Mark Latham Commodity Equity Intelligence Service

Monday 19th June 2017
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    Solar below coal in US, China next.

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    Top German Banker Warns Cryptocurrencies Could Precipitate a Financial Crisis


    By Sterlin Lujan -    2551  11

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    German Banker

    A top German banker, Jens Weidmann, commented Wednesday that digital currencies like bitcoin could cause a financial catastrophe. The banker alluded to the idea digital currencies are unstable and prone to violent fluctuations on the market. Weidmann said for people to expect banks to adopt digital currencies so the average citizen begin to have faith in them. 

    Also read: Localbitcoins Introduces New Fee Structure

    Jens Weidmann

    A Business Insider article further suggested the banking system has a leg up on digital currencies, because they have the ability to print as much money as they want. In other words, they can avert a financial collapse by magically creating more liquidity.

    The article quoted Weidmann, saying, “This is a feature which will become relevant especially in times of crisis – when there will be a strong incentive for money holders to switch bank deposits into the official digital currency simply at the push of a button.”

    The article’s author also said the banker’s position was that when banks have their own digital currencies, they can use various features to protect the banks from going on bank runs. They could provide people with digital assets so they don’t start taking all their cash out of the bank. The article read:

    Weidmann’s basic point is that by making currencies fully digital in future, withdrawing money from a bank would become much more simple. Instead of physically having to visit a cashpoint or bank branch to withdraw cash, customers could do it online. In times of crisis, when people tend to take money out of their accounts so they can have the perceived safety of cash, causing the phenomenon of the bank run.

    Trust In Cryptocurrencies; Various Banking Narratives

    What the German banker and Business Insider article imply is that digital currencies will not cause a financial crisis alone. A financial crisis will only occur if banks do not have absolute dominion over digital assets, in order to help stabilize them. They are suggesting that people cannot trust cryptocurrencies, but they can trust the regulators and bankers to control their digital wealth for them.

    This is a current theme within the banking Top German Banker Warns Cryptocurrencies Could Precipitate a Financial Crisisconglomerates’ narrative. Many banks and banking elites have taken notice of the stellar rise of cryptocurrencies, especially bitcoin and Ethereum. In this sense, they have issued commentary about regulating and usurping these digital assets.

    Recently, Bitcoin.com covered commentary by Investment Bank Stanley Morgan, in which they said bitcoin would not grow without adequate regulations and control. These controls presumably include the use of “permissioned blockchains.” In some places, courts have actually given banks authority to deny service to blockchain-based companies. This happened in Israel, because “The bank told the court that it fears how criminal organizations can send their ‘monkeys’ to buy bitcoins and transfer them to wallets under their control.”

    However, not all banks have had as a heavy-handed mindset. In Russia, bankers want to regulate the currency, but they want to embrace it as well. They do not appear wanting to control it to the point of trying to undermine its original purpose. They certainly do not believe the currency will cause a financial collapse and destroy all the things.


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    Hebei aims to close 1 GW thermal power capacity this year



    Hebei aims to close 1 GW thermal power capacity this year

    http://en.sxcoal.com/
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    China, ADB launch green financing platform to fight pollution



    China and the Asia Development Bank (ADB) have launched a green financing platform to support efforts by small- and medium-sized enterprises to cut pollution in the smog-hit Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, ADB said on Friday.

    The area, home to six of China's 10 smoggiest cities in the first quarter of this year, has promised to upgrade or shut vast swathes of polluting industry as it tries to meet 2017 air quality targets.

    But financing the transition to cleaner energy has proved one of its biggest challenges, especially in poorer rural regions of Hebei, where the switch from coal to natural gas is expected to cost at least 300 billion yuan ($44.04 billion) over the 2016-2020 period.

    The financing platform was launched by the ADB and the China National Investment and Guaranty Corporation (I&G), the State Development and Investment Corporation (SDIC), as well as China's finance ministry and National Development and Reform Commission.

    The bank late last year approved a loan of 458 million euros ($510.58 million) for the platform, which it says will leverage 3.6 billion euros in domestic commercial financing.

    According to Hebei delegates attending an annual session of parliament in March, the government is only expected to provide around 10-15 percent of the 3-4 trillion yuan of green investment China needs every year over the next five years.

    China began to develop green financing in 2007, and more than 8 trillion yuan in "green credit", used to finance clean projects, has been issued. However, environmental financing mechanisms remain inadequate, especially when it comes to tackling widespread soil and water pollution, and SMEs have also struggled to get funding.

    "The reality is, even though SMEs realize the need to invest in cleaner production facilities, they often do not have access to finance," said Ayumi Konishi, Director General of ADB's East Asia Department, at a ceremony in Beijing on Friday.

    China selected five regions this week to take part in pilot government green financing schemes, the cabinet said on Wednesday.

    It promised to back financial institutions in their efforts to set up green financing businesses, encourage small loans and provide support to venture capital and private equity funds participating in green investment programs.

    It also said it would explore new green credit mechanisms, including the granting of loans that accept emission trading earnings as collateral.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-pollution-finance-idUSKBN1970DH
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    Indonesia eyes $43 bil investment in energy, mining this year: minister



    The Indonesian government aims to invest $43 billion this year in the energy and mining sectors, up from $27 billion last year, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Ignasius Jonan said Thursday.

    The year-on-year increase comes after the Energy and Mines Ministry made it easier to secure permits, Jonan said.

    The $43 billion figure comprises $23 billion of oil and gas, $13 billion in electricity, $6 billion in the mineral and coal sectors and $1.6 billion in renewable energy.

    The oil and gas investment is up sharply from the realized figure of $9.8 billion for 2016.

    Last year electricity investment reached $8.1 billion, mineral and coal $7.2 billion and renewable energy $1.6 billion, Jonan said.

    Indonesia is trying to attract investors, particularly in oil and gas since the sector provides the largest contribution to the state budget.

    The country's oil production has been declining in the last decade due to maturing fields.

    The country's oil and gas proven reserves stand at 3.7 billion barrels and 101.54 Tcf. Potential shale gas reserves are estimated at 574 Tcf.

    The shale gas potential is higher than the coal bed methane and natural gas potential of 453.3 Tcf and 334.5 Tcf, respectively, according to ministry data.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/coal/jakarta/indonesia-eyes-43-bil-investment-in-energy-mining-26753836
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    African leaders say election delays spell "grave danger" for Congo


    Former U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan and nine former African presidents have warned that the future of Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is in "grave danger" due to the failure to organise an election to replace President Joseph Kabila.

    Kabila refused to step down at the end of his constitutional mandate last December, adding to uncertainty in the vast, mineral-rich central African nation, where regional wars from 1996-2003 killed millions of people.

    An agreement between Kabila's ruling coalition and opposition leaders calls for the presidential election to take place by the end of this year, but delays in registering voters and mobilising financing make that increasingly unlikely.

    "The failure to organise elections in late 2016, in conformity with the constitution of the DRC, has created an acute political crisis," Annan and former presidents including South Africa's Thabo Mbeki and Nigeria's Olusegun Obasanjo said in a statement issued late on Thursday.

    "We feel obliged to sound the alarm before it is too late," it added.

    Dozens died last year in violent anti-government protests in major cities, and an insurrection in the centre of the country has killed hundreds and displaced 1.3 million more since last August.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/congo-politics-idUSL8N1JD15E
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    Metals, coal rally in China after securities regulator encourages investment FT



    Hard commodities were rallying in China on Monday after the head of the country’s securities regulator said it would support investment by wealth management companies in the sector.

    Iron ore futures were up 2.1 per cent on the Dalian Commodity Exchange while coking coal futures gained 3.1 per cent. On the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange thermal coal prices were up 2 per cent and Shanghai-listed copper futures were up 0.4 per cent.

    Those gains come after Fang Xinghai, vice-chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, said at the weekend that the commission would support investment in commodity assets by China’s wealth management companies.

    Local media reported Mr Fang as saying that China still relied on state funding to buy key resources, and that the country “should maintain investment in commodities at a certain level to gain control over strategic resources” through private investors entering the commodity market.

    Metals, coal rally in China after securities regulator encourages investment  FT

    Hard commodities were rallying in China on Monday after the head of the country’s securities regulator said it would support investment by wealth management companies in the sector.

    Iron ore futures were up 2.1 per cent on the Dalian Commodity Exchange while coking coal futures gained 3.1 per cent. On the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange thermal coal prices were up 2 per cent and Shanghai-listed copper futures were up 0.4 per cent.

    Those gains come after Fang Xinghai, vice-chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, said at the weekend that the commission would support investment in commodity assets by China’s wealth management companies.

    Local media reported Mr Fang as saying that China still relied on state funding to buy key resources, and that the country “should maintain investment in commodities at a certain level to gain control over strategic resources” through private investors entering the commodity market.

    https://www.ft.com/content/1504b272-2843-397a-ae85-92d459e40550
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    From dates to power, China's exchanges rush for futures sweet spot



    China's major commodity exchanges are scrambling to launch futures contracts on a range of products - from dates to electricity - as they move to tap investor risk appetite and offer the vast industrial complex ways to protect revenue.

    On Friday, executives from the top three exchanges - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange and Dalian Commodity Exchange - reeled off 14 products from fruit to chemicals to power that they are studying as possible candidates for new derivatives.

    The race to introduce contracts, designed to help farmers, utilities and steel mills protect against big price swings, comes as Beijing aims to be a major hub for exchange-based trading and prepares to prise open long-closed markets in the world's second-largest economy to foreign investors.

    "The plans for futures such as dates, apple, anthracite (coal) fit into China's plan to develop its real economy," said Liu Jin, director of research at COFCO Futures.  

    "We are seeing market regulators decreasing the varieties of financial futures and increasing the number of commodities futures."

    A record 4.14 billion futures contracts traded last year, up 16 percent from 2015, according to China Futures Association.

    The moves will stir the debate over the role of speculators, who have caused wild gyrations in everything from steel to eggs to corn in recent years, as well as the heavy-handed intervention by regulators which may scare off some players.

    A variety of obscure futures contracts already traded in China, like glass, silicomanganese, and bitumen, offer price discovery and a gauge on industrial activity in the country.

    Many of the contracts discussed on Friday have been in the works for a while and complement existing domestic and international markets - SHFE's long-awaited crude oil contract could be a serious contender on the global market and Dalian has been looking at stainless steel and scrap contracts for a year to expand its metals offering.

    Anthracite would fit alongside Zhenzhou's thermal coal futures, which have attracted more liquidity since its launch two years ago. China is the world's top buyer of the fuel.

    Others like red dates are niche, low in volume and unique to China - dates are one of the nation's favorite fruits, a staple in tea and porridge and considered crucial for health while cashmere, apples and silk point to China's role as the world's top producer.

    "Varieties of dates are very different from region to region in China, so it is not easy to have a standard product for delivery," said Meng Jinhui, analyst with Shengda Futures.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-commodities-exchanges-idUSKBN1970XZ
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    China Aluminium coal plants are to be inspected.

    Electrolytic aluminum business attention! The state wants to bring its own power plant

    2017-06-16 Yu Lu Nonferrous


    According to relevant reports, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Board recently issued a "on the coal-fired power plant to carry out the norms of construction and operation of the transformation of the notice" (hereinafter referred to as "notice"), will be formed before the end of this year, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Guangxi, Jiangsu and Shandong 6 provinces (autonomous regions) to conduct on-site investigation. The inspection activities, for their own power plant "big" electrolytic aluminum industry, to a certain extent, will have an impact.


    In order to further strengthen and standardize the supervision and management of coal-fired power plants, before the end of June, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration will cooperate with the Ministry of Industry and Information, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Environmental Protection, etc., in order to further strengthen and standardize the supervision and management of coal-fired power plants. Departments will form a special inspection team, select some provinces to carry out on-site investigation. Currently selected six provinces (autonomous regions) for Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Guangxi, Jiangsu, Shandong. The National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry, the Ministry of Industry and Information Bureau, the State Energy Bureau of Electric Power Division, France will be led to the six provinces to carry out inspections, and through field visits, random sampling or unannounced visits to understand the situation The Each province will see no less than three companies.


    In recent years, China's new production capacity of electrolytic aluminum and production mainly concentrated in Xinjiang, Shandong, Inner Mongolia and other places, these areas of the new production of electrolytic aluminum production capacity is mostly self-owned power plant as a prerequisite. As we all know, the cost of electricity in the cost of electrolytic aluminum production accounted for more than half of the ratio, and in recent years, China's electrolytic aluminum production capacity to exacerbate a major factor in the regional price imbalance caused by uneven production costs and costs, and have their own power plant Of the enterprises in terms of cost has a huge advantage and continue to increase investment in new electrolytic aluminum production capacity.


    In April this year, the National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Land and Resources, Ministry of Environmental Protection jointly issued a "clean up the electrolytic aluminum industry illegal activities of the special action program" notice, the work program that will strictly prohibit illegal aluminum construction, Illegal projects to clean up and rectify, and organize the implementation of a series of clean-up operations, in June 30 to complete the local verification, September 15 to complete a special spot checks, October 5 to complete supervision and rectification.


    As the cost of many electrolytic aluminum enterprises in the largest "benefit point" of the self-owned power plant, to some extent the existence of government funds, renewable energy and cross-subsidy of electricity tariffs are not in place, and did not hold "Zhunsheng Zheng" Legitimate conditions of compliance, seriously affected the safe and healthy development of China's power system, exacerbated China's power overcapacity, electricity price imbalance and other prominent issues. In this regard, the inspection action once started, will likely become the first to clean up the rectification of electrolytic aluminum illegal project "starting point."


    It is reported that the contents of the inspection mainly includes three aspects:


    Inspect the contents

    1

    The first is the basic situation of coal-fired power plants, including the province's coal-fired power plant planning and layout, installed capacity, to be built in the situation; completed project list, operation and approval departments, approval basis, qualification permit; Whether there is no approved construction requirements, not the first to build, approved construction does not match, public power plant to switch to self-imposed power plant, and not up to start construction conditions such as illegal construction and operation.

    2

    The second is the coal-owned power plant commitment to social responsibility, including whether to pay government funds and additional, policy cross-subsidy, system reserve costs and payment standards, payment time; unpaid, missed, Start time and reason.

    3

    The third is the coal-fired power plant discharge standards, including the level of energy efficiency and pollutant emissions to meet the relevant provisions of the state and the requirements of the standard, the existence of ultra-standard super-total emissions, whether the provisions of the implementation of energy conservation, environmental protection, As well as the elimination of backward production capacity and so on.


    At the same time, "on strengthening and regulating coal-fired power plant supervision and management of the guidance" that the coal-fired power plant is an important part of China's thermal power industry. With the continuous expansion of installed capacity of power plants and thermal power industry energy efficiency, environmental standards continue to improve, to further strengthen and regulate self-owned power plant supervision and management, and gradually promote the self-owned power plants and public power plant management, to promote self-owned power plant in an orderly development.



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    Oil and Gas

    Nigeria fuel marketers demand $2.2 bil in subsidy arrears on fuel imports



    Nigerian fuel marketers Thursday warned that supply and distribution of oil products across Nigeria may be grounded if the government fails to pay them Naira 800 billion ($2.2 billion) in subsidy arrears owed on imports over the past three years.

    Nigeria usually imports around 1 million mt/month of gasoline, with the major marketers accounting for around 40%.

    The gasoline is bought on the wholesale market on a dollar-denominated basis and then sold into the retail market at a capped price of Naira 145/liter ($0.45/l).

    The marketers in a joint statement said the bulk of the debts were accumulated bank charges on loans obtained to place orders for gasoline cargoes, which accrued on imports done between 2014 and first quarter of 2017.

    "As a result of the unpaid interest and foreign exchange differentials, we are becoming insolvent and financially handicapped to continue operating profitably," the marketers said.

    "The outstanding matured Letters of Credit are currently over $1.2 billion. Because many Nigerian banks were involved in raising this fund, the entire Nigerian banking system is at risk on account of these transactions."

    The government used to pay a subsidy on imported gasoline in order to keep domestic pump prices low but the administration of Muhammadu Buhari, which is contending with a sharp drop in oil revenues as a result of the slump in global prices as well a decline in the country's oil production, ended the subsidy regime this year.

    A spokesman for the Major Oil Marketers Association (MOMAN), Femi Lawore, said that while many marketers halted imports in the third quarter of 2016, some others, including the downstream subsidiary of France's Total, were still importing some quantities.

    "Apart from those still owed arrears on subsidies, banks are threatening to seize properties ... of marketers yet to repay interest charges on loans" taken to finance gasoline imports, Lawore told S&P Global Platts.

    MOMAN members include energy firms Oando, Conoil, Forte Oil and MRS, as well as the downstream subsidiary of Total.

    Nigeria, Africa's top crude oil producer, imports nearly 85% of its petroleum product needs due to limited domestic refining capacity.

    Oil Minister Emmanuel Kachikwu on Wednesday said local refineries currently meet only 23% of Nigeria's daily fuel requirements, estimated at 35 million liters, while the government spent Naira 3.35 trillion to import the balance in 2016 alone.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/lagos/nigeria-fuel-marketers-demand-22-bil-in-subsidy-26753813

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    Saudi Arabia thwarts attack on offshore oil field


    Saudi Arabia has reportedly thwarted what appeared to be an attack to an offshore oilfield in the country’s territorial waters.

    The country’s government-run press agency cited an official source who said that at 20:28 on Friday, 16th June, three small boats, bearing red and white flags, entered the Saudi territorial waters in the Arabian Gulf, heading “at speed” towards platforms of Saudi oil field of Marjan.

    The unnamed source then said: “Immediately, the Saudi naval forces fired warning shots, but the boats did not respond. Consequently, one of the boats was captured which was loaded with weapons for subversive purpose, while the other two escaped. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia stresses its determination to combat and eradicate terrorism and its sources, as a part of the country’s permanent objective to protect its national security against any external aggression.”

    http://www.offshoreenergytoday.com/report-saudi-arabia-thwarts-attack-on-offshore-oil-field/
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    Chinese state oil giants take petrol price battle to the pumps



    Chinese state oil giants Sinopec and PetroChina are waging war at the nation's gas pumps, slashing prices at unprecedented rates in an effort to reclaim sales lost to private local and foreign rivals in the $440 billion retail fuel market.

    The rare price war kicked off in late March as Sinopec (0386.HK) reported first quarter retail sales had slid to a three-year low. Spurred by a glut of fuel, Sinopec started offering hefty discounts in response to ad-hoc but frequent promotions by independent petrol station operators.

    PetroChina (0857.HK) swiftly joined in, triggering a ferocious battle against independents and international firms including Shell (RDSa.L) and BP (BP.L), said three state oil sources involved in retail fuel marketing.

    The heavy discounting is now spreading from the most heavily oversupplied provinces in China's north, squeezing fat retail profit margins in the world's No. 2 fuel market.

    The battle is proving a boon for China's drivers.

    In the gritty northern coal town of Luliang, taxi and delivery drivers were queued up at a Sinopec outlet after it slashed pump prices by 1.4 yuan ($0.21) per liter, or nearly a quarter, one recent weekend.

    "We all know Sinopec has higher gas quality but it was so expensive, so before I went to independent stations to fill my vehicle," one driver surnamed Zhang told Reuters as he waited to gas up his dusty, gray 7-seat van. "Now I switch to Sinopec and will keep visiting here as long as Sinopec offers discounts like this."

    Nearby gas stations run by PetroChina and local private operator Taihua each offered the same discount, promoting the bargain prices with eye-catching red banners, free car washes, and credits in pre-paid petrol cards.

    Sinopec spokesman Lu Dapeng said price cutting was "the most common approach in market competition". He didn't elaborate.

    RARE DISCOUNTS

    Such basement prices are rare for Sinopec, officially known as China Petroleum & Chemical Corp (600028.SS), and PetroChina, the listed subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation.

    In late March, both were selling high grade fuel at a discount of just 0.20-0.40 yuan per liter.

    "As the independents deepened discounts to unbearable levels, Sinopec responded by launching targeted attacks to reclaim lost sales," said a state oil marketing official.

    Price battles were rare before 2013 as rigid government price controls capped margins. As recently as 2010, gas stations rationed diesel fuel as shortage hit.

    But the plunge in global oil prices since 2014 and the sudden rise of independent refineries known as teapots transformed the market by flooding the country's 90,000 petrol stations with cheaper fuels.

    Short of retail infrastructure and barred from exports, teapots sell oil mostly to the country's 40,000-plus private petrol stations, many run by families or independent fuel dealers

    "The huge surplus the teapot oil plants have created is eroding the 80-percent market share the two oil giants used to hold several years ago," said Yan Kefeng, veteran oil researcher with IHS Markit.

    Sinopec and PetroChina now control around two-thirds of retail sales and independents about a quarter, according to Yu Chang, a former retail director with Shell China and the founder of AutoGo, a fuel retailing e-platform.

    The battle has also drawn in global players such as BP, Shell, Total (TOTF.PA) and Exxon (XOM.N). Foreign firms now own and operate nearly 4,000 stations accounting for about 8 percent of sales, mostly in joint-ventures with Sinopec or PetroChina.

    "There has been price volatility in the fuel retailing market with seasonal demand and supply changes," Shell wrote in an email. Shell has rapidly boosted its retail network in China and now has a total of 1,200 sites.

    MARGIN HIT

    While margins have taken a hit, Sinopec and PetroChina are far from losing money in their retail businesses, thanks to their market dominance in key consuming regions in the south and east where there is little need for discounts and wealthier motorists are less sensitive to price cuts.

    Compared to 5.24 yuan a liter in Luliang, Beijing motorists pay around 6.66 yuan for 95-octane, euro-5 quality gasoline. Beijing prices are some 12 percent above the premium gasoline in California, but about half that of Singapore prices.

    Sources at rivals say Sinopec may also be leading the charge as it aims to stem falling retail fuel sales and bolster its retail business ahead of a planned multi-billion-dollar IPO.

    Even with the hit in sales, Sinopec's network of 30,000 fuel stations and more than 23,000 convenience stores is considered a jewel in the crown. The division is estimated by analysts to be worth as much as $58 billion.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-petrol-idUSKBN19912D

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    India's 2017 diesel imports may rise to highest since at least 2011



    India's diesel imports this year may rise to the highest since at least 2011 as refiners shut down to upgrade their units to meet new fuel standards and as warmer temperatures spur demand, said five industry sources.

    The imports have supported the Asian diesel market which would otherwise have collapsed under a flood of Chinese exports. The Singapore diesel crack margin rose to a more than two-month high of over $11 a barrel to Dubai crude on Friday, Reuters data showed.

    India's state-owned refiners are already seeking or have bought up to 967,000 tonnes of diesel through July, according to tender data published by Reuters. That exceeds then-record imports of 962,000 tonnes in 2016, according to full-year government data going back to 2011.

    The upgrades to meet new Euro IV fuel standards implemented on April 1 and warmer temperatures are boosting diesel imports into the world's third-largest oil consumer, said Sri Paravaikkarasu, head of East of Suez Oil for oil consultants FGE.

    "Extreme temperatures in various states lifted (diesel) demand both in the agricultural and power sector in May," she told Reuters. "While there were downpours early this month, indicating early arrival of the monsoon, some states continue to face warm weather."

    Heavy maintenance at Indian Oil Corp and Chennai Petroleum Corp Ltd as they upgrade units are also boosting diesel shipments, she said.

    India's HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd (HMEL), part owned by Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd, delayed the start-up of its Bathinda refinery in northern Punjab state by a fortnight to the end of this month. The plant had been shut for works that would increase its ability to produce cleaner diesel.

    While monsoon rains typically reduce the need for diesel used in irrigation pumps, the curtailed supply because of the maintenance shutdowns will likely continue to boost imports into the country, FGE's Paravaikkarasu said.

    India is a net exporter of diesel with its refinery production usually enough to meet domestic demand, limiting imports. But the change in fuel standards has boosted imports of cleaner diesel while it has exported more lower sulphur diesel, traders said.

    India's diesel demand is expected to rise to record levels again this year as a slew of infrastructure projects boosts the use of the fuel, although a government-induced cash shortage will hold growth to its slowest in three years.

    Diesel demand is expected to grow by 3 percent this year, lower than the 5.1 percent growth in 2016, FGE's Paravaikkarasu said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/india-diesel-imports-idUSL3N1JD2AP

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    Russia’s Lukoil Forecasts Average Oil Price at $50 for Next 10 Years



    Russia’s Lukoil oil company bases its budget forecast at average oil price of $50 per barrel for the next 10 years, company’s Senior Vice President-Finance Alexander Matytsyn said.

    “We are making our new forecast for the decade primarily in constant prices. And these constant prices are $50 per barrel, which is what we laid out as a forecast a 10-year period,” Matytsin said adding that the company’s budget for 2017 stipulates the oil price at $40 dollars per barrel.

    Russia’s Lukoil oil company is reducing production at low-efficiency wells in the framework of OPEC, non-OPEC deal but will be able to restore it without additional costs, company’s Senior Vice President-Finance Alexander Matytsyn said Wednesday.

    “We did not reduce, in general, the scale of drilling, which ensures the future production volumes in 3-5 years, but we significantly diminished the scale of short-term activities, that is, reduced part of the capital costs slightly,” Matytsyn told reporters in Moscow.

    The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and 10 non-cartel oil producers agreed in May to extend last year’s output cut deal for another nine months.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/russias-lukoil-forecasts-average-oil-price-at-50-for-next-10-years/
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    PetroChina Cuts Fuel Oil Floating Storage



    PetroChina and trader Mercuria have sold off half of the fuel oil they had in floating storage off the coasts of Singapore and Malaysia on strong demand, according to traders quoted by Reuters. The size of fuel oil in floating storage in the area has been reduced by half, the sources said, suggesting the two companies resold what they bought between March and May.

    Storing fuel oil now is unusual, because the fuel oil market in the three-month period has been in backwardation – when spot market prices are higher than futures prices. In such circumstances, traders are quick to sell their stored fuel rather than keep it.

    According to the sources, PetroChina and Mercuria bought a combined 6 million tons of fuel oil in the three-month period and stored them in eight or nine tankers, including Very Large Crude Carriers, which can carry up to 2 million barrels of crude, and Aframaxes, which can carry an average of 750,000 barrels.

    Fuel oil remains in strong demand for bunkering, despite the growing popularity of LNG as marine fuel due to lower emissions. Regulators are helping make LNG more attractive: last year, the International Maritime Organization introduced a global 0.5-percent sulfur cap for maritime vessels that will come into effect in 2020.

    Marine fuel sales in Singapore fell last month, by 4.2 percent on the year to 4.181 million tons, according to data from the Maritime and Port Authority of the city-state, but even so, fuel oil is trading at a higher cash premium. This may climb up further as the coming months will see lower supply from Middle Eastern producers. They will need more of the fuel for domestic consumption as peak demand for air conditioning kicks in.

    http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/PetroChina-Cuts-Fuel-Oil-Floating-Storage.html
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    Tanker firm Frontline expects rise in storage of oil on vessels



    Tanker firm Frontline, controlled by billionaire investor John Fredriksen, expects a growing number of supertankers to be used for storing crude in anticipation of higher oil prices, its chief executive told Reuters on Friday.

    While none of Frontline's own vessels are currently used for this purpose, independent shipbrokers estimate that around 10 of the world's very large crude carriers (VLCCs) have recently been contracted for oil storage.

    "It sounds correct, and the number is rising," Frontline Chief Executive Officer Robert Macleod said.

    "It's always an option," he added.

    Frontline has 20 VLCCs, each of wich can carry around 2 million barrels of oil.

    VLCC spot rates are currently below Frontline's cash break-even level of $22,300 per day, trading at just $15,000-20,000 and making storage relatively inexpensive for those who think oil prices will rise.

    Later in the year, the cost of renting ships will likely rise however as the demand for crude picks up.

    "We expect a seasonal improvement in third quarter. Atlantic volumes to Asia are expected to rise, and including seasonal factors we expect the market to improve," Macleod said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-frontline-crude-storage-idUSKBN1971NO
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    NIOC adds 4 more Russian oil companies, Azeri Socar prequalified for Iran projects



    The National Iranian Oil Company has added five more international oil companies in its list of prequalified companies for Iran's oil and gas upstream projects, just days before the June 19 deadline for the Azadegan oil field tender consortia.

    NIOC has added Russia's Gazprom Neft, Rosneft, Tatneft and Zarubezhneft and Azerbaijan's state-owned Socar, taking its list of prequalified companies to a total of 34, according to a list posted on its website.

    Gazprom Neft and Zarubezhneft declined to comment, when contacted by S&P Global Platts on Friday, while Rosneft, Tatneft were not available.

    Russia now has six companies with Gazprom and Lukoil in the list, the single largest number of prequalified companies for Iran's upstream projects, followed by five companies from Japan.

    Officials at Russian companies have said they are potentially interested in projects in Iran but the companies are awaiting for a final contract to evaluate the economics and decide whether they are to take part in them and in which form, individually or via consortia.

    NIOC's updated prequalified list of companies comes as Tehran is gearing up for the biggest test of interest in the country's oil sector in years, as major international oil companies prepare to bid for the right to develop the Azadegan oil field, one of its most prized assets.

    The prequalified oil companies have been asked to provide details of their planned consortium partners by Monday, as part of NIOC's planned tender to develop the giant onshore Azadegan oil field, a source familiar with the matter said last week.

    NIOC has also asked prequalified companies to seek its approval if they are selecting partners that have not been prequalified for Iran's upstream bidding rounds, the source said.

    It plans to distribute detailed tender documents to the companies in July, the source added.

    The tender will be Iran's first bidding round for a major oil field, having previously relied on bilateral negotiations to award development contracts. It is also the first to be launched under Iran's much delayed new model contract, the Iran Petroleum Contract, which is yet to be published.

    This replaces the old buyback contract, which failed to attract sufficient investor interest due to its tough terms.

    NEW CONTRACT

    The delay in launching the new contract has held up Iran's ambitious plans to bring in new international oil companies and restore its oil production to pre-sanctions levels of around 4 million b/d.

    "Azadegan is the core of Iran's upstream development plans, and accounts for most of Iran's target for oil production capacity increase. Hence, the upcoming tender is perhaps the most important event the government has been looking forward to for months now, if not years," Iman Nasseri, a senior consultant at FGE said last week.

    The tender covers the development of the entire Azadegan field.

    Azadegan currently produces around 125,000 b/d, with 75,000 b/d from the northern portion and 50,000 b/d from the south. NIOC plans to raise production to 150,000 b/d in the north and as much as 600,000 b/d in two phases from South Azadegan.

    "Iran seems to be in favor of having a Chinese/Russian partner in key developments to keep the project alive together with the local contractor should a 'snap back' of sanctions pull the European partner back out of the project," Nasseri said.

    At the start of June, Gazprom Neft and Austria's OMV, which is also a prequalified company, signed an agreement on cooperation on projects in Iran.

    The MoU outlines possibilities for working together on "analysis, assessment and study of certain oil deposits... in the territory of [Iran] in cooperation with the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC)," the two companies said in a statement at the time.

    It said Gazprom Neft was "studying the possibility of participating in the development of two blocks in Iran" and given OMV's experience in Iran and the Middle East, "joint geological assessment of blocks will be most effective."

    Gazprom Neft earlier said it was looking at the Changouleh and Cheshmeh Khosh oil fields.

    Iran has already invited OMV to participate in an imminent tender to develop the Azadegan oil field.

    Malaysia's state-owned Petronas and Royal Dutch Shell have handed over their technical studies report on the Azadegan oil field to NIOC, Iran's official Shana news agency reported Sunday.

    France's Total and Japan's Inpex Corp. have also offered their surveys on Iran's largest crude reserves, Shana reported quoting Noureddin Shahnazizadeh, the managing director of Iran's Petroleum Engineering and Development Company.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/tokyo/nioc-adds-4-more-russian-oil-companies-azeri-26754628
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    Platts JKM LNG: Aug kicks off at $5.45/MMBtu; prompt demand supports July



    The Platts JKM for LNG cargo delivery in August, the new front month, started at $5.45/MMBtu Friday.

    The July JKM ended its assessment period on Thursday at $5.525/MMBtu, up 10 cents/MMBtu from $5.425/MMBtu Friday of last week.

    Bids for July cargoes edged up toward the end of the week to $5.40-$5.45/MMBtu for H2 July, against offers mostly seen at around $5.60/MMBtu.

    On Friday, best bids for August cargoes were said to be $5.40/MMBtu and offers were heard $5.50-$5.60/MMBtu.

    Demand for prompt cargoes provided support, although a lower oil price and weak European gas prices limited upside potential.

    That resulted in the spread between JKM and UK NBP rising to more than $1/MMBtu on Thursday, the highest since January 26.

    Buying interest was shown from buyers in China and South Korea for July delivery. South Korea's Komipo concluded a transaction midweek at $5.60/MMBtu for a July 5-12 delivery cargo into Boryeong LNG terminal.

    Guanghui Energy in Cihna has a requirement for a late July or H1 August delivery of a 90,000-100,000 cu m cargo, while China Huadian may enter the market for an August-delivery cargo, sources said.

    In India, GSPC launched a tender for an H1 August cargo after failing to award its previous tender seeking ab H1 July cargo. The tender came as demand from India continued to remain subdued partly due to the Monsoon season during which India's Dabhol LNG receiving terminal is closed.

    Indian buyers were cautious about purchasing prompt-delivery spot shipments due to ongoing tank-top issues at Dahej LNG terminal.

    In other tender news, ExxonMobil launched one from the Australia's Gorgon LNG plant for delivery into North Asia, India and Egypt, which has cut diplomatic ties with Qatar, from June 24 to July 11, sources said.

    Expectations also persisted that ExxonMobil would issue another tender for July loading from Gorgon.

    Angola LNG also had a supply tender for lifting June 12-14. The tender was said to have been awarded to Vitol and the cargo, aboard the Sonangol Sambizanga, left Angola's Soyo LNG terminal on June 13 to head south, according to cFlow, S&P Global Platts trade flow software.

    Angola was also said to have launched another tender for loading August 8-10.

    Malaysia's Petronas was heard to be marketing at least two cargoes for end July, sources said.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/natural-gas/tokyo/platts-jkm-lng-aug-kicks-off-at-545mmbtu-prompt-26754621
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    Russia's Rosneft finds first oilfield offshore eastern Arctic



    Russia's largest oil producer Rosneft said on Sunday it had found its first oilfield in the Laptev Sea in the eastern Arctic, making a breakthrough in the search for hydrocarbons in the harsh and far-flung region despite Western sanctions.

    Rosneft and its partners plan to invest 480 billion rubles ($8.4 billion) in developing Russia's offshore energy industry in the next five years, part of a drive to boost output from new areas.

    The company has sought tie-ups with several global oil players to develop Russia's offshore regions. But a deal to work in the Kara Sea in the western Arctic with U.S. company Exxon Mobil was suspended in 2014 after the imposition of Western sanctions against Moscow.

    "The result of the drilling at the Khatanga license block allows Rosneft to be considered the discoverer of (oil) fields in offshore Eastern Arctic," the company said in a statement.

    Most Russian oil output comes from western Siberia, where fields are depleting, pushing producers to look for new regions. Sanctions complicate the process, barring Western companies from helping with Arctic offshore, deepwater and shale oil projects.

    The Arctic offshore area is expected to account for between 20 and 30 percent of Russian production, one of the world's largest, by 2050.

    Rosneft owns 28 blocks in the Arctic offshore area with combined estimated resources of 34 billion tonnes of oil equivalent.

    There is only one offshore platform in the Russian Arctic, Prirazlomnoye, operated by Gazprom Neft, which plans to produce 2.6 million tonnes (52,000 barrels per day) this year.

    Analysts say oil production in the region - apart from Prirazlomnoye - is years away and may start only in the mid-2020s

    Rosneft has been working in the Laptev Sea since 2014. It values the hydrocarbon resources of the sea at around 9.5 billion tonnes of oil equivalent.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-rosneft-arctic-idUSKBN1990I5
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    And the rig count is up again.

    Aside from learning more about the rocks, the following six factors have contributed to the tight oil learning curve:

    1. Walking rigs – Assembling and dismantling rigs for each new well used to be an unproductive, time consuming process. Wrenches and bolts are passé; new rigs “walk” on large well pads needling holes in the ground like a sewing machine on a patch.

     

    2. Bigger, better gear – From drill bits to motors, pump and electronic sensors, all the gear on a rig is now more powerful and more precise.

     

    3. Longer lateral wells – A horizontal well is like a trough that gathers oil in the rock formation. Why stop at one kilometer when you can drill out two or three with the better gear?

     

    4. Fracturing with greater intensity – Hydraulic fracturing used to be a one-off, complicated process. Today, liberating tight oil is like unzipping a zipper down the length of a lateral well section.

     

    5. Smarter, better logistics – Idle time on well sites can cost tens of thousands of dollars an hour. Modern supply chain management and logistics are helping operators use every hour of the clock more cost effectively.

     

    6. ‘High grading’ of prospects – Low oil prices culled the industry’s spreadsheets of uneconomic play areas. Activity migrated to high quality ‘sweet spots’, which are turning out to be more plentiful than originally thought.

    How much better can it all get? 

    The data in our chart, and from other plays, suggests that the collective learning from these factors may have peaked; ergo a high school conclusion might lead us to believe that the golden geese—tight oil wells drilled into prolific plays like the US Permian and Eagle Ford—may have finally finished laying bigger and bigger eggs.

    But it’s not wise to be fooled into that sort of undergraduate thinking. Productivity may have stalled for now, but the learning is paying off. The rate of output growth in the new genre of light tight oil plays isn’t about to lose momentum around the $50/B mark.


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    Kinder Morgan Canada raises C$5.5 billion as Trans Mountain faces block


    Kinder Morgan Canada Ltd has raised C$5.5 billion ($4.16 billion) for its Trans Mountain pipeline expansion and could have raised even more, the company said on Friday, despite pressure on banks to back away from the project.

    "The syndication of the credit facilities was oversubscribed," company President Ian Anderson said in the statement. "We are gratified by the outstanding level of support for this project within the financial community."

    Energy infrastructure projects have faced opposition from environmental groups and aboriginal communities whose land they touch. Opposition to Trans Mountain is set to mount after the effective rise of an unfriendly government last month in Canada's British Columbia province that the pipeline passes.

    According to the company's statement, Kinder Morgan Canada, majority owned by Houston-based Kinder Morgan Inc, has entered into agreements for C$4.0 billion in revolving credit, C$1 billion in contingent credit and C$500 million in revolving working capital.

    Kinder Morgan Canada did not specify the source of the credit, although it said the funds would come from a group of banks, some of which underwrote its public offering last month.

    Toronto-Dominion Bank and Royal Bank of Canada were the main underwriters, according to Kinder Morgan's prospectus.

    A group of more than 20 indigenous and environmental organizations this month called on 28 major banks, including all underwriters, to back away from Trans Mountain.

    Ruth Breech, senior campaigner for Rainforest Action Network, one of the groups, said by phone the banks' backing of Trans Mountain was disappointing.

    "We'll be committed to challenging this project all the way through," she said. "There'll absolutely be follow-up discussions with those banks."

    Ratings agency DBRS Ltd on Friday placed Kinder Morgan Cochin ULC, the Canadian parent company's operating subsidiary, at "BBB."

    The Trans Mountain expansion has "execution risks" including political and environmental opposition, the agency said. "In its rating assessment, DBRS has conservatively assumed a project delay of one year."

    The expansion almost triples the capacity of the existing pipeline, which is designed to carry crude from Canada's oil sands to the West Coast.

    The expansion has obtained both federal and regulatory approvals and has passed an environmental assessment under British Columbia's incumbent Liberal Party, which lost its legislative majority in a May 9 election.

    The opposition Greens and New Democrats parties, both of which oppose Trans Mountain's expansion, have sealed a deal to unseat the Liberals.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-canada-kinder-morgan-de-funds-idUSKBN1972SC
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    Innovators toil to revive Canada oil sands as majors exit



    In the boreal forests and on the remote prairies of Alberta, a handful of firms are running pilot projects they hope will end a two-decade drought in innovation and stem the exodus of top global energy firms from Canada's oil sands.

    They are searching for a breakthrough that will cut the cost of pumping the tar-like oil from the country's vast underground bitumen reservoirs and better compete with the booming shale industry in the United States.

    If they fail, a bigger chunk of the world's third-largest oil reserves will stay in the ground. Canada's oil sands sector has become one of the biggest victims of the global oil price crash that began in 2014 when top OPEC producer Saudi Arabia flooded the market with cheap crude to drive out high cost competitors.

    This year alone, oil majors have sold over $22.5 billion of assets in Canada's energy industry, and been lured south to invest in the higher returns of U.S. shale.

    Joseph Kuhach is among the entrepreneurs in Canada hoping they can turn the tide. He runs a small Calgary-based firm, Nsolv, that is testing the use of solvents to liquefy the bitumen buried in the sands and make it flow as oil.

    Kuhach says using solvents can cut 20 to 40 percent from the cost of producing the oil. The technique currently used is to use steam to heat the sands underground to extract the oil.

    It's a hard sell, he said, to Canadian producers struggling with low oil prices. They are reluctant to invest in a multi-million dollar technology that is unproven on a commercial scale, he said.

    "The comment I hear so often when I am talking to companies is, 'We want to be the very first in line to be second'," said Kuhach. "It's easier to go after incremental improvements that they can back away from with no great cost and no great risk."

    Nsolv is winding down a three-year pilot project with Canada's second-largest energy producer Suncor Energy at its Dover oil sands lease in northern Alberta. Suncor is evaluating the results, the firm's spokeswoman Erin Rees said.

    Fourth-largest producer Imperial Oil, controlled by ExxonMobil Corp, is also developing solvent technology and has had an ongoing C$100-million pilot project since 2013, the company said.

    The caution of oil sands producers stems in part from the unique challenges of operating here, where projects take years to build and require billions of dollars in upfront capital.

    The development of the technique using steam two decades ago made Canada's sands the new frontier for the oil industry, and majors were among the firms that flocked to buy in.

    Since then, innovation has stalled. That failure, energy-industry entrepreneurs and venture capitalists told Reuters, is rooted in a risk-averse culture that has left oil sands years behind U.S. shale.

    The exodus of international oil firms such as Royal Dutch Shell and Statoil ASA from oil sands has made innovation tougher because there are fewer potential customers who might adopt new technology, said Joe Gasca, chairman of Fractal Systems Inc. His firm processes bitumen into higher-quality crude at the wellhead.

    Fractal is running a 1,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) test plant in eastern Alberta for third-largest producer Cenovus Energy, which has yet to make a decision on whether to proceed commercially.

    DATING AND MARRIAGE

    The shale sector moved fast to innovate and cut costs to survive the oil price crash. In 2014, producing oil from most shale fields cost more than the average $60 a barrel needed for a new Canadian oil sands project to make money. Now, there are some shale patches that can make a profit at $15 a barrel.

    It takes months of pumping steam into underground reservoirs before bitumen starts to flow from the oil sands. That makes engineers reluctant to experiment with the delicate balance of heat and pressure.

    Shale, by contrast, provides comparatively fertile ground for innovation. The initial investment is a fraction of what the cost of an oil sands project. Relatively easy access encourages competition as the many firms involved look for an edge. Wells can be drilled quickly. The stakes are lower and the scale is smaller if experiments fail.

    Drilling longer wells and being better able to pinpoint where in those wells to fracture the rock, among other techniques, have supercharged U.S. shale output in the past two years. That has boosted firms including Noble Energy and Devon Energy and drawn billions of dollars in new private equity investment.

    Canadian producers have fewer projects to experiment with and are unwilling to risk their massive upfront investments, said Steve Fisher, chief executive of Calgary-based startup Veerum.

    "Shale is like going on a date, the oil sands is like getting married," he said. "The risk for capital is high in the oil sands, you have massive assets that need to complete on time and operate for 40 years to make money."

    Veerum's technology cuts capital costs by tracking how accurately a new project sticks to design specifications during construction, reducing the need for costly fixes later.

    The company is supported by GE's Zone Startups Calgary, an incubator for new firms in the energy capital of Canada.

    Another hurdle to innovation is the lack of sales and marketing expertise in the city's oil industry to carry ideas through to commercial execution, said Marty Reed, chief executive of clean-tech fund Evok Innovations.

    "At $100 a barrel it didn't take a sales and marketing genius to sell the product," Reed said. "But if you are a new company trying to get Suncor to adopt a new widget those skills are crucial."

    Evok was launched last year with a C$100 million investment from Cenovus and Suncor over 10 years to accelerate development of technologies to cut oil sands costs and emissions.

    'INCREMENTAL GAINS'

    Since oil prices began falling in 2014, the long-term forecast for oil sands output in 2030 has fallen to 3.7 million bpd, down from 5.2 million bpd, according to the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. Current output is around 2.4 million bpd.

    Expansion will mostly come from adding units at existing projects, given new projects are unprofitable at current international oil prices of around $45 a barrel.

    Canadian oil sands producers recognize that innovation is crucial for their survival, and some firms are spending more.

    The country's top energy producer Canadian Natural Resources Ltd allocated C$549 million ($406.97 million) or 14 percent of its 2016 C$3.8 billion capital budget on research and development (R&D), up 4 percent from C$527 million in 2015, when capital spending was higher.

    "It's mostly about incremental gains, but we do have some big stuff that could change things," Canadian Natural President Steve Laut told reporters last month, declining to elaborate.

    Suncor and Imperial both held R&D spending steady from the previous year while reducing overall capital budgets. Suncor spent C$150 million, or 3 percent of its budget in 2016 on what it calls "step-change technologies", while Imperial spent C$195 million, roughly 17 percent of its budget, company filings showed.

    The firms all said they were working on ways to reduce costs and environmental impact. Producers also said new technology is often developed in the field during normal operations and does not necessarily show up in R&D budgets.

    A number of producers, including Cenovus and Suncor are looking at ways to add solvents to steam in their commercial operations.

    Unlike the solvent-only technique being pitched by Nsolv, this would allow firms to adapt existing thermal plants rather than build new ones, Kuhach said.

    Even if pilot steam-and-solvent projects are successful, it would take another three to five years for the technology to spread across the industry, said Dan Wicklum, chief executive of the Canadian Oil Sands Innovation Alliance.

    Vancouver-based Chrysalix Venture Capital has become more cautious about new oil sands investments since the oil majors pulled out, Chief Executive Wal van Lierop said, but is investing in technologies that may prove valuable to the sector.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-canada-oilsands-technology-insight-idUSKBN19A0FQ
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    Uranium

    Group says Georgia nuclear plant costs rise to $29 billion



    A clean energy group that has opposed a nuclear project in Georgia estimates the plant's cost has soared to $29 billion in the wake of the bankruptcy of the half-finished plant's contractor, Westinghouse Electric Co, a unit of Toshiba Corp (6502.T)

    Sara Barczak of the Southern Alliance for Clean Energy (SACE) said the new estimate adds $9 billion to its projected cost of the Vogtle project, which has been beset by delays and billions of dollars of cost overruns.

    SACE based its latest estimate on a report last week by two utility consultants to the Georgia Public Service Commission, which regulates utilities, including Southern Co's Georgia Power.

    The report is based on a scenario in which the project comes online in 2022, three years late, and the bankruptcy layers on costs.

    Southern Co's (SO.N) Georgia Power unit, which owns the largest stake in the Vogtle project, is reviewing the report, said a Georgia Power spokesman. It will discuss it with all parties, he added, emphasizing that it was based on a hypothetical scenario.

    Georgia Power also is reviewing the schedule and cost of completing Vogtle to determine the best outcome for customers, said the spokesman, Jacob Hawkins.

    Westinghouse declined to comment.

    SACE's latest estimate puts increased pressure on Georgia's utility regulator to ensure Southern Co cannot pass along future cost overruns to rate-payers.

    SACE has warned since Vogtle was approved in 2009 that Southern Co was underestimating the time and cost of the project. Vogtle was originally expected to begin producing power in April 2016 and cost $14 billion.

    Vogtle was meant to be a showcase for Westinghouse and part of a U.S. nuclear renaissance. But it has been dogged by poor- quality work and subcontractor disputes, among other problems.

    Toshiba guaranteed Westinghouse's work on the project and on Saturday said it will pay $3.68 billion to the utility's owners for failure to complete the contract.

    The expert reports also spell out the failure of Westinghouse to improve productivity. Over the past year, four core activities fell an average of 325 days further behind schedule, according to the reports.

    The experts estimated the cost to Georgia Power to finish Vogtle would be $3 billion. SACE extrapolated that to the entire project and added costs for financing and taxes.

    SACE's Barczak said she believes the project would not be completed. "But the unknown question is, 'How long is it going to take for Southern Co to pull the plug?'" she said.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/toshiba-accounting-westinghouse-bankrupt-idUSL1N1JC202

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    Agriculture

    Amazon buys WholeFoods.

    ENVIRONMENTAL STEWARDSHIP: OUR GREEN MISSION

    Since we opened our first store in 1980, we've not only been passionate about healthy food, we’ve been passionate about a healthy planet. From team members who made something happen in their own home stores to executive leaders who made historical decisions that put planet before profits, we’re always trying something new in green. We work on it every day.

    The 3 Rs: Reduce, Reuse, Recycle

    While every store location does things a little differently, we are united in striving to honor this golden rule of environmental stewardship, whether in company-wide or localized efforts. 

    Reduce

    Our stores are taking the initiative in many areas to reduce our impact on Earth and its resources, including:

    • Implementing paperless ordering systems to reduce paper waste
    • Supporting carpooling and public transportation for team members
    • Installing flushless urinals and low-flow toilets
    • Evaluating the need for printing, and when we do print, insisting on recycled paper, and using water- or vegetable-based inks and solvent-free printing processes when available
    • Composting, which has reduced landfill waste by up to 80% in some regions and resulted in zero waste in several stores

    Reuse

    We reuse material of all kinds whenever possible, including:

    • Encouraging the use of reusable grocery bags by providing affordable bags
    • Installing rain-water collection systems to reuse rain water for non-consumable purposes
    • Implementing the use of reusable and compostable plates and bowls in our dining areas
    • Using reclaimed wood, bricks and other materials in constructing new stores

    Recycle

    Beyond recycling cardboard and paper, which has long been a regular practice in every store, office and facility, other examples of recycling initiatives include:  

    • Replacing disposable batteries with rechargeable ones
    • Holding company and community recycling drives for electronics
    • Using recycled paper with a high percentage of post-consumer waste
    • Providing receptacles for glass and plastic recycling in our dining areas
    • Providing collection boxes for cell phones, ink jet cartridges and wine corks
    • Utilizing our delivery trucks to backhaul compostable waste to regional facilities where it is turned into compost, which is donated to community gardens or sold in our stores

    Alternative Energy

    Wind Power

    In January of 2006, we made our first landmark purchase of renewable energy credits (RECs) from wind farms to offset 100% of the electricity used in all of our stores and other facilities in the United States and Canada. In 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012, we did it again! This green action and others earned us the Environmental Protection Agency Green Power Partner of the Year 2006, 2007 and 2010. Additionally, the Environmental Protection Agency recognized us for our green power purchases with a Green Power Leader­ship Award in 2004, 2005 and 2006.

    Our investment in wind energy supports the clean energy industry and helps us avoid nearly 551,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide pollution. That's an environmental benefit equivalent to not consuming 1,200,000 barrels of oil or avoiding the annual electricity usage of 65,000 average-sized homes*. Learn more about how national wind RECs work.

    *For more details on these calculations and clean energy in general, visit the Environmental Protection Agency's Clean Energy page.

    Solar

    As of 2015, we had 25 stores and facilities supplementing traditional power with solar power, and there are more in development. A typical solar installation can:

    • Produce and save more than 2.2 million kilowatt hours over 20 years
    • Result in more than 1,650 tons of CO2 emissions avoided, the equivalent of removing 440 cars from roadways
    • Reduce the impact on our country’s power grids

    Electric Vehicles

    As of 2015, we had 45 electric vehicle charging stations at our stores, and 31 more in progress.

    Biodiesel

    We are gradually converting our truck fleet to biodiesel fuels, reducing CO2 emissions into the atmosphere. Our fleet is also being fitted with aerodynamic aprons to cut down on wind resistance resulting in less fuel consumption. These trucks also use a fuel-saving (and emissions-cutting) system that allows the engine to be turned off completely at loading and delivery, rather than remain idling.

    Green Building

    Green building techniques conserve natural resources by reducing the use of virgin raw materials and minimizing the amount of toxic resins and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) off-gassed by traditional building materials such as laminates, paint and carpeting.

    In addition to reclaimed materials, new store construction includes innovative materials such as MDF (medium density fiberboard made from 100% recovered and recycled wood fiber), Marmoleum (a natural linoleum product); and FSC (Forest Stewardship Council) Certified Wood.

    We are proud to have more than 45 stores that have been or are in the process of Green Globes or LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) certification. Our store in Brooklyn, NY, is on track to receive LEED Platinum certification.

    As of 2015, twenty of our stores had been awarded the Environmental Protection Agency’s GreenChill certification. We have the most natural-refrigerant stores in the grocery business.

    Community Support

    A significant number of our individual stores’ Community Giving Days benefit nonprofit environmental organizations with a percent of store sales. In addition, team members often participate in local cleanups or regularly volunteer their time to nonprofits. 

    Product Sourcing and Packaging

    Product Sourcing

    We go to great lengths to source products using specific standards or purchasing guidelines which emphasize environmental health or include an environmental component:

    Product Packaging

    Many of our stores offer bulk purchasing – as little or as much as you need – which reduces packaging and shipping weight. In addition, our own Whole Foods Market™ and 365 Everyday Value® brands’ bottled body products, vitamins and supplements are in bottles made from at least 50% recycled plastic.

    We are in the process of replacing traditional plastic and paper prepared-food containers with compostable fiber packaging made from renewable resources such as bagasse (made from sugar cane pulp and wood fibers). These are either unbleached (free from chlorine and dioxins) or lightened with non-elemental chlorine bleach, which does not have the same environmental detriments as industrial chlorine bleach.

    Palm Oil Pledge

    Whole Foods Market is concerned with the social and environmental impacts of palm oil production in tropical rainforest ecosystems around the world, and our company supports the protection of rainforests, communities and our global climate.

    We are proud to report that 100% of Whole Foods Market’s 365 Everyday Value® brand food items containing palm oil, palm kernel oil, palm fruit oil and palm shortening are produced using Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) certified sustainable oil products. We are fulfilling this pledge through the purchase of Identity-Preserved, Segregated and Mass Balance palm oil.

    We acknowledge that many stakeholders believe that the current RSPO standards do not adequately address the impact of palm production on peatlands, High Conservation Value Areas, High Carbon Stock forests, human rights, and the principle of free, prior and informed consent, and we are actively engaged in a multi-stakeholder initiative that seeks to build on the RSPO standards by more deeply addressing these issues. Whole Foods Market calls on our peers in the food industry to join us.

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    Base Metals

    Chinese spot alumina price slips Yuan 20/mt to Yuan 2,630/mt



    The Platts China ex-works Shanxi daily spot alumina assessment closed the week Friday at Yuan 2,630/mt ($387/mt) full cash terms, down Yuan 20/mt from Thursday and down Yuan 50/mt on the week.

    The current price, however, still reflected a sharp increase of Yuan 300/mt from a month ago.

    A Northwest China smelter and a Henan refiner confirmed having traded 50,000 mt this week at Yuan 2,630-2,650/mt ex-works Henan, partial credit terms. Both parties, however, declined to provide details on the amount of credit settled.

    Three refiners, a trader and a smelter all put ex-works Shanxi tradable levels at Yuan 2,600-2,650/mt cash on Friday, with short-term expectations prices may even break below Yuan 2,600/mt on continued weak market sentiment.

    Pressure on alumina prices stemmed mainly from several refinery restarts in Shanxi, following scheduled turnaround cutbacks in May, the sources said. Lower domestic aluminium metal prices recently also added pressure, they added.

    "But as there's no smelter cuts yet, demand is steady and that will support alumina from falling too much...maybe ranging at Yuan 2,550-2,600/mt cash in the near term," a Henan refiner said.

    "Refiners' stocks are not high, so there's no rush for them to lower offers. Some traders are willing to sell lower, as they bought at Yuan 2,200-2,300/mt earlier, so there's still profits to be made at the current levels. But these traders don't have much stocks, so let's see if it'll last," the refiner added.

    On Friday, the front-month aluminium contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed at Yuan 13,530/mt, marginally down from Yuan 13,540/mt last week, and also from Yuan 13,915/mt a month ago.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/metals/singapore/chinese-spot-alumina-price-slips-yuan-20mt-to-26754626
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    Steel, Iron Ore and Coal

    China cuts 97 mln T of coal, 42.4 mln T of steel capacity



    China, the world’s top steelmaker and coal consumer, cut 97 million tonnes of coal capacity and 42.4 million tonnes of steel capacity by end-May, the state planner said on Thursday, as part efforts to tackle pollution and curb excess supply.

    The capacity reduction is 65 percent of China’s targeted cuts for coal and 85 percent for steel in 2017, spokeswoman Meng Wei of the National Development and Reform Commission said at a regular briefing.

    In March, the state planner pledged to cut 50 million tonnes of steel and more than 150 million tonnes of coal capacity this year.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/china-cuts-97-mln-t-of-coal-42-4-mln-t-of-steel-capacity/
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    CIL to supply domestic fuel to non-power consumers



    State-owned Coal India (CIL) will continue to offer domestic coal to non-power sectors instead of 50% of the import component this fiscal, the Times of India reported on June 15.

    The development assumes significance as the government is working to realize "zero" coal imports.

    The world's largest coal miner "offer of domestic coal 'as is where is basis' to non-power fuel supply agreement (FSA) consumers in lieu of 50% of the import component will be continued in 2017-18", said the official.

    The fuel will be provided to non-power consumers such as cement firms, fertiliser and steel producers without affecting the supply to the power sector.

    Thermal coal would be provided from sources like Magadh Amarpali mines of CIL arm Central Coalfields Ltd (CCL), Eastern Coalfields Ltd and South Eastern Coalfields Ltd (SECL), the official said.

    The government had earlier said that it is aiming to bring down to totally eliminate thermal coal imports of power PSUs like NTPC in the ongoing fiscal, a move that would reduce the country's import bill by around Rs 17,000 crore.

    Indian government would also slowly convince the private companies operating in the power space to fully stop the import of thermal fuel.

    The government had said on June 14 that despite being rich in coal reserves, the country has to import the fossil fuel for power plants with an installed capacity of 83,100 MW which are designed to feed on imported coal.

    http://www.sxcoal.com/news/4557410/info/en
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    Weekly US coal production estimate rises for fifth straight week: EIA



    Weekly US coal production totaled an estimated 15.5 million st in the week that ended June 10, up 3.6% from the prior week and up 24.1% from the year-ago week, US Energy Information Administration data showed Thursday.

    It was the fifth straight week coal production has increased after bottoming out in the week that ended May 6 at 13.33 million st.

    Platts Analytics' Bentek Energy unit estimates US coal consumption totaled 20.6 million st in the week that ended June 8, up 1.7% from the prior week and up 13.3% from the year-ago week. Year-to-date consumption is up 2.2% from last year, according to Platts Analytics.

    Platts Analytics also estimates utility coal stockpiles stood at 155.5 million st in the week that ended June 8, down 1.2% from the prior week and down 18.8% from the year-ago week. It was the lowest weekly estimate since the fall of 2015.

    In the most recent reporting period, coal production in Wyoming and Montana, which primarily consists of coal from the Powder River Basin, totaled an estimated 6.82 million st, up 5.9% compared with last week and up 32.9% from the year-ago week, according to the EIA.

    On an annualized basis, coal production in Wyoming and Montana thus far in 2017 would total 331.9 million st, up 0.4% from last year.

    In Central Appalachia, weekly coal production totaled an estimated 1.54 million st, down 0.5% from last week but up 6.7% from last year. Annualized 2017 production would total 79.6 million st, up 3.4% from last year.

    In Northern Appalachia, weekly coal production totaled an estimated 2.38 million st, up 5% from last week and up 25.4% from the year-ago week. An annualization of production so far in 2017 would total 117.7 million st, up 13.1% from last year.

    In the Illinois Basin, weekly coal production totaled an estimated 2.1 million st, down 0.8% from last week but up 10.7% from last year. Annualized production would total 108.4 million st, up 7.1% from 2016.

    Based on the most recent EIA estimates, US coal production in 2017 on an annualized basis would total 779.6 million st, up 5.5% from last year.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/coal/houston/weekly-us-coal-production-estimate-rises-for-21055540
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    Teck cuts steelmaking coal price forecast



    Canadian diversified miner Teck Resources has pruned back its forecasted average realised price for steelmaking coal in the second quarter, saying extreme Australian weather has disrupted the market.

    The announcement sent Teck’s TSX-listed stock falling nearly 5% in the afternoon session to a low of C$21.36 a share.

    Teck now expects its second quarter average realised coalprice to be between $160/t and $165/t, falling short of the benchmark price for steelmaking coal sold under quarterly contract that has been established at $190/t.

    The Vancouver-headquartered company expects coal sales volumes of between 6.8-million and 7-million tonnes, with the final sales volume dependent on the timing of shipments.

    Teck said the differential between the quarterly benchmark price and its average realised price for the second quarter is larger than usual, following steel mills filling their prompt requirements immediately following the Queensland cyclone, resulting in “very few” prime hard coking coal spot sales during the four-week period from mid-April.

    http://www.miningweekly.com/article/teck-cuts-forecasted-steelmaking-coal-price-2017-06-16
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    China allows coal mines to increase capacity amid price rally


    China will allow some coal mines to increase capacity, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on Friday, as Beijing ramps up efforts to boost supply for summer.

    Both open pit and underground mines will be able to apply to increase production capacity as long as they haven't reported major accidents, are efficient mines and follow strict safety measures, the NDRC said in a statement.

    Producers in regions that have complex geological conditions, are vulnerable to firedamp accidents or have been required by the government to cut capacity will not be eligible to apply.

    NDRC's latest move came as China's coal futures prices rose to a record high on Friday as warm weather leading into the summer season raised investors' expectations for increased demand.

    "China's coal output will likely increase, easing the gain in prices following NDRC's effort to relax production curbs," said Zhang Min, a coal analyst with China Sublime Information Group said.

    China's coal production rose 12 percent in May from a year ago, notching the fastest growth pace in years, official data showed on Wednesday.

    The NDRC said producers granted quota increases would need to shut down some old inefficient coal mines in exchange.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-coal-production-idUSKBN1970PQ
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    Australia's Fortescue rolls over discount for July Super Special fines: customers



    Fortescue Metals Group, Australia's third-largest iron ore producer, has maintained the discount for its flagship Super Special fines to its contract customers for loading in July, FMG's term customers said Friday.

    The discount for FMG's 56.7%-Fe Super Special fines loading in July is 30%, they said, unchanged from June.

    For its 58.3%-Fe Fortescue Blend fines, the discount is 23% for July-loading cargoes, down 2% from June.

    These products are priced using Platts 62%-Fe IODEX assessment with an adjustment for iron content.

    A term customer in central China said demand for low grade Australian fines such as Super Special and Fortescue Blend were popular among the cost-conscious end-users who want these low grade materials for blending with Carajas fines to rein in production costs.

    A source at a large trading house in Beijing said: "I believe that Fortescue Blend fines are more popular and that is why the miner does not have the incentive to give the same discount as the month before."

    Demand for low-grade Australian fines was also heard to be improving as it was an economical feedstock at current price levels. However, a strong uptick in prices is unlikely due to plentiful supply at Chinese ports, sources said.

    "A decrease in the discount for Fortescue Blend fines is perhaps an indication that demand is supporting prices to some extent," said an international trader, adding that it would be logical for the miner to reduce the discount as a recent decline in ore prices has squeezed margins.

    FMG was not available for immediate comment.

    Sources said FMG typically offers contract customers two pricing periods based on S&P Global Platts 62%-Fe IODEX assessments -- a monthly average or a five-day period before and after the date on which the NOR was issued at the discharge port.

    https://www.platts.com/latest-news/metals/singapore/australias-fortescue-rolls-over-discount-for-26754625
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    India's Bhushan, Essar Steel among 12 firms being moved to insolvency courts -sources



    India's central bank has asked lenders to initiate bankruptcy proceedings against a dozen companies, including Essar Steel, Bhushan Steel Ltd, Monnet Ispat and Energy Ltd, sources with direct knowledge of the matter said.

    This follows a change enacted in laws last month that gives the Reserve Bank of India greater power to address the $150 billion stressed loan problem plaguing growth in Asia's third-largest economy. This week, the RBI said it had identified 12 of the country's biggest loan defaulters.

    Jaypee Infratech, Electrosteel Steels, unlisted Bhushan Power & Steel, textiles maker Alok Industries , ABG Shipyard and Jyoti Structures are also among the firms that will be taken to insolvency courts by the RBI, said the sources, who asked not to be named as the list was not public.

    The RBI has yet to officially name any of the 12 companies, which account for about 2 trillion rupees ($31 billion) of India's non-performing loans, or roughly 25 percent of all the country's bad loans.

    CNBC TV18, which reported the 12 names earlier on Friday, also said Lanco Infratech, Amtek Auto and Era Infra Engineering were on the list. Reuters could not immediately verify these three names.

    According to the television station, RBI has asked banks to initiate bankruptcy proceedings against six of the firms within 15 days and to file petitions for the others within 30 days.

    The RBI had no official comment.

    A spokesman for Essar Steel declined to comment, while a spokesman for Electrosteel said they had heard from their main lender that creditors wanted to initiate resolution of the unpaid loans through the National Company Law Tribunal.

    The NCLT has been appointed as the nodal court for insolvency and bankruptcy proceedings in India. A bankruptcy filing would result in recovering some funds owed through a debt restructuring, or ultimately through liquidation of the company.

    Such action means banks would no longer leave bad debt on their books and it could force them to put more money aside to cover losses - at a time when funds are already short as banks seek to comply with international capital standards.

    The filings could have far reaching implications, as India's new insolvency code sets out a tight deadline for restructuring resolutions to be struck, failing which the defaulters would be moved into forced liquidation, potentially leading to further value erosion and jeopardizing tens of thousands of jobs at the heavy industry companies on the list.

    Indian banks typically lend larger sums in groups. Lead banks plan to call meetings of the groups over the next two weeks to decide the next course of action, one source said.

    Jaypee Infratech, Lanco, Bhushan Steel, Monnet, Bhushan Power & Steel, Jyoti, Era, Amtek, Alok and ABG were not immediately reachable for comments.

    Attached Files
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    India steel: Supply likely to exceed domestic demand



    Following strong 8.5% y-o-y (7.6 million tonne volume) growth in Indian crude steel production in FY17, we would focus more on sluggish domestic steel demand, since this would determine further volume/price growth over FY17-20.

    Domestic steel demand remains subdued. India’s finished steel consumption growth was a modest 3% during FY17, much lower than the earlier expectation of 6-7% growth.

    Following strong 8.5% y-o-y (7.6 million tonne volume) growth in Indian crude steel production in FY17, we would focus more on sluggish domestic steel demand, since this would determine further volume/price growth over FY17-20. Expected capex spends in large steel consuming sectors do not lend comfort to support 4.5% CAGR in domestic demand. This is critical to absorb incremental supply of 14mt, even assuming PSUs deliver 50% of our base-case volume estimates and net exports sustain at current levels. This would limit pricing gains for steel producers, especially if JSW Steel and Tata Steel operate at desired maximum utilisation, given their lower costs. Although we remain positive on both, sustained healthy demand growth would be the key to stock price performance from here on. We estimate 20 mt of incremental domestic steel supply over the next three years. Out of this, 11 mt could be delivered by PSUs viz. SAIL, NMDC, and RINL, if they are able to ramp up their upcoming capacity.

    There have been repeated delays during construction, commissioning and ramp-up of new steel capacities by these PSUs in the past few years and further delays cannot be ruled out. Even assuming these PSUs are able to deliver only 50% of their expected incremental volumes; domestic steel production would increase by 14 mt by FY20, implying 4.6% volume CAGR over FY17-20. If PSUs deliver 75% of base case estimates, production CAGR would increase to 5.4% over FY17-20. Beyond 2020, there is a visibility for JSTL’s expansion at Dolvi (5 mtpa to 10 mtpa) and Tata Steel’s Kalinganagar Phase 2 (3 mtpa to 8 mtpa). These two projects would alone add 8-10mt over FY20-25.

    Domestic steel demand remains subdued. India’s finished steel consumption growth was a modest 3% during FY17, much lower than the earlier expectation of 6-7% growth. Steel demand growth remained low at 3.4% in April and 1% in May. In the absence of a recovery in domestic steel demand, selling incremental production would be a challenge in the near term since avenues for further increasing exports would be limited and import substitution has largely played out.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/india-steel-supply-likely-to-exceed-domestic-demand/
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    China steel mills still seen struggling even as margins climb

    China steel mills still seen struggling even as margins climb

    China’s steel producers, which account for half of the world’s supply, are still plagued by overcapacity and high debt ratios, even as profits improve, said Wang Liqun, vice chairman of the China Iron & Steel Association.

    “The industry is showing a continuous recovery, but the base is not solid because overcapacity issues are not fully resolved,” Wang said at a conference in Shanghai on Friday. “High profits of some products, in some areas, quickly stimulate release of capacity. There are still a lot of difficulties ahead.”

    Spot domestic prices for steel reinforcement bar, a basic construction material, climbed to the highest level in almost five years in May amid closures of illegal mills, capacity curbs and infrastructure demand. Member companies of the China Iron & Steel Association reported profits of 23.3bn yuan ($3.4bn) in the first quarter from a loss of 8.75bn yuan a year earlier. Still, a slowing property market may pressure steel prices in the second half.

    “Iron ore seems to be already in a downward trend,” Wang said. “We believe the steel market will also see fluctuations in the second half and just hope that the scale of them won’t be too big.”

    China’s actual steel consumption climbed 3.6% in the first four months of the year, Wang said. While government data show crude steel output was up 4.4% through May, the figures are inflated as legitimate mills are firing up furnaces to make up for cuts in unofficial output, according to Wu Wenzhang, president of consultancy Shanghai Steelhome Information Technology Ltd.

    The nation has ordered tens of millions of metric tonnes of capacity at illegal plants to close, in addition to plans for shuttering 50mn tonnes of official capacity under the nation’s Five-Year Plan. The country had met almost 85% of its official capacity-cut target by the end of May, according to the National Development and Reform Commission this week.

    Members of CISA had a debt to asset ratio of 70.2% as of April, down just 0.8 percentage point from a year earlier, Wang said on Friday. Current iron ore prices are “rational” given high port stockpiles, he said. Iron ore with 62% content at Qingdao has dropped about 40% from the highest in more than two years in February and was at $55.23 a tonne on Thursday.

    http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/china-steel-mills-still-seen-struggling-even-as-margins-climb/
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