "It's not my job to make sure they are paying their income tax," he said. "We can't add a 16-percent cost to our company. That makes our mines unprofitable."

    Sources and documents also show Alamos Gold is owed about $26 million and Agnico Eagle Mines nearly $18 million. The Toronto-based companies were not immediately available for comment.

    Frustrated miners complained to Canada's Minister of Natural Resources, Jim Carr, during a trade mission earlier this year. Carr raised the matter with Mexico's Secretary of the Economy, who committed to look into the matter, two sources said.

    The extended wait times for VAT refunds are forcing the hand of some small miners, said one executive, who asked not to be named.

    "I've heard, more recently, of an increase in intermediary third parties actually buying VAT receivables (at a discount), so companies can get the cash up front," he said. "Miners are just increasingly desperate to get their refunds."
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    Base Metals

    Copper price jumps on Chinese imports surprise



    In February copper hit a 21-month high on the back of optimism that Donald Trump's $500 billion-plus infrastructure plan would add fuel to the fire of Chinese economic stimulus already working its way through commodity markets.

    While US stimulus now appears further in the distance, Chinese support for the sector has stayed surprisingly strong with imports of the metal, widely used in the construction, manufacturing transportation and power industries, surging in May.

    Markets had overestimated the slowdown in China's economic growth and sluggish domestic demand

    Official customs data from China, responsible for some 45% of global copper consumption, show the country's refined copper imports in May increasing by 30% to 390,000 tonnes compared to the previous month. Year-on-year import volumes were down 9% however. For the whole of 2016 imports were at record levels of 4.95 million tonnes.

    The copper imports rebound in May is more than market expectations, especially in the off season for copper, (suggesting) markets had overestimated the slowdown in China's economic growth and sluggish domestic demand," Helen Lau, an analyst at Argonaut Securities in Hong Kong told Reuters.

    In a sign that disruptions at some of the world's biggest mines including BHP's Escondida minein Chile and Freeport's Grasberg operations in Indonesia is having an impact on mine supply concentrate imports declined by more than 15% in May compared to April. Cargoes were down 20% compared to a year ago reaching the lowest levels since October 2015. 2016 was a banner year with volumes gaining 28% over 2015 hitting an all-time high of 16.96 million tonnes for the full year.

    Chinese imports compare to global mined production of an estimated 20.5 million tonnes per year.

    Copper futures trading on the Comex market in New York reacted positively to the import data adding more than 2% from Wednesday's close trading near its day high of $2.6105 per pound ($5,755 a tonne) in afternoon dealings. Copper is up 3.5% year to date.

    http://www.mining.com/copper-price-jumps-chinese-imports-surprise/
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    Mongolia presidential hopeful urges more state control in mining



    A leading candidate for Mongolia's presidency has called for greater state control of projects like the giant Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine run by Rio Tinto, making mining and foreign investment central issues in the election campaign.

    The landlocked North Asian country of three million people goes to the polls on June 26, just a month after securing a $5.5 billion International Monetary Fund-led bailout to lift the economy out of a balance of payments crisis.

    Campaigning began on Tuesday, and painful austerity measures agreed by the Mongolian People's Party (MPP), which runs the government but doesn't hold the presidency, have made an easy target for rivals, as have controversies over deals done with foreign mining companies.

    The presidential election in the former Soviet satellite, wedged between China and Russia, comes amid growing frustration among voters over suspected corruption and the perceived ineffectiveness of their governments.

    Under Mongolia's parliamentary democracy, the MPP government's term should run for another three years, but its policies could be challenged by a president with veto powers.

    The outgoing president Tsakhia Elbegdorj belongs to the Democratic Party, but has to step down having served a maximum two terms.

    The Democratic Party's new candidate Khaltmaa Battulga, a martial arts star turned business tycoon, opened his campaign with a call for greater government control over the economy and the country's mineral resources.

    "Our political environment is very unstable, so our big development policy won't go forward. Because of that, we can't solve unemployment or poverty," Battulga told CI Television in an interview posted on the network's official Facebook account late on Tuesday.

    "The government should hire experts and take control of everything, including Oyu Tolgoi and Tavan Tolgoi," he said.

    His comments could send shudders through Rio Tinto, which owns 66 percent of Oyu Tolgoi, and scare off private companies that might be interested in forming strategic partnerships at the giant, fully state-owned Tavan Tolgoi coal mine.

    Oyu Tolgoi LLC, the Mongolia-based company that runs the project, declined to comment. Rio Tinto did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

    Dale Choi, analyst and head of the Altan Bumba Financial Group, said the Mongolian government did not have a good record when it came to managing its assets.

    "Most of the SOEs are loss making businesses, and even those that pay some of the highest taxes to Mongolia are not efficient businesses," he said.

    RUN OFF LIKELY

    The ruling MPP candidate Mieygombo Enkhbold, has called for continued "stability", while the government struggles to introduce economic reforms having already raised some taxes and cut spending as part of the IMF bailout deal.

    Asked for Enkhbold's position on the mining sector, an MPP spokesman forwarded a statement setting out the party's support for the further development of big mining projects "based on the fundamental interests of our people."

    Nationalist politicians have repeatedly called for greater Mongolian control over Oyu Tolgoi, which is forecast to become the world's third-largest copper producer when output peaks at 550,000 tonnes in 2025, up fourfold from this year.

    A third party candidate Sainkhuu Ganbaatar, who is expected to win enough votes to force Mongolia's first-ever second round presidential election run-off, has continued his hardline stance when it comes to Mongolia's ownership of its resources.

    "The Mongolian people in Mongolia are the real master. This means that Mongolians are the deciders of their natural resources," he said in his manifesto.

    Attempts to renegotiate ownership and a long dispute over taxes and cost overruns led to the suspension of construction on the underground tunnels at Oyu Tolgoi in 2013, and also scared off investment for other projects.

    Construction on the project was relaunched after the signing of a new agreement that ended the dispute in 2015.

    During its first phase, the open pit mine had already contributed more than $1 billion in taxes and other payments to the government by 2015, while local businesses and suppliers had earned some $4 billion from the project, according to the International Finance Corporation.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/mongolia-election-mining-idUSL3N1J43KA

    Attached Files
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    China's Q1 aluminium demand surges 15% on year to 8.24 mil mt: industry guild



    China's aluminium demand in first-quarter 2017 surged 15% year on year to 8.24 million mt, on the back of consumption by the real estate, car and power sectors -- the key aluminium consumers, the Henan Provincial Nonferrous Metals Guild said in a report on its website on Thursday.

    The guild, which is a metals industry association, has over 100 producer-members and advises the government on non-ferrous metal industry policies and laws, and is also into metals research.

    Other factors supporting the rise in aluminium demand in Q1 include the mainland China macro-policy and better aluminum prices, the guild said.

    China's aluminium sector earned a profit of Yuan 7.1 billion ($1.065 billion) in Q1 2017, compared with a loss of Yuan 5 billion in Q1 2016, the data showed. The sector's sales revenue in Q1 2017 was Yuan 141.6 billion, up 37% year on year, according to the guild.

    Chinese domestic alumina spot prices averaged at Yuan 2,438/mt ($366/mt) in April 2017, down 11% month on month, with prices having fallen to Yuan 2,300/mt by end-April, the guild data showed.

    In April, China's average daily national alumina and refined aluminium outputs were 213,000 mt and 92,000 mt, respectively, which were the highest thus far, the guild data showed. As of end-April, the country's total aluminium stock was more than 1.2 million mt, also hitting a historically high level. March's volume was undisclosed though.

    As of June 2, the Shanghai Futures Exchange has refined aluminium stocks of 435,001 mt, up 21,375 mt from the week of May 31, SHFE data showed.

    China's national aluminium demand has been forecast to grow from an estimated 34.02 million mt in 2016 to 46.68 million-50.93 million mt by 2023, with the coming of the lightweight industry age in the mainland, as well as demand support by the domestic template, car, decoration, construction, and electronics sectors, according to the China Non-ferrous Metals Industry Association.

    China produced 24.46 million mt of alumina and 10.97 million mt of refined aluminium in Q1 2017, up 21% and 10% year on year, respectively, the guild data showed.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/metals/hongkong/chinas-q1-aluminum-demand-surges-15-on-year-to-26750062
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    Steel, Iron Ore and Coal

    Mechel to pay first full preferred share dividends since 2011


    The board of Russian metals and mining giant Mechel has recommended paying full dividends to preferred shareholders for the first time since 2011 now the company has fought back from the brink of bankruptcy.

    Mechel borrowed heavily before Russia's economic crisis hit in 2014 and was facing what would have been the country's biggest corporate collapse after struggling with debt repayments as demand for its products weakened and coal and steel prices fell.

    But the company, controlled by businessman Igor Zyuzin, struck a debt-restructuring deal with creditors last year and posted a net profit of 13.9 billion roubles ($244 million) for the first quarter of 2017, helped by higher coking coal prices.

    Mechel said in a statement on Thursday its board had recommended dividend payments of 10.28 roubles per preferred share for 2016, when it made a net profit of 7.1 billion roubles.

    The company has paid preferred shareholders a minimum payment of 5 kopeks per a share since 2011 and has yet to resume full dividend payments to ordinary shareholders.

    Mechel's preferred shares on the Moscow Exchange jumped 7 percent after the announcement.

    Chief Executive Oleg Korzhov said last month that management had asked creditors for permission to make the dividend payments, currently set at 20 percent of net profit.

    Lenders Sberbank and VTB said last week they both supported the proposal.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/russia-mechel-dividends-idUSL8N1J51I4
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    Wesfarmers says coal price contracts set for shake-up



    Wesfarmers says quarterly contract prices that underpin the coking coal industry will cease to exist, telling investors Japanese steel mills are likely to decide on a new mechanism within weeks.

    Incoming Wesfarmers chief executive Rob Scott, who is now managing director of the conglomerate’s industrial and resources division, told investors it expected some clarity on pricing structure within weeks.

    ‘It looks like that quarterly price system is falling over now so we will find out more in the next week or two,” Mr Scott said.

    “This is uncharted territory in many ways.”

    BHP Billiton chief commercial officer Arnoud Balhuizen also believes there will be a change away from the quarterly contract prices, telling a Melbourne function last week that recent volatility in coking coal price could break the traditional system.

    Instead of setting prices agreed every three months the industry could move closer to a daily market price.

    Japanese steelmakers, who have traditionally preferred quarterly contract prices, paid much more for coal on contracts between November and March than they could have bought at market or “spot” prices, undermining their confidence in the contract system.

    Cyclone Debbie disrupted coal supply in early April, delaying negotiations over the contract price for the three months to June 30. The contract price for that period has still not been settled.

    Wesfarmers moved to capitalise on higher coal prices last year by launching a formal sales process for its coal operations, which include Curragh in Queensland and a 40 per cent stake in NSW’s Bengalla mine.

    Mr Scott said Wesfarmers was continuing to explore the potential divestment and investors should not fret that the process was taking some time.

    “I don’t really have more to update on the sale process other than we are working through the process,” Mr Scott said.

    He said there were no coal sale processes that were happening quickly, with bidders wanting to undertake rigorous due diligence.

    Mr Scott said resolving a dispute with Queensland government-owned power generator Stanwell Corporation last year was beneficial to the sales process.

    “We are very pleased to have reached a settlement, which provides us with greater certainty.”

    Wesfarmers is also making a push into Western Australia’s domestic gas retail market. AGL and Origin recently secured gas retail licences and want to ‘disrupt’ the market.

    Wesfarmers said it now has about 20 per cent of the market, with 60,000 new natural gas residential customers in the past 12 months, taking total residential customers to 150,000.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/wesfarmers-says-coal-price-contracts-set-for-shake-up/
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    Dalian iron ore falls for third day as steel struggles



    Iron ore futures in China dropped 2 percent on Thursday, falling for a third session in a row, reflecting weak appetite for the raw material as steel prices struggled to sustain their upward momentum.

    Losses in Chinese futures could drag spot iron ore prices further, having declined to their lowest level in nearly a year on Wednesday.

    The most-active iron ore contract for September delivery on the Dalian Commodity Exchange closed down 2 percent at 423 yuan ($62) a tonne.

    “Iron ore consumption has come under pressure as Chinese steel mills look to spend funds on loan repayments due at the end of the quarter,” Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.

    Iron ore for delivery to China’s Qingdao port .IO62-CNO=MB slid 1.1 percent to $55.43 a tonne on Wednesday, the lowest level since July last year, according to Metal Bulletin.

    The spot benchmark, which touched $94.86 in February, has lost almost 30 percent this year, underperforming other commodities such as nickel and oil.

    Adding to plentiful supplies at home, China’s iron ore imports rose in May from a six-month low in April, reaching 91.52 million tonnes.

    Stockpiles of the raw material at China’s ports stood at 136.55 million tonnes last week, near the highest level since 2004. SH-TOT-IRONINV

    After an early-year surge driven by Beijing’s infrastructure spending, Chinese steel prices have fallen 15 percent from this year’s peak as construction demand tapers off during summer.

    The most-traded rebar on the Shanghai Futures Exchange ended nearly flat at 2,968 yuan per tonne after rising as much as 2 percent intraday. The construction steel product touched a one-month low on Tuesday, but rebounded on Wednesday to snap a nine-day slide.

    Globally, BMI Research said it was keeping its average steel price forecast of $530 a tonne for this year and $500 in 2018. That compares to $484 last year.

    “This reflects our belief that prices will trend lower in the second half of 2017 from current spot prices as a result of resilient Chinese production growth on the back of low iron ore and coking coal prices,” BMI said in a report.

    Chinese mills produced a record 72.78 million tonnes of crude steel in April, breaking the previous all-time high set in March.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/dalian-iron-ore-falls-for-third-day-as-steel-struggles/
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    High floor price deters buyers at OMC iron ore auctions



    The latest round of iron ore e-auctions by Odisha Mining Corporation (OMC) saw subdued buying interest. OMC offered 508,000 tonne of iron ore of which barely 200,000 tonne was booked, meaning an unsold inventory of 308,000 tonne.

    Both iron ore lumps and fines were on offer from OMC’s key operating mines of Gandhmardhan, Daitari and Koira.

    The response to the auctions was weak as OMC continued its stand to hike base prices of lumps and fines. The floor price of lumpy ore was in the range of Rs 2200-2600 per tonne. Similarly, fines’ reserve price was fixed in the band of Rs 900-1300 a tonne. The raise in floor prices by OMC was despite plunge in sponge iron prices of the order of Rs 2500-Rs 3000 per tonne since the last auctions.

    “OMC’s floor price at iron ore e-auctions is based on the pricing mechanism adopted by the Indian Bureau of Mines (IBM) which is faulty. Pricing mechanism has to be made more realistic and transparent,” said a senior official with a steel company.

    OMC has refused to budge from its pricing stand, ignoring concerns flagged off by steel makers. R Vineel Krishna, managing director, OMC could not be immediately contacted for his comments.

    Though OMC has drawn a roadmap for higher iron ore output targets and agreed to augment production at its mines, the results have not yet shown up at the ground level. OMC had set a target to achieve a production figure of 20 million tonne (mt) by 2017-18 but it looks challenging given OMC’s current actual annual production hovering around six million tonne.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/high-floor-price-deters-buyers-at-omc-iron-ore-auctions/
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    Wilbur Ross sees 'genuine' national security concern on steel



    U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said on Thursday that a national security review of the U.S. steel industry will be completed "very shortly" and will seek to protect the interests of both domestic steel producers and consumers.

    Ross told a Senate Appropriations subcommittee hearing that he believes there is "a genuine national security issue that must be considered in this case," the second major signal in two days that the Trump administration is preparing new steel import restrictions.

    In a speech in Cincinnati on Wednesday, Trump said: "Wait until you see what I'm going to do for steel and for your steel companies. We're going to stop the dumping, and stop all of these wonderful other countries from coming in and killing our companies and our workers. You'll be seeing that very soon."

    The steel review under a Cold War-era trade law would result in a "thoughtful" set of recommendations for Trump to consider for action, Ross said. He has previously said he expected to complete the study by the end of June.

    Ross identified three kinds of actions that could be recommended: imposing tariffs above the current, country-specific anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties on steel products; imposing quotas limiting the volume of steel imports; and a hybrid "tariff-rate quota" option that would include quotas on specific products with new tariffs for imports above those levels.

    Choosing the latter option would help mitigate concerns over steel price inflation from tariffs, Ross said. Some steel users have voiced concerns that import limits would cause price increases that would make them more vulnerable to foreign competitors.

    "The overall impact on inflation, were that to be the route, should be relatively modest," Ross said. "So we're very mindful of the need both to protect the domestic steel producers from inappropriate behavior on the part of foreign dumpers, but also to protect the steel consumers, the steel fabricators, the auto companies and everybody else who uses steel."

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-steel-idUSKBN18Z26U
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    China May steel products exports down 25.93% on year



    China May steel products exports down 25.93% on year

    http://en.sxcoal.com/
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