Mark Latham Commodity Equity Intelligence Service

Monday 12th June 2017
Background Stories on www.commodityintelligence.com

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    Macro

    Project Ubin: Singapore's MAS test's Blockchain successfully.

    Singapore’s central bank has published a post-trail analysis of its blockchain endeavor that saw digital tokens of the national currency issued on a private Ethereum blockchain.

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    A newly published report by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), reveals details of ‘Project Ubin’ its blockchain effort “which places a tokenized form of the Singapore Dollar (SGD) on a distributed ledger” platform.

    The project is a part of the central bank’s joint-endeavor with blockchain consortium R3, which notably launched the ‘R3 Asia Lab’ in Singapore in November. Soon after, the central bank announced the development of a blockchain proof-of-concept pilot to facilitate interbank payments. The project was Project Ubin, before it got its name.

    In March this year, the MAS completed the first phase of that pilot and revealed the token powering the interbank blockchain platform – a central bank-issued digital currency. Participating banks deposited cash as collateral in exchange for these digitized dollars, with payments and transfers between member banks settled using the MAS-issued digital currency. Ultimately, the banks would swap the digital currency to cash.

    A Private Ethereum Blockchain

    Now, in its report that goes with the tagline “The future is here”, the MAS has detailed findings of Project Ubin.

    http://www.mas.gov.sg/~/media/ProjectUbin/Project%20Ubin%20%20SGD%20on%20Distributed%20Ledger.pdf

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    A technical excerpt from findings of Phase 1 of its pilot, which successfully completed the proof-of-concept (PoC) project points to:

    A working interbank transfer prototype on a private Ethereum network…(and) successfully conducted end-ot-end integration between the private Ethereum network and MEPS+.

    MEPS+ is the central bank operated Electronic Payment System, the national payments rail platform which enables domestic and international payments in Singapore.


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    BP, Eni, Wien Energie report successful blockchain.

    A trio of major energy firms – oil giants BP and Eni along & Wien Energie, Austria’s largest energy company, have completed an energy trading pilot over a blockchain developed by Canadian firm BTL.


    The ‘intense 12-week pilot, as described by BTL, involved testing an energy trading confirmation solution over BTL’s Interbit blockchain platform. As CCN reported during its launch in January 2016, the Interbit platform is a multi-chain ledger that facilitates transfers of funds and assets for remittance and data sharing.

    The Interbit platform also claims to automate a number of enterprise back-office processes, including confirmations, invoice generations, settlement, audit, reporting, actualizations and regulatory compliance. Benefits include lowered costs, increased efficiency, and reduced risks.”

    The pilot proved successful in all test scenarios in processes involved in an energy trade lifecycle. The next step, BTL reveals, is to bring in additional energy companies as participants for energy trading over the blockchain. The pre-production phase is to last 6 months, where the solution will run alongside energy companies’ existing trade systems. A commercial live blockchain-based energy trading solution in real-world environments is next.

    Guy Halford-Thompson, BTL’s Co-Founder and CEO stated:


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    Having demonstrated the reductions in risk and cost savings that are achievable we now have an opportunity to deliver the first successful blockchain based application to the energy market.

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    Hayek would have loved Ether!

    The interesting part here is that despite all of these steps, the minority chain can continue to operate and have value. This function is an underestimated quality of public blockchains, even by some individuals within the public blockchain space, because they miss the philosophical basis of blockchain’s creation.

    Despite what some may have previously said in the blockchain’s early days, the foundations of ethereum, the currency, are not based on fringe thoughts, but on the mainstream insights of a Nobel prize winner, Friedrich August Hayek, who spent much of his life studying money. He states in The Denationalization of Money:

    “The past instability of the market economy is the consequence of the exclusion of the most important regulator of the market mechanism, money, from itself being regulated by the market process… only competition in a free market can take account of all the circumstances which ought to be taken account of.”

    The genius of Nakamoto was to force the creation of free market money through a decentralized mechanism, thus making a checkmate move as it can not be shut down save for by the judgement of the market. By it’s judgement alone eth lives or dies and if some parts of the market think it should split, the best-managed currency rises through market competition, or, alternatively, its mismanagement or lower quality courts the market’s punishment.

    That’s just one aspect, because ethereum is not just money. It is an upgrade of money as it turns paper into pure code. Code we can modify, order around through ifs, thens, while loops. Code we can incorporate into our websites, into our videos, our games, our cars, airoplanes, trains, smartphones, fridges.

    The potentials here we can not quite comprehend. So much will be automated. So much value will be exchanged with no human oversight or action. There will be deep webs of algorithms, too complicated for anyone to understand. Machines moving around on their own, based on if, thens, exchanging value based on our code orders. Cars driving themselves, automatically paying the charging station.

    The efficiency gains might be higher than ever in history. Man, perhaps, will finally be freed. Yet, we pray, he is not instead fully enslaved.

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    Stressed balance sheets cast cloud over Modi-led India rebound



    Vikas Patharkar borrowed $700,000 in 2014 to set up a factory to make electric transformers on the outskirts of Mumbai, buoyed by the promise of massive government spending and hopes of a strong economic rebound.

    Three years later, production has yet to begin. But servicing the debt is cutting into overall profits at his Lustre Engineering, which also offers electrical services, and the 59-year-old may have to sell off assets to repay the bank.

    Patharkar says India's bureaucrats are to blame for denying contracts to small businesses like his, and has taken one state-run power company to court to challenge its tendering process.

    "Government has put in place a very good public procurement policy, but officials on the ground are not implementing it," he said.

    Bureaucracy is only one of the more visible parts of a problem that is vastly more systemic since Asia's third-largest economy started to falter, burdened by $150 billion in bad loans, excess and idle capacity and stalled private investment.

    Private capital investments contracted 2.1 percent in the first three months of this year despite a surge in government spending, dragging economic growth to 6.1 percent, its lowest in more than two years.

    Signs for the current quarter are also not encouraging. According to CMIE, a think tank, new investment proposals in April and May were down by more than half from the same period in both of the last two years.

    The culprit is a so-called twin balance-sheet phenomenon: reduced new investment by stressed private companies, which account for three-quarters of India's total capital spending, and one of the highest bad-loan ratios among emerging economies.

    The bad loans have forced banks to curb overall lending growth and cut their credit exposure to industry, while the share of capital investments in India's GDP has dropped to below 30 percent from more than 38 percent a decade ago.

    "The motivation to invest into new capacities is falling," said Mahesh Vyas, chief executive officer at CMIE.

    Foreign portfolio investors remain bullish about India, pumping $19 billion into Indian stock and bond markets since January, lured by the country's relatively strong fundamentals.

    But the World Bank warned last week that prospects for developing economies like India were being undermined by weak investment.

    If the trend continues, it may thwart India's hopes of replicating the growth that dramatically boosted employment, reduced poverty and increased per capita income in China.

    The downbeat mood is a far cry from the bullish sentiment among businesses three years ago when Prime Minister Narendra Modi was running for India's top job.

    His reputation, built while running the western state of Gujarat, of speeding up implementation of infrastructure projects and promoting manufacturing raised hopes of a similar push at the national level.

    To be sure, his administration has spent billions of dollars on rail, road, port and power projects and pushed through a slew of steps to cut bureaucratic red tape and attract investments, the benefits of which, many believe, are still to come.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-india-economy-investment-idUSKBN18Z32N
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    Japan's Tepco, Chubu eye $910 million cost cut from merging fossil businesses


    Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings (Tepco) and Chubu Electric Power Co said on Thursday they aim to cut costs by more than 100 billion yen ($910 million) a year within five years after combining their fossil fuel power plants under their JERA Co joint venture.

    The two companies, which had agreed on the integration in March, signed a contract for this on Thursday.

    The biggest and the third-biggest of Japan's regional power utilities aim to combine the businesses in April-September 2019 to form a company that will oversee 68 gigawatts of capacity in the country and account for nearly half of domestic power generation.

    One of the sticking points for Chubu was that Tepco was essentially nationalized after the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, which may put pressure on JERA to provide ample dividends to help pay for decommission and compensation.

    To relieve Chubu's concerns, the two companies agreed to put in place the measures to limit the dividends to the parents so that JERA would receive enough internal reserves to make its expansion goals possible.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-power-m-a-idUSKBN18Z0Z2
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    Energy giants reportedly in merger talks



    China Shenhua Energy Co said in a filing on June 4 with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it was informed by its parent company - China's largest coal miner, Shenhua Group Corp - of "a significant matter containing substantial uncertainty that is subject to the approval of the relevant authorities".

    On the same day, Guodian Technology and Environment Group, the listed unit of China Guodian Corp, one of the nation's largest coal-fired power generators, issued a similar statement, saying it was informed of the "proposed planning of a significant event".

    It was believed that the two energy giants were in merger discussions. Neither responded to requests for comment.

    A merger of the energy giants would see the creation of a bigger and more competitive state-owned enterprise in the global market, says Zhou Dadi, a senior researcher at the China Energy Research Society.

    Wu Qi, an analyst at the commercial bank research centre of the research institute of Hengfeng Bank, said that the merger of a power generator and a coal miner would be a win-win solution.

    Economies participating in the Belt and Road Initiative see massive shortages in power generation and supply, and a merger would help the Chinese company better penetrate foreign markets, Wu said.

    China has vowed to further cut its industrial overcapacity to accelerate restructuring of the nation's huge state-owned enterprises sector.

    Peng Huagang, deputy secretary general of the state-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, said recently at a news conference that the government plans to focus on the restructuring of the coal, power, heavy equipment manufacturing and steel sectors, and explore overseas asset integration.

    China is also considering merging two of its nuclear power giants, as the Shanghai-listed units of China National Nuclear Corp and China Nuclear Engineering Corp Group said earlier in March that a strategic reorganization of the companies was underway.

    China's 102 centrally administered SOEs made a combined profit of 825 billion yuan ($121.4 billion) during the first four months of this year, up by 24.8% year-on-year, according to the Ministry of Finance.

    Lin Boqiang, head of the China Institute for Energy Policy Studies at Xiamen University, warns that in addition to increased competitiveness in the international market, there might also be excessive concentration that could damage domestic market competition.

    It might not have a substantial impact on turning the energy companies' losses into gains, he said.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4557127/info/en
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    China detains three over zinc-laden waste dumped into river



    China has detained three people suspected to be responsible for the discharge into a river of industrial waste water containing 180 times the maximum safe amount of zinc, state news agency Xinhua said on Saturday.

    The detentions of a factory owner and two managers followed an inspection in Linhai city, in the eastern coastal province of Zhejiang, that revealed the dumping of unprocessed waste water by a plant making auto repair tools, Xinhua said.

    It cited an unnamed city official as saying the water, used for metal polishing and surface treatment, showed excessive levels of zinc, bronze and nickel, with the zinc content at more than 180 times the limit.

    The three suspects face charges of polluting the environment, and could be jailed for up to seven years if convicted, the agency added.

    Worried by the social and political impact of pollution, China has vowed to crack down on lawbreaking companies and the local governments that protect them.

    Efforts to tackle water pollution remain uneven, however, with some areas worsening in 2016, the environment ministry said in April.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-pollution-idUSKBN19107G
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    Brazil electoral court dismisses case that could have ousted president



    Brazil's top electoral court dismissed a case on Friday that threatened to unseat President Michel Temer for alleged illegal campaign funding in the 2014 election, when he was the running mate of impeached President Dilma Rousseff.

    The ruling gives Temer some breathing room but will not end a political crisis enveloping the beleaguered center-right leader. He is being investigated separately by federal prosecutors for corruption, obstruction of justice and racketeering.

    "We cannot be changing the president of the Republic all the time, even if the people want to," said the court's chief judge, Gilmar Mendes.

    Mendes, who backed the impeachment of Rousseff, said the country should not expect the court to solve the current political crisis.

    The electoral court, known as the TSE, voted 4-3 to acquit the Rousseff-Temer ticket of wrongdoing. That avoided the annulment of their election and the removal of Temer from office. He took over a year ago following Rousseff's impeachment in the midst of Brazil's worst recession on record.

    In a decisive move, that same majority had ruled on Thursday to not allow as evidence in the case plea-bargain testimony from 77 executives of the Odebrecht construction firm, which is at the center of a vast political graft scheme.

    Those witnesses told investigators they funneled millions of dollars in illegal funds into the 2014 Rousseff-Temer ticket. But the testimony was made more than a year after the beginning of the case that concluded Friday, and without it Temer's lawyers argued there was no proof of wrongdoing.

    The acquittal will help Temer, whose government's poll ratings are in the single digits, retain key coalition allies who will support approval in Congress of his fiscal reform agenda. The austerity measures aim to bring a gaping budget deficit under control and restore investor confidence.

    Alexandre Parola, a spokesman for Temer, said after the ruling that the president viewed the decision as an example of effective institutions keeping the country's democracy working.

    INVESTIGATIONS 'JUST STARTING'

    Political analysts said the acquittal was disastrous for the credibility of Brazil's judiciary, the government institution that polls show is most trusted by Brazilians. Some warned it would add to growing disillusionment with democracy.

    "This catastrophic ruling prolongs the survival of a government that has lost all credibility and can no longer govern," said Roberto Romano, professor of ethics and political philosophy at Campinas University. He said it would add to a small but worrying trend of Brazilians favoring a return to military rule.

    Temer, a third of his Cabinet and dozens of powerful congressmen are under investigation for corruption.

    The leader is likely to soon face separate charges in the case involving allegations of receiving bribes and condoning the payment of hush money handed over to a potential witness in a massive graft scandal, investigators have told Reuters.

    The Supreme Court approved the investigation into the president late last month.

    But to put him on trial, the charges against the president would have to be approved by two-thirds of the lower chamber of Congress, where Temer's coalition retains a majority.

    With an election year approaching in 2018, however, the governing coalition's majority could shrink if lawmakers break away, concerned about voters punishing them for being part of a government overwhelmingly perceived in polls as corrupt.

    Acquittal by the electoral court could help Temer's main coalition ally, the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), convince its younger members who want to bolt from the government to stay put and help push unpopular reforms through Congress.

    But political volatility will not die down.

    "The days ahead will be very difficult for Temer. The corruption investigations are just starting," said Flavia Bahia, professor at the CERS law school and FGV think tank in Rio de Janeiro. "The government can't be sure of its allies anymore."

    The separate investigation by prosecutors into Temer includes a secret recording of a conversation he had earlier this year with a former top executive of meatpacker JBS SA.

    In it, the president appears to condone paying bribes to an imprisoned former lawmaker to keep him from turning state's witness and providing potentially devastating testimony about graft.

    Temer has denied any wrongdoing and insists he will never resign. But a one-time top aide to the leader, Rodrigo Rocha Loures, was caught on a police video released last month picking up a bag filled with 500,000 reais ($152,000) in cash from a JBS executive, allegedly meant to silence the potential witness.

    Temer aides told Reuters they worry that if Rocha Loures decides to reach a plea-bargain deal with investigators, it will strengthen any charges filed against the president.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-politics-ruling-idUSKBN19033V
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    Oil and Gas

    Aramco float

    There has been a rush of recent stories about how America and Britain might cut Saudi Arabia some unwarranted slack to get its vast national oil company to float in either New York or London. Both venues are vying to win a slice of a public offering that is sometimes (if hopefully) said to value Saudi Aramco at $2tn.

    In New York, it seems to be a matter of overturning a law that permits relatives of those killed in the World Trade Center attacks to pursue Saudi Arabia with private lawsuits. In London, by contrast, the machinations are less about high politics than the mundane business of investor protection. They involve loosening the governance rules to shoehorn the Saudis on to the main market board.

    The story has ignited fears of another regulatory race to the bottom in which investors’ interests are sacrificed in the interests of making money for intermediaries. But while that’s certainly a genuine worry, it isn’t the biggest one when it comes to Aramco’s offering. Indeed, the listing rules may be the least of investors’ concerns.


    Before fretting about transparency or investor protection mechanisms in a venture where outsiders will own just 5 per cent of the equity, it is worth studying the structure of the company itself. 

    For all the interest in the scale of Aramco’s reserves, the business doesn’t actually own the oil in the ground like past privatisations, such as BP and Statoil. Its legal rights rest on a concession agreement originally struck in 1933 between the Saudi kingdom and Standard Oil Company of California (SoCal), which created Aramco.

    This gives the company exclusive rights to exploit the nation’s oil reserves (not just those presently discovered but also any found in future) in return for royalties and taxes. As the original concessionaires discovered, when oil is the host’s main source of revenue, these rights must perforce be uncertain. 

    In 1950, in pursuit of more cash for his still impoverished kingdom, King Abdulaziz threatened to tear up the deal if Aramco didn’t accede to his demand for more of the upside. Faced with this prospect, the company promptly capitulated, agreeing to split its profits 50/50 with the state.

    Investors in a future privatised Aramco are in an analogous (if weaker) position. Like the old concessionaires, they are dependent for returns on their relationship with Riyadh. But unlike SoCal, they have no leverage in the form of industrial know-how. Consequently their ability to exploit the company’s hydrocarbon honeypot is even more closely linked to Saudi Arabia’s prosperity than old Aramco’s was.

    New Aramco’s value is umbilically tied to the dividends it generates. To bolster these and inflate the sale value, Riyadh has cut the corporate tax rate it levies from 85 per cent to just 50 per cent. This is a substantial reduction, given its continuing dependence on hydrocarbon sales for state revenue, and will put great stress on public finances already squeezed by lower oil prices.

    Of course, the Saudi government can replace the lost taxes by maximising Aramco’s dividend — a position that arguably aligns its incentives with outside investors. But in a fiscal crisis, it might seek to plug the leakage of funds to shareholders by hiking taxes (all of which go to its coffers). That temptation is likely to increase, the greater the proportion of the equity it sells.

    The privatisation is designed to avert such a crisis by accelerating growth through economic diversification. But getting there means navigating a path that is strewn with political uncertainty. First it will require Saudi Arabia to move to a system where oil is priced rationally in domestic markets, rather than sluiced cheaply at domestic and favoured industrial users. That will create losers whose losses will need to be mitigated.

    Second it will depend on Saudi Arabia making wise investment choices. The company has established a sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund, that will invest the proceeds of the IPO in non-oil assets. But as with other neighbouring wealth funds in Qatar and Kuwait, the PIF has an apparent fondness for foreign investments, pumping money into international technology businesses such as Uber and SoftBank. It is hard to see this generating many jobs or new industries at home.

    More than on any transparent audit or star-studded board of non executive directors, Aramco’s success as an investment will hinge on Saudi Arabia’s ability to set sound policies and execute them smoothly. Those who buy shares will be implicitly putting their trust in princes. It is a bet worth pondering before buying shares, on whatever market they trade.

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    Saudi to supply full contracted crude volumes to Asian buyers in July


    Saudi Arabia, the world's top crude oil exporter, will supply full contracted volumes of crude to at least five Asian buyers in July, industry sources with knowledge of the matter said on Monday.

    State oil company Saudi Aramco will also supply full volumes of heavy crude for a third straight month, despite cutting supplies for this grade earlier this year, one of the sources said.

    The normalisation of Saudi oil supplies to Asia comes as the OPEC kingpin seeks to protect its market share, even as OPEC and some non-OPEC producers agreed to extend supply cuts until March next year.

    Aramco also separately agreed to provide additional crude on top of contracted volumes at the request of one of the buyers. Other buyers did not seek extra supplies after Aramco raised prices more than expected.

    Aramco last month notified at least two Asian refiners of its first cuts in crude allocations for regional buyers since OPEC-led output reductions took effect in January.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-supply-idUSKBN193041
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    Qatar begins shipping cargo through Oman to bypass Gulf rift



    Qatar has begun shipping cargo through Oman to bypass Gulf countries that have cut off sea routes to the tiny, energy-rich nation, the latest move by Doha to show it can survive a diplomatic dispute with its neighbours.

    Qatar’s port authority published a video on Monday, showing a container ship loaded down with cargo arriving at Doha’s Hamad Port from Oman’s port of Sohar to a water-cannon welcome.
    Typically, cargo for Qatar stops at Dubai’s massive deep-water Jebel Ali port or in the Emirati capital of Abu Dhabi, then gets put on smaller boats heading to Doha. But since June 5, the UAE has joined Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Egypt in cutting off sea traffic to Qatar as part of the nations severing diplomatic ties over Qatar’s alleged support of extremists groups and close ties to Iran.

    Qatar’s port authority said its cargo will go through Sohar, as well as Oman’s port at Salalah, bypassing the need to dock in any of those countries that have cut ties. Global shipper Maersk has already said it will begin using Salalah for its shipments to Qatar.

    Meanwhile, Iran’s state-run Irna news agency has said two Iranian navy vessels will stop off in Oman soon as part of an anti-piracy patrol. Oman, which is not among those countries cutting ties to Qatar, routinely serves as a back-channel negotiator for Western governments needing to speak to Tehran.

    The diplomatic crisis, the worst since the 1990 invasion of Kuwait by Iraq and the subsequent Gulf War, has seen Arab nations and others cut ties to Qatar, which hosts a major US military base and will be the host of the 2022 Fifa World Cup.

    Doha is a major international travel hub, but flagship carrier Qatar Airways now flies increasingly over Iran and Turkey after being blocked elsewhere in the Middle East.

    After an initial run on supermarkets by panicked residents, Qatar has secured dairy products from Turkey. Iran also has shipped in vegetables by air and plans to send some 350 tons of fruit by sea to Qatar, with which it shares a massive offshore natural gas field.

    https://www.energyvoice.com/oilandgas/middle-east/141772/qatar-begins-shipping-cargo-oman-bypass-gulf-rift/
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    Just as #Nigeria's Forcados#oil exports return, Shell declares force majeure on Bonny Light



    Just as #Nigeria's Forcados#oil exports return, Shell declares force majeure on Bonny Light due to pipeline leak

    @HermsTheWord
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    Iran raises oil exports to West, almost on par with Asia



    Iran's oil exports to the West surged in May to their highest level since the lifting of sanctions in early 2016 and almost caught up with volumes exported to Asia, a source familiar with Iranian oil exports said.

    Iran, which used to be OPEC's second biggest oil exporter, has been raising output since 2016 to recoup market share lost to regional rivals including Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

    While many Asian nations continued to purchase oil from Iran during sanctions, Western nations halted imports, halving Iran's overall exports to as little as one million barrels per day (bpd).

    Last month, Iran exported about 1.1 million bpd to Europe including Turkey, almost reaching pre-sanction levels and only slightly below the 1.2 million bpd supplied to Asia, the source told Reuters.

    Iran's exports to Asia last month were the lowest since February 2016, Reuters' calculations showed.

    Oil exports to Asia fell as South Korea and Japan stepped up oil condensate purchases and bought less oil, said the source, who asked not to be identified as the information is confidential.

    "Iran's condensate parked in floating storage has almost been exhausted because of higher purchases by Japan and Korea," the source said.

    Exports to Asia were also hit by India's decision to cut annual purchases from Iran by a fifth for the fiscal year to March 2018.

    After the lifting of sanctions, Tehran added new clients such as Litasco and Lotos and won back customers such as Total (TOTF.PA), ENI (ENI.MI), Tupras (RDSa.L), Repsol (REP.MC), Cepsa CPF.GQ and Hellenic Petroleum (HEPr.AT).

    OPEC member Iran was allowed a small production increase under a December deal to limit output.

    Iran's overall May oil production totaled 3.9 million bpd, the source said.

    Iran is currently producing about 200,000 bpd of West Karoun grade, which the nation blends with other Iranian heavy grades for export, he said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-oil-exports-idUSKBN1901W3
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    Rising Kashagan output weighs on Kazakhstan's CPC oil price



    One of the world's fastest growing crude streams, Kazakhstan's CPC, is battling to find new buyers in a market saturated with light grades and with core European customers reluctant to buy more of the pungent oil blend even as its value has plunged.

    It is a familiar picture for oil producers which have struggled with oversupply in the past three years, sending oil prices from above $100 a barrel to less than $50 a now.

    But it is proving a particular challenge for Kazakhstan, which has joined the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other non-OPEC nations in a pact to reduce output.

    Under the deal, Astana pledged to keep overall production at 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd). At the same time, it needs to reward investors in its giant Kashagan oil project that produces CPC but which started up last year five years behind schedule.

    So Astana is letting oil firms hike output from Kashagan in the Caspian Sea, which means it must cut from elsewhere. But the extra flows are piling pressure on CPC's already falling value.

    In 2013, light CPC crude traded at an average annual premium of $0.15 a barrel to dated Brent, then during 2014-2016 it slid to a discount of $0.11-$0.18. In the first five months of 2017, the discount had widened further to as much as $1.23.

    "Now it is more expensive to delay Kashagan again rather than sell discounted CPC Blend. Shareholders need the project to work now," said one trader.

    Kashagan oil field has been developed by a consortium of China National Petroleum Corp [CNPET.UL], Exxon Mobil, Eni, Royal Dutch Shell, Total, Inpex and KazMunaiGas. Phase one cost $55 billion.

    Rising output from Kashagan has pushed up oil flows through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) pipeline to the Black Sea port of Novorossiisk.

    The pipeline, which also transports oil from other parts of Kazakhstan and Russia, pumped an average of 700,000 bpd in the past decade. But after Kashagan production began at the end of 2016, volumes rose to 900,000 bpd last year.

    That figure could rise this year to 1.2 million-1.3 million bpd, according to Caspian pipeline consortium which manages the pipeline.

    "The CPC Blend market is tough," said one trader in the Mediterranean, traditionally the biggest market for the crude. "What's frightening is that we will have about 10 million tonnes extra of the grade to handle soon."

    MEDITERRANEAN RESTRICTIONS

    Selling any light crude has been made tough due to cuts by OPEC, whose members have tended to reduce output of heavier oil preferred by some refiners, leaving the market awash with lighter grades. But CPC has characteristics that add to the challenge.

    Unlike Russia's main Urals export blend, CPC is a more difficult fit for refiners because it has a high level of mercaptans, a group of pungent gases.

    "In some Mediterranean refineries, CPC Blend processing is simply restricted due to the smell and harmful emissions, while it is also corrosive, so you can only process it if you have anti-corrosive coat on refinery units," another trader said.

    In addition, more larger Suezmax crude carriers are being used to ship CPC as exports from Novorossiisk increase while the number of loading time slots remains limited. Some European ports will only take smaller Aframax vessels, traders said.

    This is pushing the blend to markets further afield.

    "Mediterranean refiners are not very keen on CPC, so the grade is now flowing worldwide, from Poland to Japan," a source with a big European refiner said.

    Reuters Eikon data shows CPC Blend supplies to Asia increased sharply since the start of 2017, heading to markets where bigger Suezmax vessels help reduce transport costs.

    South Korea, India and Japan bought 800,000 tonnes, 700,000 tonnes and 600,000 tonnes of CPC respectively in January-May 2017. In the whole of 2016, those three countries bought 400,000 tonnes, 500,000 tonnes and 600,000 tonnes respectively.

    Elsewhere in Europe, Poland's PKN Orlen bought 700,000 tonnes of CPC this year for its Polish and Lithuanian refineries for the first time.

    But rising CPC shipments beyond its core Mediterranean market have not been enough to support its value. The grade that formerly balanced between premium and discount to BFOE has been traded far below dated Brent crude for six months, the longest period in its history, Reuters Eikon data showed.

    "I don't think CPC Blend differentials will bounce back to a premium to Brent anytime soon. Not in the current market," one trader in the Mediterranean market said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-kazakhstan-oil-cpc-analysis-idUSKBN18Z2C0

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    Oil majors submit surveys to develop Iran's Azadegan



    International energy companies including Total, Petronas and Inpex, have presented technical surveys for the development of the Azadegan oilfield, an Iranian oil official was quoted as saying on Saturday.

    Tehran is looking to ramp up its crude output and with 37 billion barrels of oil, the Azadegan field is Iran’s largest, shared with its neighbor Iraq. It is located in southern Iran, 80 km west of the Khuzestan provincial city of Ahvaz.

    The managing director of Iran's Petroleum Engineering and Development Company was quoted by Mehr news agency as saying that France's Total, Malaysia's Petronas, and Japan’s Inpex Corp. have offered their surveys on the field.

    Noureddin Shahnazizadeh added that some other companies like Royal Dutch Shell, Italy's oil and gas group Eni, and China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) are also interested in the tender for development of the oilfield.

    Iran's oil minister said in May that the international tender for the Azadegan oilfield was underway.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-oil-azadegan-idUSKBN1910MD
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    India’s Torrent Power launches tender for 36 LNG cargoes

    India’s Torrent Power launches tender for 36 LNG cargoes

    Indian power company Torrent Power on Friday released a tender seeking the supply of 36 liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes over a period of three years.

    Torrent Power said in a tender document posted on its website it is requiring 3 LNG cargoes per quarter from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2020.

    The volume of the cargoes needs to be around 140,000 cbm and delivered on an ex-ship (DES) basis to Petronet’s Dahej LNG terminal where the power utility reserved storage and regasification capacity from April 2017 onwards.

    The deadline for bid submissions is June 30. Torrent Power said it plans to complete the evaluation of the offers by July 6.

    http://www.lngworldnews.com/indias-torrent-power-launches-tender-for-36-lng-cargoes/
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    Japan LNG buyers pay $5.70/MMBtu for spot cargoes contracted in May: METI



    Japanese LNG buyers paid an average $5.70/MMBtu for spot cargoes contracted in May, unchanged from $5.70/MMBtu in April, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said Friday.

    The ministry does not disclose the delivery months of the cargoes.

    JKM averaged $5.589/MMBtu in May, reflecting spot deals for June and July delivery cargoes.

    METI also said the average price of cargoes delivered into Japan in May was $5.70/MMBtu, down from $5.90/MMBtu in April.

    The JKM for May delivery cargoes averaged $5.454/MMBtu. JKM meandered throughout the assessment period, starting at $5.55/MMBtu on March 16 and ended at $5.525/MMBtu on April 13.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/natural-gas/tokyo/japan-lng-buyers-pay-570mmbtu-for-spot-cargoes-26750791
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    U.S. Rig Count Continues Its Ascent Unabated



    The number of active oil and gas rigs in the United States rose again this week by 11—making it 21 weeks of consecutive gains—the longest growth streak since at least 1987, which is the earliest date that Baker Hughes Excel data is available.

    As if the 11 rigs added to the U.S. repertoire weren’t enough, Canada added 33 rigs this week as well.

    The number of oil rigs in operation increased by 8, while gas rigs increased by 3. Combined, the total oil and gas rig count in the U.S. now stands at 927 rigs, which is 513 rigs over a year ago today, when oil prices were significantly higher than they were today.

    It would appear that there is no end in sight to the steady stream of oil rigs being put into play in the U.S. shale patch, and according to Rystad Energy, the significant number of drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) should serve as sufficient insulation to $40 or even $30 barrel prices, as those DUCs would still be commercially viable for completion at those prices.

    Cana Woodford and the Permian both added 4 rigs each this week, with Marcellus and Utica each adding 2. Barnett, Granite Wash, Haynesville, and Mississippian each added a single rig. The losers this week were Ardmore Woodford, DJ-Niobrara, and Eagle Ford. The Permian now has 142 more rigs in play than this time last year, and Eagle Ford, the second most prolific basin, has 54 more.

    http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/US-Rig-Count-Continues-Its-Ascent-Unabated.html

    The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 rig from last week to 22 and up 1 rig year over year.
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    Encana to sell natgas assets to Caerus Oil for $735 mln

    Encana to sell natgas assets to Caerus Oil for $735 mln

    Oil and gas producer Encana Corp said on Friday it would sell its Piceance natural gas assets in northwestern Colorado to privately held Caerus Oil and Gas LLC for $735 million.

    Oil producers have been selling assets to reduce exposure to profit-sapping natural gas assets and to increase liquidity.

    ConocoPhillips, the largest U.S. independent oil producer, in April sold natural gas-heavy assets in the San Juan basin to privately held Hilcorp Energy Co for about $3 billion.

    The Piceance asset sale includes 550,000 net acres of leasehold and about 3,100 operated wells and produced 240 million cubic feet per day of natural gas in the first quarter, Encana said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/encana-divestiture-idUSL3N1J63W3
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    Canada's Enbridge eyes market share as competitors' pipes in limbo



    Canada's Enbridge Inc will take advantage of the uncertainty facing competitors' pipelines to gain market share, including starting early discussions on a new tolling agreement after 2022, a senior executive said on Thursday.

    Speaking at an investors event in Toronto, Enbridge Executive Vice President Guy Jarvis did not name the rivals, saying only that customers still seek capacity amid the "lingering uncertainty around when and even if competing pipelines will ever come online."

    An election in the Canadian province of British Columbia last month has complicated Kinder Morgan Inc's Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, with the two parties set to take power vowing to block the project.

    TransCanada's Keystone XL pipeline project through the United States has presidential approval, but still needs permission from the state of Nebraska. The company's Energy East project to Canada's Atlantic coast had been mired in controversy, its regulatory review process suspended.

    "We see a window of opportunity emerging now to start early discussions with our customers on a post-CTS tolling agreement," said Jarvis, referring to Enbridge's 10-year competitive tolling settlement for its Mainline system reached in 2011.

    Enbridge, North America's largest energy infrastructure company, has forecast a rise in adjusted earnings this year following its purchase of Spectra Energy Corp.

    Jarvis said the company will take advantage of its now larger scale and plans a possible expansion for its 280,000 barrel-per-day Express Pipeline that had once been Spectra's.

    Enbridge is "laser-focused" in bringing online projects including its Line 3 Replacement Program from Hardisty, Alberta, to Superior, Wisconsin, Jarvis said.

    "It's critical that we get it in service given the continuing uncertainties about competing pipelines," he said. "It then sets the foundation for developing the continued expansion of options on our Mainline."

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-enbridge-inc-canada-toll-idUSKBN18Z2LG
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    USGS Well Study: Unconventional Oil & Gas Development Having Little or No Effect on Drinking Water Quality



    USGS examines water wells in Eagle Ford, Haynesville, Fayetteville aquifers

    The USGS published a study last week investigating the effects of oil and gas production on drinking water quality.

    The study examined a total of 116 water wells in Texas, Louisiana and Arkansas, in areas were companies are producing from the Eagle Ford, Haynesville and Fayetteville.

    Water samples were tested for methane, benzene and several other chemicals that help determine the age of the groundwater.

    Benzene found in nine wells at low concentrations

    The study found low concentrations of benzene in nine wells. Four wells in the Eagle Ford region, four in the Fayetteville and one in the Haynesville had traces of benzene. The highest concentration was detected in the Haynesville well, where concentrations of about 0.13 micrograms/liter were found. For reference, federal standards require benzene concentrations in drinking water to be below 5 micrograms per liter. Benzene is naturally occurring in trace amounts within petroleum and coal formations, but is also found in some fracturing fluids.

    Biogenic methane found in most wells

    Methane was detected in the vast majority of wells; 91% of those sampled had some methane present. About 10% of wells with methane present had concentrations above the suggested maximum. While methane is not toxic, it is highly explosive and therefore the Department of the Interior has suggested water should have methane concentrations below 10 milligrams/liter. Methane was detected wells in each of the three regions.

    Methane is the primary component of natural gas, and is also often produced by underground bacteria. Scientists can distinguish between methane produced by bacteria and methane produced by heat and pressure, the process that creates shale gas.

    The USGS reports that most of the methane detected in groundwater in this study was from naturally occurring sources at shallow depths rather than shale gas.

    Groundwater age helped scientists determine source of benzene

    The USGS study was able to estimate the age of the groundwater tested, which can help determine the source of any benzene detected. In Louisiana and Texas water mostly had been in the aquifers for several thousand years. This indicates that any benzene detected was either due to natural hydrocarbon migration or oil and gas wells with subsurface leaks.

    In Arkansas, by contrast, water tested was relatively young, and had usually been in the aquifer for less than 40 years. This led the USGS to conclude that one of the wells with benzene present may have been due to a spill on the surface, likely the result of oil and gas production activities.

    Bottom line: development of unconventional resources not a significant source of water contamination

    Overall, however, the USGS concludes that in the regions sampled unconventional oil and gas production is not currently a significant source of methane or benzene to drinking water wells.

    https://www.oilandgas360.com/usgs-well-study-unconventional-oil-gas-development-little-no-effect-drinking-water-quality/
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    Alternative Energy

    Dubai auction sees record low price for “night-time” solar power



    The United Arab Emirates continue to set record lows for renewable energy power, with an auction for 200MW of solar thermal and storage capacity attracting a new low for the technology of $US94.50/MWh.

    The Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (Dewa) announced this week the prices from four unidentified consortia for the auction, part of the massive 1,000MW Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum solar park.

    The lowest bid is believed to have come in nearly 40 per cent below the previous world-record low price, one newspaper reported, although it is thought that the Solar Reserve bid for the South Africa was around $US125/MWh. It is also above the $US80/MWh hoped for when the bid was first announced last year.

    The three other bids ranged from 10.58 cents to 17.35 cents per kWh. Originally, more than 30 different consortia sent expressions of interest, although only a handful were invited to submit final offers.

    A final decision will be made in the next month, with construction to be complete by 2021. At this size, it would be the biggest solar and storage facility in the world.

    Dubai intends to increase the size of the solar park to 5,000MW by 2030, part of its plan to lift its share of renewable energy to  25 per cent by 2030, and to 75 per cent by 2050.

    “This will transform Dubai into a global hub for clean energy and a green economy. The UAE’s focus on renewable energy generation has led to a drop in prices worldwide and has lowered the price of solar and wind power bids in Europe and the Middle East,” said Saeed Mohammed Al Tayer, the CEO of DEWA.

    The Nation newspaper said that bidders included Saudi Arabia’s Acwa Power and China’s Shanghai Electric, Abu Dhabi clean energy company Masdar with partners EDF of France and Abengoa of Spain, along with Power China, Engie of France and Solar Reserve and the Chinese firm Suncan with Al Fanar of Saudi Arabia.

    Paddy Padmanathan, chief executive of Acwa Power, told the newspaper it was exciting to see CSP technology with storage “offering dispatchable solar energy – day and night, competing with fossil fuel-based alternatives”.

    The biggest solar tower with storage construction is Solar Reserve’s  Crescent Dunes project in Nevada, which is 110MW of capacity with 10 hours storage.

    Solar Reserve is also proposing to build a similar sized plant near Port Augusta, and is believed to be on the shortlist of a South Australia government tender, and will likely be applying, among others, for a $110 million equity offer by the federal government.

    http://reneweconomy.com.au/dubai-auction-sees-record-low-price-night-time-solar-power-22711/
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    Agriculture

    Global food import bill on the rise despite stable markets



    Global food commodity markets are well-balanced, buoyed by ample supplies of wheat and maize and rebounding production of oilseed products.

    However, rising shipping costs and larger import volumes are set to lift the global food import bill to more than USD 1.3 trillion this year, a 10.6 percent increase from 2016, FAO said today in its biannual Food Outlook.

    The food import bills of least-developed countries, low-income food deficit countries and countries in sub-Saharan Africa are on course to rise even faster due to higher import volumes of meat, sugar, dairy and oilseed products.

    Rising import bills are forecast for all food categories except for fish, for which growing domestic market demand in many developing countries is being increasingly met by robust growth in their local aquaculture sectors.

    Global food commodity prices rose for the first time in three months in May, with the FAO Food Price Index – also released today – averaging 172.6 points during the month, 2.2 percent higher than in April and some 10 percent higher than May 2016.

    FAO’s Food Price Index is a trade-weighted index tracking international market prices of five major food commodity groups: cereals, vegetable oils, dairy, meat and sugar. Rising prices were reported in May for all of those groups except sugar.

    Buoyant supplies loom for most food commodities

    The Food Outlook offers fresh forecasts for the markets of major food commodities, all of which appear well-supplied on a global level even if there may be regional or national divergences.

    International prices of wheat should remain stable, especially during the first half of the season, while near-record production of coarse grains will likely keep competition intense among the major exporters. Rice supplies are also forecast to remain ample, although reserves may decline as some exporters reduce their public stockpiles.

    Worldwide oilseed production is expected to leap to an all-time high in 2016/17, due mostly to outstanding yield levels for soybean, allowing further replenishments of global stocks. First indications point to a well-supplied market also in 2017/18, further weighing on prices.

    The report said growth in world meat production is expected to stagnate for the third year in a row, due mainly to an anticipated decline in China, which is expected to ramp up imports from the United States and Brazil.

    Meanwhile, global milk output is expected to grow by 1.4 percent in 2017, led by a rapid expansion in India.

    The Food Outlook also offers an analysis of the impact liquidity may have had on commodity price booms and slumps over the past 20 years, finding evidence that global credit conditions influence benchmark prices of maize, soybean and wheat.

    FAO’s latest Cereal Supply and Demand Brief, also released today, anticipated a 2.2 percent contraction in worldwide wheat production year-on-year, nearly offset by a 1.4 percent expansion in global maize output – led by South America and Southern Africa – and a 0.7 percent increase in world rice production.

    While aggregate global cereal output is now forecast to decline by 0.5 percent to 2 594 million tonnes, FAO also trimmed its May forecast for global cereal utilization to 2 584 million tonnes.

    With demand projected to fall short of production, cereal stocks are on course to stand at 703 million tonnes at the end of seasons in 2018, up marginally from the record high predicted for this year.

    The inventory projections reflect substantial movements in China – which is drawing down its stocks of coarse grains while adding to its wheat and rice stores – but the overall picture is one of ample supplies.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/global-food-import-bill-on-the-rise-despite-stable-markets/
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    China cuts corn output forecast on bad weather; prices rally



    China on Friday slashed its 2017/18 corn output forecast to the lowest level in four years after drought and hail hit planting in the northeastern region of one of the world's top producers, spurring a rally in futures prices.

    In its monthly crop report, the agriculture ministry said it expects 2017/18 corn output of 211.65 million tonnes, down 0.7 percent from last month's forecast and 3.6 percent lower than last year.

    The figure in June's Chinese Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (CASDE) would make it the smallest crop since 2013, according to the China National Grain and Oils Information Center think tank.

    Farmers in parts of China's northeast corn belt regions switched to soybeans and substitute grains after drought made it hard to plant corn, leading to a drop in corn acreage, the CASDE report said.

    Corn output was also hit by hail in the country's northern Hebei and central Henan provinces, where heavy rains and wind damaged young crops, the report said.

    The most-active Chinese corn futures rose 2.1 percent to 1,672 yuan per tonne, their highest in nearly two months, as some speculators bet on higher prices due to extreme weather.

    Concerns about U.S. crops may also have been a factor behind the fresh buying, which broke the usually volatile market out of a prolonged period of rangebound trade, said Meng Jinhui, analyst at Shengda futures.

    Prices were on track for their best daily performance in three months.

    Weather has also affected crops in the United States, where spot corn futures hit a near one-year high last week on forecasts for potentially stressful crop weather in the Midwest.

    China also reduced its 2017/18 sugar import forecast to 3.2 million tonnes from 3.5 million tonnes previously, according to the CASDE report.

    China's commerce ministry imposed hefty tariffs on sugar imports in a ruling last month, closing the gap between Chinese and global prices.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-output-grains-idUSKBN1900TP
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    APW wheat prices soar to $212.50/mt on drought hedge, strong Australian dollar



    Australian APW wheat prices hit the highest level so far in 2017 on Thursday at $212.50/mt FOB, according to S&P Global Platts data.

    Market sources ascribed this to higher offers amid worries over new crop prospects, gains in US wheat futures and a stronger Australian dollar.

    On June 8, APW was assessed at $212.50/mt FOB, normalized to Kwinana port for cargoes loading in 60-90 days. The assessment was up $4.50/mt week on week as sellers hiked their offers given worries over new crop production amid ongoing dryness in the country.

    Offers on Thursday for August-September shipments were limited to a handful of sellers with Western Australia offers at $220/mt FOB and above, up $5-7/mt from a week ago, Platts data showed.

    Meanwhile, bulk sellers in South Australia also increased their offers, given firmer domestic prices at $218-220/mt FOB, normalized to Kwinana port.

    Australia's Bureau of Meteorology said June 5 that serious to severe rainfall deficiencies were recorded over March 1-May 31, particularly near the west coast of Western Australia and on the Eyre Peninsula in South Australia, both major wheat growing areas.

    The bureau said rainfall in May was below average in most areas of Western Australia, with large tracts of the west coast and the interior in the lowest decile, or the lowest 10% band of rainfall, based on historical observations.

    Further, a drier-than-average weather outlook for June-August with rainfall forecast to be below average over most parts of Western Australia, western NSW and Victoria, was weighing on prospects for new crop, sources said.

    The latest crop report released by the Grain Industry Association of Western Australia on June 9, where several major wheat producing areas are reducing planted acreage because of the drought.

    GIWA said intended wheat planted area in Kwinana -- the largest wheat producing zone in WA -- might be down by 15-20%, particularly in eastern and central areas amid lack of rain in May.

    Additionally, a reduction wheat planted areas in WA is due to tracts being left for sheep and cattle grazing as extended dryness decreased paddocks area and growth and farmers are carrying higher numbers of livestock into the winter.

    Overall wheat planted areas in WA in May are, however, forecast to be only marginally lower from a month ago at 4.88 million hectares, down 0.4% from April's forecast.

    Barley, on the other hand, is seeing a slightly higher acreage at 1.29 million hectares, up 0.5% from last month's estimates, following a firmer price during the seeding period, GIWA said.

    Meanwhile, a stronger Australian dollar, which hit its highest value against the US dollar in a month on June 7 at $0.76, up 2% from late last week, also boosted wheat prices, traders said.

    Despite firmer offers, major buyers preferred to retreat to the sidelines as several have sufficient volumes until August-September.

    "Australia wheat is currently too expensive. It's more than $30/mt higher than Black Sea wheat, I won't buy now, can wait or defer my September-October needs," commented a major Indonesian buyer.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/agriculture/singapore/apw-wheat-prices-soar-to-21250mt-on-drought-hedge-26750928
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    Parched soils threaten Canadian canola, spring wheat: report


    Canada’s western farm belt, dogged by excessive rain in some areas this spring, is now facing parched conditions in others, threatening wheat and canola crops, crop analysts say.

    A large area of southern Saskatchewan and southwestern Manitoba has received less than 40 percent of normal precipitation during the 30-day period leading up to June 5, according to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.

    Much of east-central Alberta and west-central Saskatchewan has the opposite problem, having collected more than double the usual amounts of precipitation.

    The southern Prairies need 0.5 to 1.5 inches (13-38 mm) of rain soon – “a $1-million-dollar” shower to accelerate growth, said Dave Reimann, grain market analyst at Cargill Ltd.

    Spring wheat and canola in Saskatchewan, the biggest provincial producer of those crops, are seven to 10 days behind their normal development, despite being planted on time this spring, said Shannon Friesen, cropping management specialist for the provincial government.

    High winds have compounded the problem, drying up what little moisture Saskatchewan and Manitoba have received.

    Some crops have yet to poke through the soil and may not emerge at all without a significant rain in the next week, Friesen said, adding: “Some of those crops could be done.”

    Minneapolis spring wheat futures 1MWEc1 have gained about 12 percent since mid-May on concerns about hot, dry weather in the northern U.S. Plains, which border the southern Canadian Prairies.

    Environment Canada, a government agency, is forecasting hot, dry weather for most of the next week across the southern Prairies, although some dry parts of Manitoba and Saskatchewan may get periodic showers.

    Canada is a major wheat exporter and the biggest global grower of canola, used to make vegetable oil.

    Elsewhere, farmers who are planting later than normal may decide to sow additional acres of short-season crops, such as barley and oats, said FarmLink Marketing Solutions senior market analyst Neil Townsend.

    Other farmers in Alberta’s wet Peace River region may expand canola plantings at the expense of spring wheat, which takes longer to grow, said Neil Arbuckle, national sales lead at the Canadian unit of seed and chemical dealer Monsanto Co (MON.N).

    “Although canola is costlier, even with a wheat price rally, canola could provide a higher return given the excellent yields farmers have been experiencing recently,” Arbuckle said.

    Statscan is scheduled to estimate Canadian plantings on June 29.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/parched-soils-threaten-canadian-canola-spring-wheat-report/
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    Base Metals

    Freeport 'on path' to new Indonesia mine deal this year, CFO says



    Freeport-McMoRan Inc, the world's largest publicly traded copper miner, is "on a path" to get a new mining deal with Indonesia this year for its giant Grasberg mine, Chief Financial Officer Kathleen Quirk said Thursday.

    The Arizona-based company resumed copper concentrate exports from Grasberg, the world's second-biggest copper mine, in April after a 15-week outage related to a government dispute over mining rights. Freeport had planned to ramp up production, which was cut by around two-thirds during the outage.

    The Indonesian government halted Freeport's copper concentrate exports in January, under new rules that require miners to adopt a special license, pay new taxes and royalties, divest a 51 percent stake in their operations and relinquish arbitration rights.

    Freeport, whose current contract runs until 2021 with two 10-year extensions, will only agree to a license accompanied by an investment stability agreement that replicates current legal and fiscal certainty, Quirk said.

    "We think we're on a path to be able to get that resolved during this year and that's our top priority," Quirk said via webcast from a Deutsche Bank conference.

    Without the agreement, Freeport is unlikely to continue investing in the country, she said, noting the company has already spent $3 billion on a project to transitions Grasberg to underground from open pit mining.

    Production from the project, about half complete, is targeted for 2018 or 2019, she said.

    Meantime, Freeport is grappling with labor problems.

    Its contractor-dominated workforce in Indonesia has been reduced to approximately 26,000 workers currently from about 33,000 at the start of 2017.

    Following the export restrictions, Freeport furloughed some 3,000 workers in the first quarter, Quirk said, sparking a strike and high levels of absenteeism. Freeport later deemed that approximately 3,000 full-time employees and 1,000 contractors had resigned, Quirk said.

    Quirk said Freeport is training additional workers and "offering opportunities for those workers that are deemed to have resigned to be able to apply for open positions through contractor companies."

    While the union said its strike would extend into June, Freeport has not seen additional absenteeism that would cause it to assume the workers had resigned, she added.

    The union, which began a 30-day strike on May 1, said on May 20 that it would extend the strike for a second month.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-freeport-mcmoran-indonesia-idUSKBN18Z2G0

    Attached Files
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    Codelco mines in Chile restart operations after rains



    Chilean copper company Codelco has restarted operations at mines in the northern part of the country after a rain storm caused a series of precautionary closures, the state-owned firm said.

    The company's Radomiro Tomic, Ministro Hales, and flagship Chuquicamata mines had restarted and were operating normally, Codelco said in a statement.

    Various parts of the company's Salvador operation, including an underground mine and a port, were also operating normally, while the company expected Salvador's foundry and refinery to fully restart operations shortly.

    On Wednesday, Codelco said mining activities at Chuquicamata, Radomiro Tomic, and Ministro Hales had been suspended. Other mines in the area, owned by Antofagasta , BHP Billiton, and Poland's KGHM, also reported disruptions.

    Heavy rains in Chile's Antofagasta region, as well as snow at higher altitudes, led the country's emergency services to trigger its highest 'red alert' warning for the area on Tuesday, though damage appears to have been limited.

    The four Codelco mines in question produced 917 000 tonnes of copper in 2016. Codelco said in the statement it was evaluating the storm's impact on production.

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/codelco-mines-in-chile-restart-operations-after-rains-2017-06-08
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    Alcoa restores half its Australian aluminium output in wake of blackout



    Global aluminium maker Alcoa has restarted half the capacity at its aluminium smelter in Australia's Victoria that was crippled by a state-wide blackout six months ago.

    The Portland smelter has been running at a third of its 300,000-tonnes-per-year capacity since a freak storm prompted the power outage in December, causing molten aluminium to solidify in the facility's potlines and freezing production.

    "Getting to the half way point in our bid to restore the business has been a big task, but what I have seen up to now gives me great confidence in our ability to deliver the plan," Plant Manager Peter Chellis said in a statement.

    The plant's resumption has come in part due to a A$240 million ($182 million) government-sponsored rescue package that has secured its future for at least four years in a state that has suffered from a spate of job losses including the shutdown of three major car makers and a power station.

    With local power costs soaring, a cheap source of energy was also needed. The Portland smelter lined up a four-year power supply deal with AGL Energy for 510 megawatts, or about 10 percent of the state's electricity load, earlier this year.

    "We are expecting to have production restored to pre-outage levels by early to mid-August," Alcoa spokeswoman Jodie Read told Reuters.

    The government's financial aid is dependent on the smelter staying open at least until 2021 and output remaining at least 90 percent of pre-blackout levels.

    The plant is co-owned by Alcoa, Australian firm Alumina Ltd , China's CITIC Resources and an arm of Japan's Marubeni Corp.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/australia-alcoa-idUSL3N1J62RG
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    Japan Q3 aluminium import premium at $119/mt plus LME CIF, for over 3,000 mt



    The third-quarter contract premium for aluminium imports into Japan has been agreed upon at $119/mt plus London Metal Exchange cash CIF Japan by three producers and two Japanese buyers, sources involved in the negotiations for the premium said on Friday.

    Around 15 Japanese buyers and five overseas suppliers are in negotiations for the Q3 contract premium that started in end-May.

    The deals were for over 3,000 mt of aluminium ingots in total to be shipped to Japan in Q3, the sources said. The Q3 premium is 7% less than Q2's premium of $128/mt plus LME cash CIF Japan.

    Market sources also said that deals at $118/mt plus LME cash CIF Japan were done, but S&P Global Platts could not confirm that.

    Two Japanese buyers said they were aiming at $115/mt CIF Japan or below and that $119/mt CIF Japan was not acceptable.

    The initial producer offers were at $120-$128/mt plus LME cash CIF Japan, down from Q2's levels due to weakness in the US spot premiums.

    Producers told Japanese buyers that the downside is limited as China is expected to cut production in the second half of 2017, which would tighten global supplies.

    Japanese buyers said China was increasing exports of manufactured and semi-finished aluminium products to Asia, reducing demand for ingots.

    Nothing was conclusive from these discussions as there was no sign of output cuts yet, Japanese sources said.

    "There is no tightness at all," said a producer, who was not participating in the negotiations.

    China's exports fluctuate, depending on LME prices and how they compare with the Shanghai Futures Exchange prices, and may not accurately reflect supply-demand fundamentals, pointed out some sources.

    China produced 10.97 million mt of refined aluminium in Q1 2017, up 10% year on year, according to China Non-ferrous Metals Industry Association.

    As of end-April, the country's total aluminium stock was more than 1.2 million mt, which was a record high, the association also said.

    China's exports of unwrought aluminium and aluminium products in May rose 9.5% year on year to 460,000 mt, preliminary data released on June 8 by the China General Administration of Customs showed.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/metals/tokyo/japan-q3-aluminum-import-premium-at-119mt-plus-26750924
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    Steel, Iron Ore and Coal

    China's Yancoal gets regulatory approval for $2.45 billion RTZ deal... Glencore bid



    China's Yancoal has gained Chinese regulatory approval for its $2.45 billion purchase of Rio Tinto's Australian unit Coal & Allied Industries Ltd, the company said in a stock exchange filing on Sunday which also acknowledged Glencore's counterbid for the assets on Friday.

    The government-controlled Chinese company said it had received approval from China's National Development and Reform Commission and the anti-monopoly bureau of the Ministry of Commerce for the deal.

    In January, Rio said it was selling its interest in Coal & Allied Industries Limited to Yancoal's subsidiary Yancoal Australia Limited for $2.45 billion.

    Glencore on Friday made a counterbid for Coal & Allied offering $2.55 billion cash.

    The terms of the Yancoal agreement allow Rio to engage in negotiations with another party if it made a better offer.

    Glencore's proposal is $100 million higher and fully funded, but Rio Tinto has to give Yancoal the chance to make a counter offer, opening the way for a bidding war.

    "If Rio Tinto determines that the Glencore Proposal is a superior proposal, Yancoal Australia will have a right to match or better that proposal," the company said in the filing on Sunday.

    "Further announcement will be made by the company in accordance with the listing rules if it receives notification from Rio Tinto in relation to whether the Glencore proposal constitutes a superior proposal."

    In addition to receiving Chinese regulatory approvals, the deal has also received the green light from Australia's Australian Foreign Investment Review Board and South Korea's Fair Trade Commission.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-riotinto-m-a-yancoal-idUSKBN1920N2

    Miner and trader Glencore Plc said on Friday it had submitted a proposal to buy Australian miner Rio Tinto's stake in Coal & Allied Industries Ltd for $2.55 billion in cash.

    Glencore said the deal would be funded from existing cash resources and would be paid in two stages.

    Glencore also said that it plans a possible sale of up to 50 percent of its interest in Coal & Allied Industries.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/rio-tinto-divestiture-glencore-idUSL3N1J64QQ
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    EU sets steel import duties to counter Chinese subsidies



    The European Union has set duties of up to 35.9 percent on imports of hot-rolled flat steel from China to counter what it says are unfair subsidies in a finding challenged by Beijing.

    The European Commission, which conducted an investigation on behalf of the 28 EU members, found a number of Chinese companies had benefited from preferential lending from state-owned banks, grants, tax deductions and the right to use industrial land.

    "We are continuing to act, when necessary, against unfair trading conditions in the steel sector, and against foreign dumping," EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom said in a statement.

    She added that she hoped global discussions on steel overcapacity would eventually convince China to end unfair schemes to ensure a level playing field for all steel producers.

    China's Commerce Ministry said it "strongly" questioned the legitimacy of the EU decision, adding the European Commission had ignored the fact China's steel exports to Europe had declined in 2016. It said it would take all necessary measures to protect the interests of Chinese firms.

    The EU had already set in place anti-dumping duties, to counter excessively low prices, which it has now adjusted to a range of between zero and 31.3 percent.

    Hot-rolled flat steel is used in shipbuilding, gas containers, pressure vessels, tube and energy pipelines.

    The targeted companies include Benxi Group [LNGOVB.UL], with overall anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties of 28.1 percent, Hesteel Group, with a rate of 18.1 percent, and Jiangsu Shagang at 35.9 percent.

    The duties, applicable for five years, will take effect from Saturday, the EU's official journal said.

    The EU has taken over 40 anti-dumping decisions to aid European steel producers, with measures on cold-rolled flat steel and stainless steel from China. It also has an ongoing investigation into hot-rolled steel imports from Brazil, Iran, Russia, Serbia and Ukraine.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-china-steel-idUSKBN1900UP
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    Chinese industry insiders appeal for mergers of private steel firms


    The supply-demand situation in China's steel market has basically been in balance, so it's time to facilitate mergers and regroupings of private steel makers, said experts in the third meeting of China Chamber of Commerce for Metallurgical Enterprises on June 8.

    "The rise of steel price index in the first quarter this year indicated a good start of steel industry, yet there were still some problems to deal with," said Zhang Zhixiang, chairman of the chamber.

    Chinese steel industry underwent a five-year tough period. Sales profit rate of the industry hovered around 1% for four consecutive years starting from 2011, and steel output and consumption fell off the peak in 2015, with the whole industry suffering from a loss of 77.9 billion yuan in total, he added.

    In 2016, steel industry witnessed a rebound with total earnings of 30.4 billion yuan, backed mainly by growth of infrastructure, housing constructions, automobile industry, favorable policies and capacity cut campaign.

    However, it was just a recovery growth, as steel sales profit rate logged only 1.8% last year, Zhang said.

    Data from China Iron and Steel Association showed that steel price index slightly increased to 105.3 points in the first quarter of 2017.

    China's key medium- and large steel makers realized 23.3 billion yuan of profit during the period, and sales profit rate climbed to 2.77%, data showed.

    However, steel industry should take the opportunity to seek transformation and innovation for a long-term stable prosperity, as potential economic downside pressure and financial risks remains in the future, Zhang remarked.

    The mergers of private steel firms, clean utilization of energies and transformation and upgrading will be a priority for steel industry in the future, he added.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4557121/info/en
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